HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Theoretically, there’s no need to doubt WuXi XDC's growth momentum. What needs to be proven is how large the actual ADC market is, which determines how much valuation it deserves.</li>
<li>However, the biggest problem currently is geopolitical risks, which make performance forecasts groundless. In the context of Sino-US confrontation, there is “a hesitation” towards sustained high growth of WuXi XDC.</li>
<li>If several pieces of news are put together, this is not just about China CXO/TikTok being sanctioned by US. New balance point in the game between great powers will emerge.</li>
</ul>


Theoretically, there’s no need to doubt WuXi XDC's growth momentum. What needs to be proven is how large the actual ADC market is, which determines how much valuation it deserves.
However, the biggest problem currently is geopolitical risks, which make performance forecasts groundless. In the context of Sino-US confrontation, there is “a hesitation” towards sustained high growth of WuXi XDC.
If several pieces of news are put together, this is not just about China CXO/TikTok being sanctioned by US. New balance point in the game between great powers will emerge.


WuXi XDC Cayman (2268.HK) - Don't Rush to Bottom Fish This Stock

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric Co., Ltd. / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The New/Better A-H Premium Tracker has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.</li>
<li>SOUTHBOUND's consecutive buying streak ended on Monday, and a new buying streak started Tuesday. NORTHBOUND net bought the dip. Last week's (double long) choice Longyuan Power was up 5.24%.</li>
<li>Narrow AH premia narrowed some. Wider AH premia saw Hs outperform. There is a LOT of spread left in this market.  7 recommendations this week.</li>
</ul>


The New/Better A-H Premium Tracker has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.
SOUTHBOUND's consecutive buying streak ended on Monday, and a new buying streak started Tuesday. NORTHBOUND net bought the dip. Last week's (double long) choice Longyuan Power was up 5.24%.
Narrow AH premia narrowed some. Wider AH premia saw Hs outperform. There is a LOT of spread left in this market.  7 recommendations this week.


A/H Premium Tracker (To 28 Mar 2024):  Liquid AH Premia Still Very Wide

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of March 28th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$835.0 million, led by financials, consumer staples, information technology sectors, and offset by health care, communication services, materials.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for stocks including Wuliangye, China Merchants Bank.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of March 28th.
We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$835.0 million, led by financials, consumer staples, information technology sectors, and offset by health care, communication services, materials.
We highlight flows for stocks including Wuliangye, China Merchants Bank.


Northbound Flows (Mar 28th): Wuliangye, CMB

Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts with which to play.</li>
<li>Last week saw NORTHBOUND net SELL RMB 7.8bn of A-shares on decent volume after buying RMB 32.8bn the week before. This is a small sell vs 6 weeks of buying.</li>
<li>The volume now is still chasing momentum. CATL the big buy, and less passive-feeling than last week.</li>
</ul>


The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts with which to play.
Last week saw NORTHBOUND net SELL RMB 7.8bn of A-shares on decent volume after buying RMB 32.8bn the week before. This is a small sell vs 6 weeks of buying.
The volume now is still chasing momentum. CATL the big buy, and less passive-feeling than last week.


Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 22 Mar 2024): NB Turns Net Seller, CATL the Big Buy

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of March 22nd.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$934.0 million, led by health care, materials, information technology, and offset by communication services, industrials, consumer staples.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for CATL, Wuliangye, Midea, Wuxi Apptec, Moutai, Thunder Software Technology.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of March 22nd.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$934.0 million, led by health care, materials, information technology, and offset by communication services, industrials, consumer staples.
We highlight flows for CATL, Wuliangye, Midea, Wuxi Apptec, Moutai, Thunder Software Technology.


Northbound Flows (Mar 22nd): CATL, Wuliangye, Midea, Wuxi Apptec, Moutai, Thunder Software

China

WuXi AppTec Co., Ltd. manufactures medical products. The Company produces biological agents, antibodies, biological diagnostic reagents, and other products. WuXi AppTec also provides biological analysis, technical study, and other services.

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WuXi AppTec (2359 HK)

WuXi XDC Cayman (2268.HK) - Don't Rush to Bottom Fish This Stock

Due to geopolitical conflicts, there is “a hesitation” towards sustained high growth of WuXi XDC. This helps explain why WuXi XDC posted high...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

A/H Premium Tracker (To 28 Mar 2024): Liquid AH Premia Still Very Wide

The Quiddity AH Monitor Portfolio was -0.26% last week. It is tilted long H vs A than it has ever been as far as I know. Spreads are still very...

Travis Lundy

Northbound Flows (Mar 28th): Wuliangye, CMB

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Wuliangye, China Merchants Bank.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 22 Mar 2024): NB Turns Net Seller, CATL the Big Buy

After nearly 100bn RMB of inflows over the last 7-8 weeks, a week of RMB 7+bn of outflows. Felt like trimming rather than hard selling. CATL was...

Travis Lundy

Northbound Flows (Mar 22nd): CATL, Wuliangye, Midea, Wuxi Apptec, Moutai, Thunder Software

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for CATL, Wuliangye, Midea, Wuxi Apptec, Moutai,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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