Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Kuaishou reported 4Q2021 results yesterday. Revenue grew 35.0% YoY to RMB24.4bn (vs consensus RMB23.1bn) while operating losses for the quarter dropped to 23.7% of revenues to RMB5.8bn (vs consensus RMB5.72bn).</li>
<li>The company’s operating losses widened to 36.1% of revenues in 3Q2021 while revenue from livestreaming further declined during the last quarter.</li>
<li>In our previous insight, we highlighted Kuaishou’s cost cutting measures to help improve operating efficiency and forecasted operating losses to be in the range of 22-25% of revenues in 4Q2021</li>
</ul>


Kuaishou reported 4Q2021 results yesterday. Revenue grew 35.0% YoY to RMB24.4bn (vs consensus RMB23.1bn) while operating losses for the quarter dropped to 23.7% of revenues to RMB5.8bn (vs consensus RMB5.72bn).
The company’s operating losses widened to 36.1% of revenues in 3Q2021 while revenue from livestreaming further declined during the last quarter.
In our previous insight, we highlighted Kuaishou’s cost cutting measures to help improve operating efficiency and forecasted operating losses to be in the range of 22-25% of revenues in 4Q2021


Kuaishou 4Q2021: Strong Quarter with Recovery in Livestreaming and Improvement in Profitability

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

JD.com Inc (ADR) / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>Placements were back with a bang this week with multiple blocks across the region. All eyes will be on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com Inc. (9618 HK)</a> in the coming week.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/farm-fresh-berhad" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34617:1" rel="noopener">Farm Fresh Berhad (FF MY)</a>'s IPO got off to a good start, while Hong Kong IPOs continue to be lackluster.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
Placements were back with a bang this week with multiple blocks across the region. All eyes will be on JD.com Inc. (9618 HK) in the coming week.

Farm Fresh Berhad (FF MY)'s IPO got off to a good start, while Hong Kong IPOs continue to be lackluster.


ECM Weekly (27th Mar 2022) - JD, Tencent, Prosus, Ferretti, Recbio, Nomura, Navi, Samsung, Celltrion

<ul>
<li>On 23rd Dec 2021, Tencent declared a special interim dividend in the form of a distribution in specie of 457.326m Class A ordinary shares of JD.com.</li>
<li>While Tencent went ex-div on 20th Jan 2022, the actual settlement of the distribution is expected to happen on or about 25th Mar 2022.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the updates since our last note and have a closer look at Prosus and its possible motivation/intention with its JD.com stake.</li>
</ul>


On 23rd Dec 2021, Tencent declared a special interim dividend in the form of a distribution in specie of 457.326m Class A ordinary shares of JD.com.
While Tencent went ex-div on 20th Jan 2022, the actual settlement of the distribution is expected to happen on or about 25th Mar 2022.
In this note, we talk about the updates since our last note and have a closer look at Prosus and its possible motivation/intention with its JD.com stake.


JD.com Tencent Distribution - Updates on the Now US$15bn Overhang and the Prosus Angle

<ul>
<li>TME reported 4Q2021 results on Monday. Revenue for the quarter decreased 8.7% YoY to RMB7.61bn (vs consensus RMB7.66bn) and reported OP decreased 47.3% YoY to RMB682m (vs consensus RMB1.3bn).</li>
<li>Revenue from Online music services grew single digit (4%) for the first time while revenue from Social Entertainment services dropped further during the quarter.</li>
<li>TME expects its revenues to decline in 2022 as it expects the social entertainment services business to remain under pressure due to competition and regulatory pressure.</li>
</ul>


TME reported 4Q2021 results on Monday. Revenue for the quarter decreased 8.7% YoY to RMB7.61bn (vs consensus RMB7.66bn) and reported OP decreased 47.3% YoY to RMB682m (vs consensus RMB1.3bn).
Revenue from Online music services grew single digit (4%) for the first time while revenue from Social Entertainment services dropped further during the quarter.
TME expects its revenues to decline in 2022 as it expects the social entertainment services business to remain under pressure due to competition and regulatory pressure.


TME 4Q Results: Earnings Continue to Weaken

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

<ul>
<li>In 4Q21, TME’s revenue decreased YoY for the first time since its IPO.</li>
<li>We do not believe the music rise will cover the social entertainment decline in 2022.</li>
<li>Either, we do not believe social entertainment will recover based on its operating data.</li>
</ul>


In 4Q21, TME’s revenue decreased YoY for the first time since its IPO.
We do not believe the music rise will cover the social entertainment decline in 2022.
Either, we do not believe social entertainment will recover based on its operating data.


Tencent Music (TME): 4Q21, Revenue Down for First Time

China

Tencent Music Entertainment operates an online music entertainment platform in China. The Company offers platform that comprises of online music, recording, music-centric live streaming enabling users to discover, listen, sing, watch, perform, and socialize music.

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Tencent Music (TME US)

Kuaishou 4Q2021: Strong Quarter with Recovery in Livestreaming and Improvement in Profitability

Kuaishou reported 4Q2021 results yesterday. Revenue grew 35.0% YoY to RMB24.4bn (vs consensus RMB23.1bn) while operating losses for the quarter...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

ECM Weekly (27th Mar 2022) - JD, Tencent, Prosus, Ferretti, Recbio, Nomura, Navi, Samsung, Celltrion

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

JD.com Tencent Distribution - Updates on the Now US$15bn Overhang and the Prosus Angle

On 23rd Dec 2021, Tencent declared a special interim dividend in the form of a distribution in specie of 457.326m shares of JD.com. In this note we...

Sumeet Singh

TME 4Q Results: Earnings Continue to Weaken

TME's 4Q2021 earnings have further weakened with single-digit growth in online music revenue while social entertainment revenues further decreased...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Tencent Music (TME): 4Q21, Revenue Down for First Time

In 4Q21, TME’s revenue decreased for the first time. We do not believe the music rise will cover the social entertainment decline. Either, we do...

Ming Lu

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