Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>IQiyi reported 1Q2022 results last week. Revenue fell 8.7% YoY to RMB 7.3bn (vs consensus RMB 7.22bn) and reported an OP of RMB 93.4m (vs consensus loss of RMB 297m).</li>
<li>Growth in ARM helped offset decline in the number of subscribers for membership revenue. However, online advertising and content distribution both declined due to lack of content and macroeconomic weaknesses.  </li>
<li>IQiyi’s shares have gained 11.2% since its earnings announcement as the company reported an OPM for the first time.</li>
</ul>


IQiyi reported 1Q2022 results last week. Revenue fell 8.7% YoY to RMB 7.3bn (vs consensus RMB 7.22bn) and reported an OP of RMB 93.4m (vs consensus loss of RMB 297m).
Growth in ARM helped offset decline in the number of subscribers for membership revenue. However, online advertising and content distribution both declined due to lack of content and macroeconomic weaknesses.  
IQiyi’s shares have gained 11.2% since its earnings announcement as the company reported an OPM for the first time.


IQiyi – Generates Profits for the First Time; Can It Maintain Its Profitability?

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> reported 1Q2022 results today. Revenue grew 0.1% YoY to RMB135.5bn (vs consensus RMB140.7bn) while reported OP decreased 34% YoY to RMB37.2bn (vs consensus RMB37.3bn).</li>
<li>Adjusted OP was down 36% YoY to RMB22.3bn while adjusted OPM declined to 39.2% from 56.1% in the same period a year ago.</li>
<li>Tencent’s 1Q2022 revenues were below our estimates of RMB144.3bn which was mainly due to significant drop in Fintech and business services revenues.</li>
</ul>



Tencent (700 HK) reported 1Q2022 results today. Revenue grew 0.1% YoY to RMB135.5bn (vs consensus RMB140.7bn) while reported OP decreased 34% YoY to RMB37.2bn (vs consensus RMB37.3bn).
Adjusted OP was down 36% YoY to RMB22.3bn while adjusted OPM declined to 39.2% from 56.1% in the same period a year ago.
Tencent’s 1Q2022 revenues were below our estimates of RMB144.3bn which was mainly due to significant drop in Fintech and business services revenues.


Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>In Depth: PBOC isn’t done with fintech as ethics governance regulations loom</li><li>China detects new omicron subvariant considered more infectious</li><li>China’s developers slash investment for first time since 2020</li></ul>

In Depth: PBOC isn’t done with fintech as ethics governance regulations loomChina detects new omicron subvariant considered more infectiousChina’s developers slash investment for first time since 2020

CX Daily: PBOC Isn’t Done With Fintech As Ethics Governance Regulations Loom

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-music-entertainment" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27255:1" rel="noopener">Tencent Music (TME US)</a> reported 1Q2022 results today. Revenue declined 15% YoY to RMB6.64bn (vs consensus RMB6.69n) while reported OP dropped 35.7% YoY to RMB749m (vs consensus RMB817m).</li>
<li>Revenue from Online music services declined YoY for the first time since 2017 while revenue from Social Entertainment services further declined during the quarter.</li>
<li>We expect TME’s earnings to remain under pressure with increased competition and regulatory restrictions on livestreaming sector.</li>
</ul>



Tencent Music (TME US) reported 1Q2022 results today. Revenue declined 15% YoY to RMB6.64bn (vs consensus RMB6.69n) while reported OP dropped 35.7% YoY to RMB749m (vs consensus RMB817m).
Revenue from Online music services declined YoY for the first time since 2017 while revenue from Social Entertainment services further declined during the quarter.
We expect TME’s earnings to remain under pressure with increased competition and regulatory restrictions on livestreaming sector.


TME – Miss on Revenue and Margins; Earnings Continue to Remain Under Pressure

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Life Insurance  of India / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>On the IPOs front, LIC's anchor book wasn't great while Delhivery finally launched its IPO and Hong Kong market saw its first launch in a while.</li>
<li>Placements remained few and far between with only <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/air-new-zealand-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:815:1" rel="noopener">Air New Zealand (AIR NZ)</a> launching its shortfall bookbuild.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
On the IPOs front, LIC's anchor book wasn't great while Delhivery finally launched its IPO and Hong Kong market saw its first launch in a while.
Placements remained few and far between with only Air New Zealand (AIR NZ) launching its shortfall bookbuild.


ECM Weekly (9th May 22) - LIC, Campus, Rainbow, Delhivery, Shieldus, Yunkang, PAG, Keep, Air NZ

China

Tencent Music Entertainment operates an online music entertainment platform in China. The Company offers platform that comprises of online music, recording, music-centric live streaming enabling users to discover, listen, sing, watch, perform, and socialize music.

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Tencent Music (TME US)

IQiyi – Generates Profits for the First Time; Can It Maintain Its Profitability?

Though iQiyi's revenues declined YoY in 1Q2022 due to weaknesses in online ad and content distrbn, the company managed to report operating profits...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Tencent 1Q2022– Weaker than Expected

Revenue and OP missed consensus, revenue was flat YoY. Internet VAS and Online advertising expected to be weak but fintech revenues were impacted...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

CX Daily: PBOC Isn’t Done With Fintech As Ethics Governance Regulations Loom

In Depth: PBOC isn’t done with fintech as ethics governance regulations loom. China detects new omicron subvariant considered more infectious

Caixin Global

TME – Miss on Revenue and Margins; Earnings Continue to Remain Under Pressure

Revenue and OP fell below consensus and online music revenue declined YoY for the first time in 1Q22. Having given up on exclusive music licensing...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

ECM Weekly (9th May 22) - LIC, Campus, Rainbow, Delhivery, Shieldus, Yunkang, PAG, Keep, Air NZ

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

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