IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/total-access-communication" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:948:1" rel="noopener">Total Access Communication (DTAC TB)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/true-corp-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8:1" rel="noopener">True Corp Pcl (TRUE TB)</a> shares declined as <a href="https://www.bangkokbiznews.com/tech/1016819" target="_blank" rel="noopener">reports suggest</a> that NBTC’s subcommittees voted 3:1 AGAINST the merger. True said the reports <a href="https://classic.set.or.th/set/pdfnews.do?newsId=16584462215240&amp;sequence=0" target="_blank" rel="noopener">are false</a>.</li>
<li>An earlier press conference by CP Group and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/telenor-asa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22258:1" rel="noopener">Telenor ASA (TEL NO)</a> reiterated that the NBTC could only prescribe remedial measures. A court ruling on 16 June supports this view.</li>
<li>NBTC will allegedly review the subcommittees’ findings on 26-27 July. We think this development results in the NBTC prescribing harsher remedial conditions to the merger rather than blocking it. </li>
</ul>



Total Access Communication (DTAC TB) and True Corp Pcl (TRUE TB) shares declined as reports suggest that NBTC’s subcommittees voted 3:1 AGAINST the merger. True said the reports are false.
An earlier press conference by CP Group and Telenor ASA (TEL NO) reiterated that the NBTC could only prescribe remedial measures. A court ruling on 16 June supports this view.
NBTC will allegedly review the subcommittees’ findings on 26-27 July. We think this development results in the NBTC prescribing harsher remedial conditions to the merger rather than blocking it. 


DTAC/True Merger: Shares Decline on Noise About NBTC Subcommittees Voting Decision

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Emperador (Emp) is looking to raise up to US$750m via a secondary listing in Singapore.</li>
<li>Emp is the Philippines’ largest liquor company and the world’s largest brandy producer. Its products are sold in over 100 countries.</li>
<li>In this note, we look at the company's past performance.</li>
</ul>


Emperador (Emp) is looking to raise up to US$750m via a secondary listing in Singapore.
Emp is the Philippines’ largest liquor company and the world’s largest brandy producer. Its products are sold in over 100 countries.
In this note, we look at the company's past performance.


Emperador Secondary Listing - Driven by Whisky, Supported by Brandy

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/axiata-group-berhad" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:944:1" rel="noopener">Axiata Group (AXIATA MK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xl-axiata-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15028:1" rel="noopener">XL Axiata (EXCL IJ)</a> completed the acquisition of a combined 66.03% interest in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-net-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1050:1" rel="noopener">Link Net (LINK IJ)</a> at IDR4,800 per share. </li>
<li>Axiata will disclose the details of the MTO in due course. We think that the MTO opens on 7 July with the earliest possible close of 11 August. </li>
<li>At the last close, the gross and annualised spread of a 19 August payment is 3.7% and 23.7%, respectively.</li>
</ul>



Axiata Group (AXIATA MK) and XL Axiata (EXCL IJ) completed the acquisition of a combined 66.03% interest in Link Net (LINK IJ) at IDR4,800 per share. 
Axiata will disclose the details of the MTO in due course. We think that the MTO opens on 7 July with the earliest possible close of 11 August. 
At the last close, the gross and annualised spread of a 19 August payment is 3.7% and 23.7%, respectively.


Link Net MTO Set to Launch as Axiata Completes Stake Acquisition

Total Access Communication / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Press reports (<a href="https://www.nationthailand.com/in-focus/40016835" target="_blank" rel="noopener">here</a> and <a href="https://www.thaipbsworld.com/court-rejects-petition-to-delay-merger-of-dtac-and-true/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">here</a>) suggest that Administrative Court has ruled out the request to suspend the DTAC/True merger and that the regulation which repeals NBTC’s veto rights is lawful.</li>
<li>This development suggests that the NBTC will apply remedial conditions rather than block the merger. The timeline for the satisfaction of VTO conditions is from late June to early August. </li>
<li>With the Court ruling increasing the probability of a successful merger, it is attractive to buy the current share price ratio of 9.698x vs the implied swap ratio of 10.221x.</li>
</ul>


Press reports (here and here) suggest that Administrative Court has ruled out the request to suspend the DTAC/True merger and that the regulation which repeals NBTC’s veto rights is lawful.
This development suggests that the NBTC will apply remedial conditions rather than block the merger. The timeline for the satisfaction of VTO conditions is from late June to early August. 
With the Court ruling increasing the probability of a successful merger, it is attractive to buy the current share price ratio of 9.698x vs the implied swap ratio of 10.221x.


DTAC/True Merger: Administrative Court Ruling a Positive

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/first-media-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11826:1" rel="noopener">First Media (KBLV IJ)</a> EGM on 8 June approved the sale of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-net-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1050:1" rel="noopener">Link Net (LINK IJ)</a> shares to Axiata Investments and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xl-axiata-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15028:1" rel="noopener">XL Axiata (EXCL IJ)</a>. </li>
<li>The conditions precedent for the sale purchase agreement (SPA) to sell 66.03% of Link Net shares to Axiata Investments and XL Axiata are satisfied. The completion date is 2Q.</li>
<li>The subsequent MTO completes in 3Q. At the last close, the gross and annualised spread of the MTO price for a 3Q completion is 5.3% and 16.8%, respectively.</li>
</ul>


The First Media (KBLV IJ) EGM on 8 June approved the sale of Link Net (LINK IJ) shares to Axiata Investments and XL Axiata (EXCL IJ). 
The conditions precedent for the sale purchase agreement (SPA) to sell 66.03% of Link Net shares to Axiata Investments and XL Axiata are satisfied. The completion date is 2Q.
The subsequent MTO completes in 3Q. At the last close, the gross and annualised spread of the MTO price for a 3Q completion is 5.3% and 16.8%, respectively.


First Media’s EGM Approval Paves the Way for the Link MTO at IDR4,800

Philippines

PLDT Inc. is a telecommunications and digital services provider. The company offers fixed line, wireless, and fiber optic communication technology services in The Philippines.

Philippine Long Distance Telephone (Adr) (PHI US)

Globe Telecom, Inc. provides wireless application protocol services and digital wireless communication services via GSM network. The Company also offers service which allows users access to a wide range of information and services via a user-friendly menu. In addition, Globe  provides wire line voice and data services.

Axiata Group Berhad is a telecommunication company.  The Company's main activities is the establishment, maintenance, and provision of telecommunications and related services.

Maxis Berhad operates as a mobile and fixed communication service provider. The Company, through mobile and fiber telecommunications along with IT infrastructure services, offers mobile and fixed data products, voice and SMS services, mobile payment solutions, remote health monitoring, Cloud solutions, and a business directory to businesses and individuals in Malaysia.

PT Indosat Tbk is a telecommunication and information service provider in Indonesia that provides cellular services (prepaid and postpaid), fixed data services or MIDI (Multimedia, Internet & Data Communication) and fixed voice services including fixed wireless access services.

Safaricom PLC provides telecommunication services. The Company offers wireless solutions. Safaricom serves customers in Kenya.

Airtel Africa PLC provides telecommunication services. The Company offers postpaid and prepaid plans, transfer of credit, conference call, mobile Internet, messaging, voicemail, and roaming facilities. Airtel Africa serves customers worldwide.

Intouch Holdings Public Company Limited is a holding company that invests in diversified telecommunication and media and advertising businesses.  The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides television broadcasting, cellular phone and wireless services.

United States Cellular Corporation provides wireless telecommunications services. The Company offers its customers various national plans with voice, messaging, and data usage options, along with an array of smartphones, tablets, and other wireless devices. United States Cellular caters to customers throughout the United States.

Total Access Communication Public Company Limited provides cellular mobile telephone services under WorldPhone 800 and WorldPhone 1800 brand names throughout Thailand. The Company also sells cellular handsets and other telecommunications equipment through its WorldMedia network of retail stores.

Freenet AG provides internet and telecommunications services in Germany. The company offers mobile and fixed line telephone, internet access services, information and news services, its own internet catalog, DINO-Online, e-mail accounts, e-commerce services and and set-up of homepages. Through its subsidiary mobilcom is also the franchiser of the MobilCom retail shops.

Tele2 AB is a telecommunications company.  The Company offers mobile services, fixed broadband and telephony, data network services and content services. Tele2 operates throughout Europe and EuroAsia.

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PLDT (TEL PM)

DTAC/True Merger: Shares Decline on Noise About NBTC Subcommittees Voting Decision

We think this development results in the NBTC prescribing harsher conditions to the merger rather than blocking it. Due to high volatility on...

Arun George

Emperador Secondary Listing - Driven by Whisky, Supported by Brandy

Emperador (Emp) is looking to raise up to US$750m via a secondary listing in Singapore. In this note, we look at the company's past performance.

Sumeet Singh

Link Net MTO Set to Launch as Axiata Completes Stake Acquisition

We think that the MTO opens on 7 July with the earliest possible close of 11 August. At the last close, the gross and annualised spread of a 19...

Arun George

DTAC/True Merger: Administrative Court Ruling a Positive

With the Court ruling increasing the probability of a successful merger, it is attractive to buy the current share price ratio of 9.698x vs the...

Arun George

First Media’s EGM Approval Paves the Way for the Link MTO at IDR4,800

Conditions precedent for the SPA are satisfied. At the last close, the annualised spread of the MTO price for a 3Q completion is 16.8%.

Arun George

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