Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>SenseTime Group (STG) raised US$741m in its Hong Kong IPO in Dec 21. The IPO barely made it through and was priced at the bottom of its IPO price range.</li>
<li>STG is a leading AI software company. STG was the largest AI software company in Asia in terms of 2020 revenue, as per Frost &amp; Sullivan (F&amp;S).</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.</li>
</ul>


SenseTime Group (STG) raised US$741m in its Hong Kong IPO in Dec 21. The IPO barely made it through and was priced at the bottom of its IPO price range.
STG is a leading AI software company. STG was the largest AI software company in Asia in terms of 2020 revenue, as per Frost &amp; Sullivan (F&amp;S).
In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.


SenseTime Lock-Up -Investment Blacklist Will Further Pressurize the Upcoming US$18bn Lock-Up Release

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>On the ECM front, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thai-life-insurance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34915:1" rel="noopener">Thai Life Insurance (124744Z TB)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/acommerce-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35789:1" rel="noopener">aCommerce Group (ACOM TB)</a> are premarketing US$1bn and US$200m IPOs. Tianqi Lithium has passed the HKEx listing hearing for US$1-1.5bn raise.</li>
<li>On the Event-Driven front, developments at <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-administration-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:970:1" rel="noopener">Link Administration (LNK AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/frasers-hospitality-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:913:1" rel="noopener">Frasers Hospitality Trust (FHT SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-net-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1050:1" rel="noopener">Link Net (LINK IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/narhex-life-sciences-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9728:1" rel="noopener">Resapp Health (RAP AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-enterprises-urban-re" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29131:1" rel="noopener">Beijing Enterprises Urban Resources (3718 HK)</a>. </li>
</ul>


A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
On the ECM front, Thai Life Insurance (124744Z TB) and aCommerce Group (ACOM TB) are premarketing US$1bn and US$200m IPOs. Tianqi Lithium has passed the HKEx listing hearing for US$1-1.5bn raise.
On the Event-Driven front, developments at Link Administration (LNK AU), Frasers Hospitality Trust (FHT SP), Link Net (LINK IJ), Resapp Health (RAP AU), Beijing Enterprises Urban Resources (3718 HK). 


Weekly Deals Digest (19 Jun): Frasers Hospitality, Link Admin, Link Net, Thai Life, GOGOX, ResApp

Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

Algosun Global

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/confluent-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33443:1" rel="noopener">Confluent (CFLT US)</a>  is an American-based data infrastructure software company and a major contributor to the open-source project Apache Kafka. </li>
<li>Original creators of Apache Kafka founded the company in 2014. Today, Kafka has 5M+ lifetime downloads, and &gt;100,000 organizations use the successful open source project.</li>
<li>We believe <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/confluent-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33443:1" rel="noopener">Confluent (CFLT US)</a>  is uniquely positioned to benefit from the widespread adoption of Apache Kafka and the growing $50B+ total addressable market. </li>
</ul>



Confluent (CFLT US)  is an American-based data infrastructure software company and a major contributor to the open-source project Apache Kafka. 
Original creators of Apache Kafka founded the company in 2014. Today, Kafka has 5M+ lifetime downloads, and &gt;100,000 organizations use the successful open source project.
We believe Confluent (CFLT US)  is uniquely positioned to benefit from the widespread adoption of Apache Kafka and the growing $50B+ total addressable market. 


Confluent: Harnessing Data In Motion. Initiate At Overweight

Telco/Internet specialist

Kirk Boodry

Redex Research

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Japanese Internet companies are testing lows from the 2020 tech selloff whilst Rakuten stands out for reaching levels last seen in 2010</li>
<li>Z Holdings is at a two-year low but has fallen the same distance from its recent high (-53%) </li>
<li>Both face robust competition from Amazon, which has doubled its eCommerce GMV in Japan over the last four years (Rakuten +60%, core Z Holdings +47%)</li>
</ul>


Japanese Internet companies are testing lows from the 2020 tech selloff whilst Rakuten stands out for reaching levels last seen in 2010
Z Holdings is at a two-year low but has fallen the same distance from its recent high (-53%) 
Both face robust competition from Amazon, which has doubled its eCommerce GMV in Japan over the last four years (Rakuten +60%, core Z Holdings +47%)


Japan Internet - Fresh Lows for Many with Rakuten the Lowest Since 2010

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>It's not clear why it would be better for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/frasers-hospitality-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:913:1" rel="noopener">Frasers Hospitality (FHT SP)</a>'s assets to be unlisted rather than listed, so this is purely financial not strategic given the ownership. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/atlas-arteria-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14430:1" rel="noopener">Atlas Arteria (ALX AU)</a> boasts low risk, stable yielding, toll road assets.  That's an attractive proposition for cash-up IFM, which now has a 15% economic interest. </li>
<li>If <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/total-access-communication" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:948:1" rel="noopener">DTAC TB</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/true-corp-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8:1" rel="noopener">TRUE TB</a>'s merger goes through, the top two players control ~96% of the market. Even the generally complicit Thai regulator might be reluctant to grant approval. </li>
</ul>


It's not clear why it would be better for Frasers Hospitality (FHT SP)'s assets to be unlisted rather than listed, so this is purely financial not strategic given the ownership. 

Atlas Arteria (ALX AU) boasts low risk, stable yielding, toll road assets.  That's an attractive proposition for cash-up IFM, which now has a 15% economic interest. 
If DTAC TB / TRUE TB's merger goes through, the top two players control ~96% of the market. Even the generally complicit Thai regulator might be reluctant to grant approval. 


Last Week in Event SPACE: Atlas Arteria, Frasers Hospitality, DTAC/True, Crown Resorts, Saratoga

United States

Amazon.com, Inc. is an online retailer that offers a wide range of products. The Company's products include books, music, videotapes, computers, electronics, home and garden, and numerous other products.  Amazon offers personalized shopping services, Web-based credit card payment, and direct shipping to customers.

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Amazon.com Inc (AMZN US)

SenseTime Lock-Up -Investment Blacklist Will Further Pressurize the Upcoming US$18bn Lock-Up Release

SenseTime Group (STG) raised US$741m in its Hong Kong IPO in Dec 21. The lockup on the pre-IPO and cornerstone investors will expire later this month.

Sumeet Singh

Weekly Deals Digest (19 Jun): Frasers Hospitality, Link Admin, Link Net, Thai Life, GOGOX, ResApp

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (Frasers Hospitality, Link Admin, Link Net, ResApp, BEUR, Hwa Hong, Cocoaland, MyDeal.com)...

Arun George

Confluent: Harnessing Data In Motion. Initiate At Overweight

We are initiating coverage on Confluent with an Overweight rating and price target of $28, implying a ~50% upside. Fundamentals remain attractive,...

Andrei Zakharov

Japan Internet - Fresh Lows for Many with Rakuten the Lowest Since 2010

Tech sector weakness amplifies concerns on competition for Rakuten and Z Holdings. Both are down 50%+ from recent highs with Rakuten at levels last...

Kirk Boodry

Last Week in Event SPACE: Atlas Arteria, Frasers Hospitality, DTAC/True, Crown Resorts, Saratoga

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

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