TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst, Obex Capital Research

Aaron Gabin

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research

Obex Capital Research

“Obex” is Latin for Barriers to Entry. Obex Capital Management’s investment philosophy is driven by an intense focus on which business model’s Barriers to Entry are able to withstand the ever increasing competitive disruption in the TMT and Consumer Sectors.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Profitability ready to kick in again as Amazon grows into the overbuilt warehouse capacity and headcount from the past few quarters. 3Q22's guidance clearly conservative based on 2Q22's outperformance.</li>
<li>Revenue reacceleration beginning to play out. 2Q22's 7% leading to 3Q22's 15%, and back to the 20%s by 2023.</li>
<li>AWS continues its indomitable run. $79B TTM revenues are growing 37% with 31% margins.</li>
</ul>


Profitability ready to kick in again as Amazon grows into the overbuilt warehouse capacity and headcount from the past few quarters. 3Q22's guidance clearly conservative based on 2Q22's outperformance.
Revenue reacceleration beginning to play out. 2Q22's 7% leading to 3Q22's 15%, and back to the 20%s by 2023.
AWS continues its indomitable run. $79B TTM revenues are growing 37% with 31% margins.


Amazon 2Q22: Delivering an Inflection Point

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

<ul><li>Amazon.com reported robust first quarter financial results in 2024, with revenue of $143.3 billion, a 13% increase year-over-year.</li><li>However, the result excludes the impact of foreign exchange rates, which caused an unfavorable impact that reduced revenue by roughly $700 million.</li><li>The company delivered higher than expected operating income of $15.3 billion, which is a 221% increase from last year, driven primarily by efficiency improvements and better customer experiences.</li></ul>

Amazon.com reported robust first quarter financial results in 2024, with revenue of $143.3 billion, a 13% increase year-over-year.However, the result excludes the impact of foreign exchange rates, which caused an unfavorable impact that reduced revenue by roughly $700 million.The company delivered higher than expected operating income of $15.3 billion, which is a 221% increase from last year, driven primarily by efficiency improvements and better customer experiences.

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>Amazon reported (1 May BJT) better-than-expected 1Q24 results: revenue was US$143.3bn, up 12.5% YoY, and was 1% ahead of consensus, mainly driven by 4% beat in AWS revenue as impact from cloud optimization is milder than expectation, and total operating profit was US$15.3bn, up 221% YoY, better than consensus at US$11.0bn, driven by OPM margin beat across all three business segments (North America, International, and AWS).</li><li>We trim 2024-26E revenue forecast by 1% each but lifted OP forecast by 11-15% to account for better-than-expected margin expansion.</li><li>Our TP was largely unchanged at US$211.0 (was US$213.0) based on unchanged 18.8x EV/EBITDA, as we accounted for the incremental investment in capex that Amazon will incur to fulfil the reaccelerating cloud demand. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Amazon reported (1 May BJT) better-than-expected 1Q24 results: revenue was US$143.3bn, up 12.5% YoY, and was 1% ahead of consensus, mainly driven by 4% beat in AWS revenue as impact from cloud optimization is milder than expectation, and total operating profit was US$15.3bn, up 221% YoY, better than consensus at US$11.0bn, driven by OPM margin beat across all three business segments (North America, International, and AWS).We trim 2024-26E revenue forecast by 1% each but lifted OP forecast by 11-15% to account for better-than-expected margin expansion.Our TP was largely unchanged at US$211.0 (was US$213.0) based on unchanged 18.8x EV/EBITDA, as we accounted for the incremental investment in capex that Amazon will incur to fulfil the reaccelerating cloud demand. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Amazon (AMZN US) - Steady Margin Expansion Ongoing

Mostly Borrowed Ideas Deep Dives, MBI Deep Dives

MBI Deep Dives

Mostly Borrowed Ideas Deep Dives

MBI is the abbreviation for “Mostly Borrowed Ideas”. Why “Mostly Borrowed Ideas?” As a generalist, I do not have a background in any particular sector. I enjoy navigating across industries, businesses, and countries to learn, understand, and connect the dots. In any case, most ideas and innovations are incremental in nature. Very few of us are smart enough to come up with truly original or groundbreaking ideas. I am Abdullah Al-Rezwan. I was born and brought up in Bangladesh. I went to University of Dhaka for my undergrad and majored in Finance. After working three and half years in Equity Research (Sell-side) covering Financial Sector in Bangladesh, I left Bangladesh to pursue my MBA in the US. I graduated within top 10% of the class from Cornell University's two-year MBA program and worked on the buy-side following my graduation. During my time at Cornell, I won two stock pitch competitions and also became finalists in four other competitions. I thoroughly enjoyed my stint as a generalist in the US large cap team at Madison Investments and covered a wide range of companies from UnitedHealth to Amazon and Boeing before US immigration reality paused my career in investment management. As my work authorization expired, I moved to Canada in January, 2021. Then in early 2022, I was able to return to the US.

<ul><li>Now that Meta, Alphabet, Microsoft, and Amazon all reported their quarters, we now have better context to how their quarters went.</li><li>So, while I will mostly discuss Amazon's earnings in this update, I will briefly touch on some broader themes as well.</li><li>Overall revenue was slightly below the high end of Amazon's guidance.</li></ul>

Now that Meta, Alphabet, Microsoft, and Amazon all reported their quarters, we now have better context to how their quarters went.So, while I will mostly discuss Amazon's earnings in this update, I will briefly touch on some broader themes as well.Overall revenue was slightly below the high end of Amazon's guidance.

<ul><li>In terms of further growth potential, we believe Amazon’s e-commerce business still has ample potential in both the US and global markets.</li><li>AWS is backed by strong technological capability and generative AI opens more opportunities.</li><li>The continuous increase in retail business efficiency and improvement in economies of scale will help boost profitability in our view, backed by regionalization strategy, reduction in cost to serve, and rising revenue contribution from platform business. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

In terms of further growth potential, we believe Amazon’s e-commerce business still has ample potential in both the US and global markets.AWS is backed by strong technological capability and generative AI opens more opportunities.The continuous increase in retail business efficiency and improvement in economies of scale will help boost profitability in our view, backed by regionalization strategy, reduction in cost to serve, and rising revenue contribution from platform business. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Amazon (AMZN US) - Steady Ship Heading for New Growth Stage

United States

Amazon.com, Inc. is an online retailer that offers a wide range of products. The Company's products include books, music, videotapes, computers, electronics, home and garden, and numerous other products.  Amazon offers personalized shopping services, Web-based credit card payment, and direct shipping to customers.

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Amazon.com Inc (AMZN US)

Amazon 2Q22: Delivering an Inflection Point

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Aaron Gabin

Amazon.com Inc.: Prime

Amazon.com reported robust first quarter financial results in 2024, with revenue of $143.3 billion, a 13% increase year-over-year. However, the...

Baptista Research

Amazon (AMZN US) - Steady Margin Expansion Ongoing

Amazon reported (1 May BJT) better-than-expected 1Q24 results: revenue was US$143.3bn, up 12.5% YoY, and was 1% ahead of consensus, mainly driven...

CMB International

Amazon 1Q'24 Update

Now that Meta, Alphabet, Microsoft, and Amazon all reported their quarters, we now have better context to how their quarters went.

MBI Deep Dives

Amazon (AMZN US) - Steady Ship Heading for New Growth Stage

In terms of further growth potential, we believe Amazon’s e-commerce business still has ample potential in both the US and global markets.

CMB International

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