SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Share buybacks by primary listed companies 28 Jul - 3 Aug 2023 Stocks that booked the highest net institutional outflow over the five sessions included Singapore Airlines, Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust, Genting Singapore, Jardine Matheson, CapitaLand Investment, Venture Corporation, Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust, Suntec Reit and Sheng Siong Group.</li><li>There were four primary-listed companies conducting share buybacks over the five trading sessions through to Aug 3 with a total consideration of S$11.4 million.</li></ul>

Share buybacks by primary listed companies 28 Jul - 3 Aug 2023 Stocks that booked the highest net institutional outflow over the five sessions included Singapore Airlines, Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust, Genting Singapore, Jardine Matheson, CapitaLand Investment, Venture Corporation, Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust, Suntec Reit and Sheng Siong Group.There were four primary-listed companies conducting share buybacks over the five trading sessions through to Aug 3 with a total consideration of S$11.4 million.

Jardine C&C MD Ben Birks acquires more shares following H1 FY23 earnings report

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>This may get squeezy after <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nippon-yusen-kk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12285:1" rel="noopener">Nippon Yusen Kk (9101 JP)</a> announced a ¥200bn over 9mos. Do not be short. Be long. </li>
<li>On an implied stub and simple ratio, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/takara-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11074:1" rel="noopener">Takara Holdings (2531 JP)</a> is trading rich to 60.9%-held <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/takara-bio-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10766:1" rel="noopener">Takara Bio Inc (4974 JP)</a>. </li>
<li>Remain bullish <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kawasaki-kisen-kaisha-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3548:1" rel="noopener">Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha (9107 JP)</a> vs TOPIX, especially near-term. But this is a much less exciting and squeeze-able opportunity than before,</li>
</ul>


This may get squeezy after Nippon Yusen Kk (9101 JP) announced a ¥200bn over 9mos. Do not be short. Be long. 
On an implied stub and simple ratio, Takara Holdings (2531 JP) is trading rich to 60.9%-held Takara Bio Inc (4974 JP). 
Remain bullish Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha (9107 JP) vs TOPIX, especially near-term. But this is a much less exciting and squeeze-able opportunity than before,


Last Week in Event SPACE: Nippon Yusen, Takara, Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha, PCCW/HKT, ANZ

Jardine Cycle & Carriage / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>With the narrowest monthly percentage trading range since Feb 2015, the STI consolidated in April, taking its total return for the first four months of 2023 to , which was also the precise mid-point between the total returns of the FTSE Asia Pacific Index at 3.3% and FTSE ASEAN All-Share Index at 0.8%, in SGD terms.</li><li>Keppel Corporation, Jardine Cycle & Carriage and CapitaLand Investment led the STI in April, averaging 9.0% total returns, bringing their 4-month total returns to 34.3%, 18.5% and 5.4% respectively.</li><li>The STI ended April with a 1.3% total return, bringing its total return for the four months ending April to 2.1%.</li></ul>

With the narrowest monthly percentage trading range since Feb 2015, the STI consolidated in April, taking its total return for the first four months of 2023 to , which was also the precise mid-point between the total returns of the FTSE Asia Pacific Index at 3.3% and FTSE ASEAN All-Share Index at 0.8%, in SGD terms.Keppel Corporation, Jardine Cycle & Carriage and CapitaLand Investment led the STI in April, averaging 9.0% total returns, bringing their 4-month total returns to 34.3%, 18.5% and 5.4% respectively.The STI ended April with a 1.3% total return, bringing its total return for the four months ending April to 2.1%.

Keppel Corp, Jardine C&C and CapitaLand Invest Led STI in April 

<ul>
<li>Back on the 8 March 2021, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jardine-matheson-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19718:1" rel="noopener">Jardine Matheson (JM SP)</a> made a cash acquisition for the 15% of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jardine-strategic-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15081:1" rel="noopener">Jardine Strategic (JS SP)</a>'s share capital it did not already own.</li>
<li>The US$33/share Offer price was arguably light. But with the amalgamation requiring 75% approval and Matheson providing an irrevocable to vote its 84.89% stake for the transaction, it was done.</li>
<li>On the 20 April 2022, the Bermuda Court dismissed Jardine's application to strike out dissenting shareholders who acquired shares after the Offer was announced. Last month, Jardine lost its appeal. </li>
</ul>


Back on the 8 March 2021, Jardine Matheson (JM SP) made a cash acquisition for the 15% of Jardine Strategic (JS SP)'s share capital it did not already own.
The US$33/share Offer price was arguably light. But with the amalgamation requiring 75% approval and Matheson providing an irrevocable to vote its 84.89% stake for the transaction, it was done.
On the 20 April 2022, the Bermuda Court dismissed Jardine's application to strike out dissenting shareholders who acquired shares after the Offer was announced. Last month, Jardine lost its appeal. 


Jardine Strategic's Dissentient Shareholders: The Sensible And Workable Approach

<ul>
<li>In a dealbreak, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/australia-and-new-zealand-banking-group-anz" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:443:1" rel="noopener">ANZ (ANZ AU)</a> will either have enough capital in a downturn or excess capital it could use to buy back stock. If behavioural remedies, SunCorp is cheaper. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jardine-cycle-carriage-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:347:1" rel="noopener">Jardine Cycle &amp; Carriage (JCNC SP)</a>'s implied stub value is around its highest-ever level, dating back to 2004.</li>
<li>There is no good reason to be long Adani names, even if GQG is up 25% on his money so far.</li>
</ul>


In a dealbreak, ANZ (ANZ AU) will either have enough capital in a downturn or excess capital it could use to buy back stock. If behavioural remedies, SunCorp is cheaper. 

Jardine Cycle &amp; Carriage (JCNC SP)'s implied stub value is around its highest-ever level, dating back to 2004.
There is no good reason to be long Adani names, even if GQG is up 25% on his money so far.


Last Week in Event SPACE: ANZ/​Suncorp, JCNC, Adani, Khan Bank/HS Holdings, Hong Kong Buybacks

Singapore

Jardine Cycle & Carriage Limited operates as an investment holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, invests in automotive, consumer finance, utilities and infrastructure, heavy equipment and mining, property, agribusiness, cement, and consumer products businesses. Jardine Cycle & Carriage serves customers in South East Asia.

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Jardine Cycle & Carriage (JCNC SP)

Jardine C&C MD Ben Birks acquires more shares following H1 FY23 earnings report

Share buybacks by primary listed companies 28 Jul - 3 Aug 2023 Stocks that booked the highest net institutional outflow over the five sessions...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Last Week in Event SPACE: Nippon Yusen, Takara, Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha, PCCW/HKT, ANZ

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Keppel Corp, Jardine C&C and CapitaLand Invest Led STI in April

With the narrowest monthly percentage trading range since Feb 2015, the STI consolidated in April, taking its total return for the first four...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Jardine Strategic's Dissentient Shareholders: The Sensible And Workable Approach

In April 2022, Jardine's application to strike out dissenters who acquired shares after the Offer was announced was dismissed. Last month, Jardines...

David Blennerhassett

Last Week in Event SPACE: ANZ/Suncorp, JCNC, Adani, Khan Bank/HS Holdings, Hong Kong Buybacks

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Jardine C&C MD Ben Birks acquires more shares following H1 FY23 earnings report

Share buybacks by primary listed companies 28 Jul - 3 Aug 2023 Stocks that booked the highest net institutional outflow over the five sessions...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Last Week in Event SPACE: Nippon Yusen, Takara, Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha, PCCW/HKT, ANZ

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Keppel Corp, Jardine C&C and CapitaLand Invest Led STI in April

With the narrowest monthly percentage trading range since Feb 2015, the STI consolidated in April, taking its total return for the first four...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Jardine Strategic's Dissentient Shareholders: The Sensible And Workable Approach

In April 2022, Jardine's application to strike out dissenters who acquired shares after the Offer was announced was dismissed. Last month, Jardines...

David Blennerhassett

Last Week in Event SPACE: ANZ/​Suncorp, JCNC, Adani, Khan Bank/HS Holdings, Hong Kong Buybacks

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Last Week in Event SPACE: ANZ/Suncorp, JCNC, Adani, Khan Bank/HS Holdings, Hong Kong Buybacks