Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Major earnings this week including Hon Hai, Novatek, Wistron, Asustek, and more.</li>
<li>We believe one can consider Long Acer vs. Short Asustek into Asustek's results this week.</li>
<li>Apple Suppliers -- Quanta has tracked Apple's success while others have lagged by a large margin.</li>
</ul>


Major earnings this week including Hon Hai, Novatek, Wistron, Asustek, and more.
We believe one can consider Long Acer vs. Short Asustek into Asustek's results this week.
Apple Suppliers -- Quanta has tracked Apple's success while others have lagged by a large margin.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Hon Hai Earnings; Long/Short Into Asustek Results; Quanta Tracking Apple Shares

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Q1’23 revenues of $2.43 billion, marginally above the guided midpoint $2.35 billion, down 17.5% sequentially and up 6.4% YoY.</li>
<li>For Q2’23, the company expects revenues of $2.25 billion at the midpoint, down 4% sequentially.</li>
<li>KLAC historically outperforms its peers during semi down cycles. This time will be no different.</li>
</ul>


Q1’23 revenues of $2.43 billion, marginally above the guided midpoint $2.35 billion, down 17.5% sequentially and up 6.4% YoY.
For Q2’23, the company expects revenues of $2.25 billion at the midpoint, down 4% sequentially.
KLAC historically outperforms its peers during semi down cycles. This time will be no different.


KLAC Q1'23 Earnings Report. So Far, So Good

<ul>
<li>With ~2x exposure to memory compared to its peers, LRCX is feeling the pain</li>
<li>Q1 revenues of  $3.87 billion were marginally higher than the forecasted midpoint, down 26.7% sequentially and down 4.4% YoY.</li>
<li>For the current quarter, LRCX expects revenues to decline a further ~ 20% to $3.1 billion at the midpoint.</li>
</ul>


With ~2x exposure to memory compared to its peers, LRCX is feeling the pain
Q1 revenues of  $3.87 billion were marginally higher than the forecasted midpoint, down 26.7% sequentially and down 4.4% YoY.
For the current quarter, LRCX expects revenues to decline a further ~ 20% to $3.1 billion at the midpoint.


Senior Technology Analyst, Japanese Equities, LightStream Research

Scott Foster

Senior Technology Analyst, Japanese Equities

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

<ul>
<li>Samsung is finally cutting semiconductor production while Micron makes further cuts to both production and capital spending. </li>
<li>Demand for Japanese semiconductor production equipment has stopped growing and the Japanese government plans to restrict exports in the months ahead. </li>
<li>An optimist would say that the bad news is now all in the price, but this is not good for Tokyo Electron (TEL) and its shares are not cheap.</li>
</ul>


Samsung is finally cutting semiconductor production while Micron makes further cuts to both production and capital spending. 
Demand for Japanese semiconductor production equipment has stopped growing and the Japanese government plans to restrict exports in the months ahead. 
An optimist would say that the bad news is now all in the price, but this is not good for Tokyo Electron (TEL) and its shares are not cheap.


Tokyo Electron (8035 JP): Recovery Likely to Be Slow

<ul>
<li>Samsung announced that it would reduce memory chip production in light of crashing profits, this is after the company had previously said it would not reduce production. Memory names rallied.</li>
<li>Hon Hai announced a $820m investment plan for EV manufacturing in southern Taiwan.</li>
<li>Japan's semiconductor manufacturing equipment export restrictions targeting China will take effect starting in July.</li>
</ul>


Samsung announced that it would reduce memory chip production in light of crashing profits, this is after the company had previously said it would not reduce production. Memory names rallied.
Hon Hai announced a $820m investment plan for EV manufacturing in southern Taiwan.
Japan's semiconductor manufacturing equipment export restrictions targeting China will take effect starting in July.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Samsung Finally Announces Chip Production Cuts; Hon Hai's New EV Factory

Japan

Tokyo Electron Limited manufactures and sells industrial electronics products, such as semiconductor manufacturing machines, computer system, and electronic components.  The Company products are sold in US, Taiwan, and others as well as in Japan.

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Tokyo Electron Ltd Unsp Adr (TOELY US)

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Hon Hai Earnings; Long/Short Into Asustek Results; Quanta Tracking Apple Shares

Quanta has tracked Apple's share price success while many other suppliers have lagged by a large margin. Separately, one can consider going Long...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

KLAC Q1'23 Earnings Report. So Far, So Good

Q1’23 revenues of $2.43 billion, down 17.5% sequentially and up 6.4% YoY. KLAC historically outperforms its peers during semi down cycles. This...

William Keating

LRCX. Memory Bites. Hard

With ~2x exposure to memory compared to its peers, LRCX is feeling the pain.Q1 revenues of $3.87 billion were -26.7% sequentially and -4.4% YoY....

William Keating

Tokyo Electron (8035 JP): Recovery Likely to Be Slow

Samsung to cut memory IC production. Micron to make further cuts to production and capex. Japan to add new sanctions on China. Inventory still too...

Scott Foster

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Samsung Finally Announces Chip Production Cuts; Hon Hai's New EV Factory

Samsung reversed its production capacity strategy after suffering losses. Also, Japan's semiconductor manufacturing equipment export restrictions...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

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