IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sanil-electric-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43687:1" rel="noopener">Sanil Electric (062040 KS)</a>, a Korean industrial transformer manufacturer, is seeking to raise up to US$165 million.</li>
<li>In <em><strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/sanil-electric-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:150440" rel="noopener">Sanil Electric IPO: The Bull Case</a></strong></em>, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.</li>
<li>The bear case rests on rapidly slowing growth, high customer concentration, mid-tier revenue growth and mid-tier FCF margin compared to peers.</li>
</ul>



Sanil Electric (062040 KS), a Korean industrial transformer manufacturer, is seeking to raise up to US$165 million.
In Sanil Electric IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.
The bear case rests on rapidly slowing growth, high customer concentration, mid-tier revenue growth and mid-tier FCF margin compared to peers.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sanil-electric-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43687:1" rel="noopener">Sanil Electric (062040 KS)</a>, a Korean industrial transformer manufacturer, is seeking to raise up to US$165 million.    </li>
<li>The IPO is a pure primary raise of 7.6 million shares at an IPO price range of KRW24,000-30,000. Book building will run from 9 to 15 July.</li>
<li>The bull case rests on US-led rapid revenue growth, high barriers to entry, good revenue visibility, improving margins, top-quartile margin performance and modest leverage.</li>
</ul>



Sanil Electric (062040 KS), a Korean industrial transformer manufacturer, is seeking to raise up to US$165 million.    
The IPO is a pure primary raise of 7.6 million shares at an IPO price range of KRW24,000-30,000. Book building will run from 9 to 15 July.
The bull case rests on US-led rapid revenue growth, high barriers to entry, good revenue visibility, improving margins, top-quartile margin performance and modest leverage.


Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices will run from 1 June to 31 August.</li>
<li>We see 6 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 1 new addition to LargeCap, 6 stocks moving from SmallCap to MidCap and 3 new additions to MidCap.</li>
<li>Stocks migrating upward have outperformed stocks migrating lower. But there are still stocks trading at a Price to Book of less than 1.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices will run from 1 June to 31 August.
We see 6 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 1 new addition to LargeCap, 6 stocks moving from SmallCap to MidCap and 3 new additions to MidCap.
Stocks migrating upward have outperformed stocks migrating lower. But there are still stocks trading at a Price to Book of less than 1.


KOSPI Size Indices: Potential Migrations in September Are Moving

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

<ul>
<li>We provide an update of the potential KOSPI200 rebalance candidates in June 2024. </li>
<li>The bottom 5% market caps in KOSPI200 could be excluded from the KOSPI200 rebalance in June 2024. These 10 stocks are down on average 12.6% YTD. </li>
<li>We identified seven potential inclusion candidates. Among them, those that have low PBR multiples including HHI and Dongwon Industries could continue to outperform the market leading up to rebalance announcement. </li>
</ul>


We provide an update of the potential KOSPI200 rebalance candidates in June 2024. 
The bottom 5% market caps in KOSPI200 could be excluded from the KOSPI200 rebalance in June 2024. These 10 stocks are down on average 12.6% YTD. 
We identified seven potential inclusion candidates. Among them, those that have low PBR multiples including HHI and Dongwon Industries could continue to outperform the market leading up to rebalance announcement. 


An Update of the Potential KOSPI200 Rebalance Candidates in June 2024

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyosung-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20712:1" rel="noopener">Hyosung Corporation (004800 KS)</a> has announced that it is spinning off part of its business holdings to Hyosung New Holding Corporation in a 0.818:0.182 ratio.</li>
<li>The stock will remain suspended from late June to late July. We expect <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyosung-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20712:1" rel="noopener">Hyosung Corporation (004800 KS)</a> to maintain its index membership while the New Entity will not be added.</li>
<li>The dynamics between listed ETFs and non-listed passive trackers differ and we take a look at the potential index flows.</li>
</ul>



Hyosung Corporation (004800 KS) has announced that it is spinning off part of its business holdings to Hyosung New Holding Corporation in a 0.818:0.182 ratio.
The stock will remain suspended from late June to late July. We expect Hyosung Corporation (004800 KS) to maintain its index membership while the New Entity will not be added.
The dynamics between listed ETFs and non-listed passive trackers differ and we take a look at the potential index flows.


Hyosung Corp (004800 KS): Spin-Off & KOSPI200 Index Implications

South Korea

Hyosung Heavy Industries Corporation manufactures electrical power equipment. The Company produces and sells transformers, generators, and other related products. Hyosung Heavy Industries markets its products worldwide.

Hyosung Heavy Industries Corp (298040 KS)

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Hyosung Heavy Industries Corp (298040 KS)

Sanil Electric IPO: The Bear Case

The bear case rests on rapidly slowing growth, high customer concentration, mid-tier revenue growth and mid-tier FCF margin compared to peers.

Arun George

Sanil Electric IPO: The Bull Case

The bull case rests on US-led rapid revenue growth, high barriers to entry, good revenue visibility, improving margins, top-quartile margin...

Arun George

KOSPI Size Indices: Potential Migrations in September Are Moving

There are many changes expected for the KOSPI size indices in September. The potential upward migrations have outperformed the potential downward...

Brian Freitas

An Update of the Potential KOSPI200 Rebalance Candidates in June 2024

We provide an update of the potential KOSPI200 rebalance candidates in June 2024. We identified seven potential inclusion candidates and 10...

Douglas Kim

Hyosung Corp (004800 KS): Spin-Off & KOSPI200 Index Implications

Hyosung Corp is spinning-off part of its businesses to a new entity. The surviving entity will maintain its KS200 membership while the new entity...

Brian Freitas

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