Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Capital Markets

HD Hyundai Heavy Industries  / Equity Capital Markets

<div class="content-highlight">
<p>Our base case valuation of Hyundai Heavy Industries is implied market cap of 5.9 trillion won or 66,573 won per share, which is 11% higher than the high end of the IPO price range of 60,000 won per share.</p>
<p>Typically, we like to rate an IPO positive if our base case valuation is at least 15% higher than the high end of the IPO price range and as such we have a NEGATIVE view of this IPO. The valuation sits on the borderline case and our base case valuation does not provide a big upside to the IPO price range. </p>
</div><p>Our base case valuation is based on 1x our estimated equity of 6.1 trillion won for the company at the end of 2021. Our valuation multiple of 1.0x P/B is based on the average P/B valuation multiple of the peers.</p><p>HHI had 22.7% market share of new orders for shipbuilding in 2020, rising to 24.1% in 1Q 2021. It had new orders of 3,2m GT in 1Q 2021, which was nearly 84% of total new orders in 2020. </p>


Our base case valuation of Hyundai Heavy Industries is implied market cap of 5.9 trillion won or 66,573 won per share, which is 11% higher than the high end of the IPO price range of 60,000 won per share.
Typically, we like to rate an IPO positive if our base case valuation is at least 15% higher than the high end of the IPO price range and as such we have a NEGATIVE view of this IPO. The valuation sits on the borderline case and our base case valuation does not provide a big upside to the IPO price range. 
Our base case valuation is based on 1x our estimated equity of 6.1 trillion won for the company at the end of 2021. Our valuation multiple of 1.0x P/B is based on the average P/B valuation multiple of the peers.HHI had 22.7% market share of new orders for shipbuilding in 2020, rising to 24.1% in 1Q 2021. It had new orders of 3,2m GT in 1Q 2021, which was nearly 84% of total new orders in 2020. 

Hyundai Heavy Industries IPO Valuation Analysis

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

HD Korea Shipbuilding & Offshore Engineering / Equity Capital Markets

HD Korea Shipbuilding & Offshore Engineering

<div><div><h2>Offering size</h2></div></div><div><p>Hyundai Heavy Industries (HHI) offers 18M shares, which account for 25.43% of the pre-IPO total shares, of which 55-75% are allocated to institutions. It will be listed on KOSPI.</p></div><table class="table table-striped">
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<tr><td colspan="2" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Offering size"}'>Offering size</td></tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Ticker"}'>Ticker</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"329180"}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"[$₩-412]#,##0","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=R[1]C[-2]">329180</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Bourse"}'>Bourse</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"KOSPI"}'>KOSPI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Offering"}'><strong>Offering</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":8654230}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0","3":1}'><strong>18,000,000</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"- % of SO"}'><strong>- % of pre-IPO SO</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.25433386315786916}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=Terms!R[5]C[-2]"><strong>25.43%</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"- Institutional allotment"}'><strong>- Institutional allotment</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"55.00~75.00%"}' data-sheets-formula="=Terms!R[5]C[-2]"><strong>55.00~75.00%</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="2" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Source: DART"}'>Source: DART</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table><div class="content-highlight">
<p><strong>Who is HHI?</strong></p>
<ul>
<li>HHI is the world's largest shipbuilding company based in Korea. Since its establishment in 1973, it has maintained the No. 1 position in the global shipbuilding market since 1983.</li>
<li>Prior to the establishment of the holding company in 2017, Hyundai Heavy Industries was at the apex of a circular shareholding structure that led to Chung Mong-jun (owner) → Hyundai Heavy Industries → Hyundai Samho Heavy Industries → Hyundai Mipo Dockyard → Hyundai Heavy Industries.</li>
<li>In June 2019, Hyundai Heavy Industries conducted a physical division to take over Daewoo Shipbuilding &amp; Marine Engineering. It was divided into an intermediate holding company, Korea Shipbuilding &amp; Offshore Engineering (KSOE), and an operating company, Hyundai Heavy Industries. For this reason, KSOE currently owns 100% of HHI.</li>
</ul>
</div><div><div><h2>Split</h2></div></div><div>
<p>This IPO is a 100% primary offering. As a result, this offering will see a capital increase rate of 25.43% with a shareholding dilution of 20.28%. This event is free of any additional options: cornerstone, clawback, or greenshoe.</p>
<table class="table table-striped">
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<tr><td colspan="2" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Split"}'>Split</td></tr>
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<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Primary %"}'><strong>Primary %</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":1}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=Terms!R[3]C[-2]"><strong>100.00%</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Secondary %"}'>Secondary %</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=Terms!R[4]C[-2]">0.00%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Capital increase rate"}'><strong>Capital increase rate</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.25433386315786916}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=Terms!R[4]C[-2]"><strong>25.43%</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Dilution"}'>Dilution</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.20276408907399399}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=Terms!R[4]C[-2]">20.28%</td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="2" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Source: DART"}'>Source: DART</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div><div><div></div></div><div>
<div><div><h2>Schedule</h2></div></div>
<div>
<p>The book opens on August 26 (September 2 for local institutions) and runs until September 3. The allotment will be on September 6, finalizing an offering price. The subscription falls on September 7.</p>
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<tr><td colspan="2" rowspan="1" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Schedule"}'>Schedule</td></tr>
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<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Book open"}'><strong>Book open</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":44434}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":5,"2":"yyyy\". \"mm\". \"dd","3":1}'><strong>2021. 08. 26</strong></td>
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<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Book close"}'>Book close</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":44442}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":5,"2":"yyyy\". \"mm\". \"dd","3":1}'>2021. 09. 03</td>
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<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Allotment"}'><strong>Allotment</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":44445}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":5,"2":"yyyy\". \"mm\". \"dd","3":1}'><strong>2021. 09. 06</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Subscription"}'><strong>Subscription</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":44446}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":5,"2":"yyyy\". \"mm\". \"dd","3":1}'><strong>2021. 09. 07</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Payment"}'>Payment</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":44449}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":5,"2":"yyyy\". \"mm\". \"dd","3":1}'>2021. 09. 10</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Listing"}'>Listing</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"-"}'>-</td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="2" rowspan="1" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Source: DART"}'>Source: DART</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div><div><h2>Pricing</h2></div></div>
<div><p>This IPO also uses PBR. The corporate value was determined after selecting the following five companies (one from Korea and four from China):</p></div>
<div><ol style="list-style-type: decimal;">
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/daewoo-shipbuilding-marine-engineering" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12531:1" rel="noopener">Daewoo Shipbuilding &amp; Marine Engineering (042660 KS)</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-shipbuilding-industry-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5789:1" rel="noopener">China Shipbuilding Industry (601989 CH)</a></li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-cssc-holdings-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2464:1" rel="noopener">China CSSC Holdings Ltd A (600150 CH)</a> </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yangzijiang-shipbuilding-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:660:1" rel="noopener">Yangzijiang Shipbuilding (YZJSGD SP)</a> </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cssc-offshore-marine-engg-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5089:1" rel="noopener">Cssc Offshore &amp; Marine Engg Group (317 HK)</a> </li>
</ol></div>
<div>
<p>The <strong>average P/B multiple</strong> of these five valuation peers come at <strong>1.12x</strong> based on their 1Q21 financials.</p>
<table class="table table-striped">
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<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"FY2021 1Q based annualized net earnings based P/E"}'>As of FY2021 1Q</td>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Note"}'>Note</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"DSME"}'>DSME</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"China Shipbuilding Industry Company Ltd"}'>China Shipbuilding Industry Company Ltd</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"China CSSC Holdings Ltd"}'>China CSSC Holdings Ltd</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Yangzijiang Shipbuilding Holdings Ltd"}'>Yangzijiang Shipbuilding Holdings Ltd</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"CSSC Offshore and Marine Engineering Group Co Ltd"}'>CSSC Offshore and Marine Engineering Group Co Ltd</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Equity"}'>Equity</td>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"A"}'>A</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":3635.589}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B"]'>₩3,635.6B</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":15324.249}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B"]'>₩15,324.2B</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":9411.029}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B"]'>₩9,411.0B</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":6066.149}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B"]'>₩6,066.1B</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":3057.162}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B"]'>₩3,057.2B</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Non controlling interest"}'>Non-controlling interest</td>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"B"}'>B</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B"]'>₩0.0B</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":157.608}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B"]'>₩157.6B</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":1247.454}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B"]'>₩1,247.5B</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":186.08}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B"]'>₩186.1B</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":550.639}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B"]'>₩550.6B</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Applied equity"}'>Applied equity</td>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"C=A-B"}'>C=A-B</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":3635.589}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B"]' data-sheets-formula="=R[-2]C[0]-R[-1]C[0]">₩3,635.6B</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":15166.641}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B"]' data-sheets-formula="=R[-2]C[0]-R[-1]C[0]">₩15,166.6B</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":8163.575000000001}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B"]' data-sheets-formula="=R[-2]C[0]-R[-1]C[0]">₩8,163.6B</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":5880.069}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B"]' data-sheets-formula="=R[-2]C[0]-R[-1]C[0]">₩5,880.1B</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":2506.5229999999997}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B"]' data-sheets-formula="=R[-2]C[0]-R[-1]C[0]">₩2,506.5B</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Reference market cap"}'>Reference market cap</td>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"D"}'>D</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":3401.114}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B"]'>₩3,401.1B</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":15590.917}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B"]'>₩15,590.9B</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":11966.681}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B"]'>₩11,966.7B</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":4552.47}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B"]'>₩4,552.5B</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":3504.253}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B"]'>₩3,504.3B</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"PBR"}'><strong>PBR</strong></td>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"E=D÷C"}'><strong>E=D÷C</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.94}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"0.00x"]'><strong>0.94x</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":1.03}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"0.00x"]'><strong>1.03x</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":1.47}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"0.00x"]'><strong>1.47x</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.77}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"0.00x"]'><strong>0.77x</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":1.4}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"0.00x"]'><strong>1.40x</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Average PBR"}'><strong>Average PBR</strong></td>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"-"}'><strong>-</strong></td>
<td colspan="5" rowspan="1" style="text-align: center;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":1.12}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"0.00x"]'><strong>1.12x</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="7" rowspan="1" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Source: DART"}'>Source: DART</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>The averaged P/B multiple of 1.12x was applied to HHI's equity of ₩5,035.7B from the second quarter of this year. Then, an IPO flow of ₩936.0B (at the lower end of the indicative price band) was added. As a result, we have <strong>a reference market cap of ₩6.58T</strong>, giving <strong>a price per share of ₩74,094</strong>.</p>
</div>
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<tr><td colspan="3" style="width: 719.119px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"P/E valuation"}'>HHI: P/B valuation</td></tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 239.702px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Average PBR"}'>Average PBR</td>
<td style="width: 161.804px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"A"}'>A</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 317.614px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":1.12}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"0.00x"]' data-sheets-formula="=R[-4]C[0]">1.12x</td>
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<tr>
<td style="width: 239.702px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Applied equity"}'><strong>Applied equity</strong></td>
<td style="width: 161.804px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"B"}'><strong>B</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 317.614px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":5035.677}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B"]'><strong>₩5,035.7B</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 239.702px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"IPO inflow"}'><strong>IPO inflow</strong></td>
<td style="width: 161.804px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"C"}'><strong>C</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 317.614px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":936}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B"]'><strong>₩936.0B</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 239.702px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Reference market cap"}'><strong>Reference market cap</strong></td>
<td style="width: 161.804px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"D=(AxB)+C"}'><strong>D=(AxB)+C</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 317.614px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":6577.587}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B"]'><strong>₩6,577.6B</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 239.702px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Post-IPO SO"}'>Post-IPO SO</td>
<td style="width: 161.804px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"E"}'>E</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 317.614px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":88773116}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"#,##0",1]'>88,773,116</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 239.702px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Price per share"}'><strong>Price per share</strong></td>
<td style="width: 161.804px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"F=D÷E"}'><strong>F=D÷E</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 317.614px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":74094}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":4,"2":"[$₩]#,##0"}'><strong>₩74,094</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="3" style="width: 719.119px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Source: DART"}'>Source: DART</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>The <strong>indicative price band</strong> lies between <strong>₩52,000 and ₩60,000</strong>. This is obtained by applying a <strong>discount rate of</strong><strong>19.02% to 29.82%</strong> to the market cap of ₩6.58T calculated through PBR. This much discount gives a <strong>P/B multiple of 0.77x to 0.89x</strong>.</p>
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<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Pricing"}'>Pricing</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Low"}'>Low</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"High"}'>High</td>
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<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Price"}'><strong>Price</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":52000}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"[$₩-412]#,##0",1]'><strong>₩52,000</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":60000}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"[$₩-412]#,##0",1]'><strong>₩60,000</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Base deal size"}'>Base deal size</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":936}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B"]' data-sheets-formula="=R[-1]C[0]*Terms!R8C2/1000000000">₩936.0B</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":1080}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B"]' data-sheets-formula="=R[-1]C[0]*Terms!R8C2/1000000000">₩1,080.0B</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":" - Institutional allotment (55%)"}'>- Institutional allotment (55%)</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":514.8000000000001}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B"]' data-sheets-formula="=R[-1]C[0]*55%">₩514.8B</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":594}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B"]' data-sheets-formula="=R[-1]C[0]*55%">₩594.0B</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Implied market cap"}'>Implied market cap</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":4616.202032}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B"]' data-sheets-formula="=R[-3]C[0]*R23C3/1000000000">₩4,616.2B</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":5326.38696}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B"]' data-sheets-formula="=R[-3]C[0]*R23C3/1000000000">₩5,326.4B</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":" - Discount"}'><strong>- Discount</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.2981887872162388}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,3,"0.00%",1]' data-sheets-formula="=(R24C3-R[-4]C[0])/R24C3"><strong>29.82%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.1902178314033525}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,3,"0.00%",1]' data-sheets-formula="=(R24C3-R[-4]C[0])/R24C3"><strong>19.02%</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Implied PBR</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>0.77x</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>0.89x</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="3" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Source: DART"}'>Source: DART</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>

Offering sizeHyundai Heavy Industries (HHI) offers 18M shares, which account for 25.43% of the pre-IPO total shares, of which 55-75% are allocated to institutions. It will be listed on KOSPI.





Offering size

Ticker
329180


Bourse
KOSPI


Offering
18,000,000


- % of pre-IPO SO
25.43%


- Institutional allotment
55.00~75.00%

Source: DART


Who is HHI?

HHI is the world's largest shipbuilding company based in Korea. Since its establishment in 1973, it has maintained the No. 1 position in the global shipbuilding market since 1983.
Prior to the establishment of the holding company in 2017, Hyundai Heavy Industries was at the apex of a circular shareholding structure that led to Chung Mong-jun (owner) → Hyundai Heavy Industries → Hyundai Samho Heavy Industries → Hyundai Mipo Dockyard → Hyundai Heavy Industries.
In June 2019, Hyundai Heavy Industries conducted a physical division to take over Daewoo Shipbuilding &amp; Marine Engineering. It was divided into an intermediate holding company, Korea Shipbuilding &amp; Offshore Engineering (KSOE), and an operating company, Hyundai Heavy Industries. For this reason, KSOE currently owns 100% of HHI.

Split
This IPO is a 100% primary offering. As a result, this offering will see a capital increase rate of 25.43% with a shareholding dilution of 20.28%. This event is free of any additional options: cornerstone, clawback, or greenshoe.






Split

Primary %
100.00%


Secondary %
0.00%


Capital increase rate
25.43%


Dilution
20.28%

Source: DART



Schedule

The book opens on August 26 (September 2 for local institutions) and runs until September 3. The allotment will be on September 6, finalizing an offering price. The subscription falls on September 7.






Schedule

Book open
2021. 08. 26


Book close
2021. 09. 03


Allotment
2021. 09. 06


Subscription
2021. 09. 07


Payment
2021. 09. 10


Listing
-

Source: DART


Pricing
This IPO also uses PBR. The corporate value was determined after selecting the following five companies (one from Korea and four from China):

Daewoo Shipbuilding &amp; Marine Engineering (042660 KS)
China Shipbuilding Industry (601989 CH)

China CSSC Holdings Ltd A (600150 CH) 

Yangzijiang Shipbuilding (YZJSGD SP) 

Cssc Offshore &amp; Marine Engg Group (317 HK) 


The average P/B multiple of these five valuation peers come at 1.12x based on their 1Q21 financials.












As of FY2021 1Q
Note
DSME
China Shipbuilding Industry Company Ltd
China CSSC Holdings Ltd
Yangzijiang Shipbuilding Holdings Ltd
CSSC Offshore and Marine Engineering Group Co Ltd


Equity
A
₩3,635.6B
₩15,324.2B
₩9,411.0B
₩6,066.1B
₩3,057.2B


Non-controlling interest
B
₩0.0B
₩157.6B
₩1,247.5B
₩186.1B
₩550.6B


Applied equity
C=A-B
₩3,635.6B
₩15,166.6B
₩8,163.6B
₩5,880.1B
₩2,506.5B


Reference market cap
D
₩3,401.1B
₩15,590.9B
₩11,966.7B
₩4,552.5B
₩3,504.3B


PBR
E=D÷C
0.94x
1.03x
1.47x
0.77x
1.40x


Average PBR
-
1.12x

Source: DART


The averaged P/B multiple of 1.12x was applied to HHI's equity of ₩5,035.7B from the second quarter of this year. Then, an IPO flow of ₩936.0B (at the lower end of the indicative price band) was added. As a result, we have a reference market cap of ₩6.58T, giving a price per share of ₩74,094.








HHI: P/B valuation

Average PBR
A
1.12x


Applied equity
B
₩5,035.7B


IPO inflow
C
₩936.0B


Reference market cap
D=(AxB)+C
₩6,577.6B


Post-IPO SO
E
88,773,116


Price per share
F=D÷E
₩74,094

Source: DART


The indicative price band lies between ₩52,000 and ₩60,000. This is obtained by applying a discount rate of19.02% to 29.82% to the market cap of ₩6.58T calculated through PBR. This much discount gives a P/B multiple of 0.77x to 0.89x.








Pricing
Low
High


Price
₩52,000
₩60,000


Base deal size
₩936.0B
₩1,080.0B


- Institutional allotment (55%)
₩514.8B
₩594.0B


Implied market cap
₩4,616.2B
₩5,326.4B


- Discount
29.82%
19.02%


Implied PBR
0.77x
0.89x

Source: DART





Hyundai Heavy Industries IPO: Offering Details & Valuation Issues

Event-Driven

<div>
<p>Samsung Heavy Industries has entered a stock trading suspension from July 23 to August 9 due to the 5 to 1 capital reduction without refund.</p>
<div class="content-highlight"><p><strong>But this one is a par-value capital reduction without any refund. Only the par-value will be down from ₩5,000 to ₩1,000. So, the number of outstanding shares remains unchanged.</strong></p></div>
</div><div>
<table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col width="100">
<col width="100">
<col width="100">
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td style="width: 227.273px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Capital reduction "}'>Capital reduction details</td>
<td style="text-align: center; width: 227.273px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Current"}'>Previous</td>
<td style="text-align: center; width: 227.273px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"After capital reduction"}'>After capital reduction</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 227.273px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Ordinary shares"}'><strong>Ordinary shares</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: center; width: 227.273px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":630000000}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0","3":1}'><strong>630,000,000</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: center; width: 227.273px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":630000000}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0","3":1}'><strong> 630,000,000</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 227.273px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Par value"}'>Par value</td>
<td style="text-align: center; width: 227.273px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":5000}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":4,"2":"[$₩]#,##0","3":1}'>₩5,000</td>
<td style="text-align: center; width: 227.273px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":1000}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":4,"2":"[$₩]#,##0","3":1}'>₩1,000</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 227.273px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Capital"}'>Capital</td>
<td style="text-align: center; width: 227.273px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":3150.574225}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.0"}' data-sheets-formula="=R[2]C[-3]/1000000000">3,150.6</td>
<td style="text-align: center; width: 227.273px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":630.114845}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.0"}' data-sheets-formula="=R[2]C[-3]/1000000000">630.1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 227.273px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Trade suspension"}'><strong>Trade suspension</strong></td>
<td colspan="2" style="text-align: center; width: 475.455px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"2021. 07. 23 ~ 08. 09"}'><strong>2021. 07. 23 ~ 08. 09</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="3" style="width: 723.636px;">Source: DART</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div id="ember3630" data-message-id="386335"><div><div id="ember3631"><div><div><div>
<h2><strong>Why doing it?</strong></h2>
<p>Reducing the par value but without any refund simply moves capital to earnings surplus so that Samsung Heavy can avoid capital impairment. But the total shares remain the same.</p>
</div></div></div></div></div></div>
<div id="ember3641" data-message-id="386337"><div id="ember3642"><div><div>
<div class="content-highlight"><p>Capital impairment is when the company lost its asset, so the asset is lower than the stock of a company. One way to avoid capital impairment is a reduction of capital without any compensation. (Wikipedia)</p></div>
<p><strong>Another reason Samsung Heavy is making capital reduction is that the current law doesn't allow a company to issue new shares at a price below the par value. If it has to offer new shares below the par value, it will have to obtain special approval from the court.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Samsung Heavy's last close price is ₩6,540, and the previous par value is ₩5,000. It'd be very tight to offer new shares above ₩5,000, given the usual 20% discount. So, it reduces the par value ahead of new share issuance, which the local street expects to hit the market around November.</strong></p>
</div></div></div></div>
</div>


Samsung Heavy Industries has entered a stock trading suspension from July 23 to August 9 due to the 5 to 1 capital reduction without refund.
But this one is a par-value capital reduction without any refund. Only the par-value will be down from ₩5,000 to ₩1,000. So, the number of outstanding shares remains unchanged.









Capital reduction details
Previous
After capital reduction


Ordinary shares
630,000,000
 630,000,000


Par value
₩5,000
₩1,000


Capital
3,150.6
630.1


Trade suspension
2021. 07. 23 ~ 08. 09

Source: DART



Why doing it?
Reducing the par value but without any refund simply moves capital to earnings surplus so that Samsung Heavy can avoid capital impairment. But the total shares remain the same.


Capital impairment is when the company lost its asset, so the asset is lower than the stock of a company. One way to avoid capital impairment is a reduction of capital without any compensation. (Wikipedia)
Another reason Samsung Heavy is making capital reduction is that the current law doesn't allow a company to issue new shares at a price below the par value. If it has to offer new shares below the par value, it will have to obtain special approval from the court.
Samsung Heavy's last close price is ₩6,540, and the previous par value is ₩5,000. It'd be very tight to offer new shares above ₩5,000, given the usual 20% discount. So, it reduces the par value ahead of new share issuance, which the local street expects to hit the market around November.



Samsung Heavy Industries Passive Flow Trade on Relisting, August 10

<p>Hyundai Oilbank has officially started the IPO process. It has reportedly sent out an RFP to local and overseas brokerages. The company is expected to pursue a listing on the KOSPI in early 2022.</p><div class="content-highlight">
<p>After stopping preparations for an IPO in 2019, it again seeks to enter the stock market after more than two years. This is the third challenge since 2012, when the first listing attempt was made.</p>
<ul>
<li><strong>In 2012, the company gave up halfway due to the sharp drop in international oil prices. </strong></li>
<li><strong>In 2017, Hyundai Oilbank was designated as a company subject to accounting supervision. So the IPO was again abandoned midway.</strong></li>
</ul>
</div><p>In January 2019, Hyundai Oilbank raised an equity investment worth ₩1.37T from Saudi Aramco for a 17% stake, and as a result, officially announced the suspension of the IPO. So, the estimated IPO valuation at this point is about ₩8.1T. <strong>The Aramco investment of ₩1.37T for a 17% stake translates into an ₩8.1T valuation.</strong></p><p><em>Hyundai Oilbank recorded an operating profit of ₩412.8B in the first quarter of this year, successfully turning to black compared to the previous quarter.</em></p>

Hyundai Oilbank has officially started the IPO process. It has reportedly sent out an RFP to local and overseas brokerages. The company is expected to pursue a listing on the KOSPI in early 2022.
After stopping preparations for an IPO in 2019, it again seeks to enter the stock market after more than two years. This is the third challenge since 2012, when the first listing attempt was made.

In 2012, the company gave up halfway due to the sharp drop in international oil prices. 
In 2017, Hyundai Oilbank was designated as a company subject to accounting supervision. So the IPO was again abandoned midway.

In January 2019, Hyundai Oilbank raised an equity investment worth ₩1.37T from Saudi Aramco for a 17% stake, and as a result, officially announced the suspension of the IPO. So, the estimated IPO valuation at this point is about ₩8.1T. The Aramco investment of ₩1.37T for a 17% stake translates into an ₩8.1T valuation.Hyundai Oilbank recorded an operating profit of ₩412.8B in the first quarter of this year, successfully turning to black compared to the previous quarter.

KOSE (Long) Vs. HHI Holdings (Short) Pair Trade on Hyundai Oilbank IPO

Research from Asian Century Stocks, Asian Century Stocks

Michael Fritzell

Research from Asian Century Stocks

Providing financial journalism in the Asia-Pacific

Asian Century Stocks

Asian Century Stocks is a newsletter providing financial journalism for companies and stocks in the Asia-Pacific. 
The Asian Century Stocks logotype “百” stands for “one hundred” or a “century”. The economic centre of gravity is moving towards Asia. Yet most global investors are missing out.

Equity Bottom-Up

<section class="figure">
<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/214/158/original/1.png?1624239576" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="214158"></figure>
</section>
<p>I just read the book <a href="https://www.amazon.com/Samsung-Rising-Inside-Korean-Conquer-ebook/dp/B07T9WTTZC/ref=sr_1_1?dchild=1&amp;keywords=samsung+rising&amp;qid=1623743594&amp;sr=8-1" target="_blank" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.amazon.com/Samsung-Rising-Inside-Korean-Conquer-ebook/dp/B07T9WTTZC/ref%3Dsr_1_1?dchild%3D1%26keywords%3Dsamsung%2Brising%26qid%3D1623743594%26sr%3D8-1&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1624323969123000&amp;usg=AFQjCNGC2aiiwDMsNjEfaxR0gESTgnBzqg" rel="noopener">Samsung Rising</a> by Geoffrey Cain and found it enlightening.</p>
<p>Samsung is a unique company: one of the best brand names to ever come out of East Asia.</p>
<p>This post will give you a brief history of how Samsung made the journey from a post-war trading company to an international technology giant. I will then describe where Samsung is today and where it could be heading in the future.</p>




I just read the book Samsung Rising by Geoffrey Cain and found it enlightening.
Samsung is a unique company: one of the best brand names to ever come out of East Asia.
This post will give you a brief history of how Samsung made the journey from a post-war trading company to an international technology giant. I will then describe where Samsung is today and where it could be heading in the future.

South Korea

Samsung Heavy Industries Co., Ltd. manufactures crude oil tankers, container vessels, bulk carriers, cruisers, and passenger ferries.  The Company also produces steel and bridge structures, and material handling equipment.  In addition, Samsung Heavy Industries provides civil engineering, architectural, and plant construction services.

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Samsung Heavy Industries (010140 KS)

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