Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The authorization contracts between Activision Blizzard and NetEase will terminate in January 2023.</li>
<li>Tencent plans to distribute 91% of its Meituan share as dividend.</li>
<li>JD Logistics revenue increased by 39% YoY and Net loss decreased to one tenth.</li>
</ul>


The authorization contracts between Activision Blizzard and NetEase will terminate in January 2023.
Tencent plans to distribute 91% of its Meituan share as dividend.
JD Logistics revenue increased by 39% YoY and Net loss decreased to one tenth.


China Internet Weekly (21Nov2022): NetEase, Blizzard, Tencent, Meituan, Tencent Music, JD Logistics

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>TME reported its 3Q22 financial results on 15 Nov.</li><li>Total revenue declined by 5.6% YoY but grew by 6.7% QoQ to RMB7.4bn in 3Q22, largely inline with consensus/CMBI estimate of RMB7.1/7.1bn.</li><li>9M22 revenue was down 11.5% YoY due to the soft performance of social entertainment business.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

TME reported its 3Q22 financial results on 15 Nov.Total revenue declined by 5.6% YoY but grew by 6.7% QoQ to RMB7.4bn in 3Q22, largely inline with consensus/CMBI estimate of RMB7.1/7.1bn.9M22 revenue was down 11.5% YoY due to the soft performance of social entertainment business.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

TME (TME US) – Strong earnings beat on improvement in GPM and operating efficiency

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-music-entertainment" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27255:1" rel="noopener">Tencent Music (TME US)</a>  reported 3Q2022 results yesterday. Revenue declined 5.6% YoY to RMB7.4bn (vs consensus RMB7.0bn) while adjusted OP for the quarter increased 14.0% YoY to RMB765m.</li>
<li>Revenue from social entertainment services decreased 20% YoY which was partially helped offset by 18.8% YoY increase in online music services revenues.</li>
<li>GPM and OPM improved due to huge spending cuts on content, revenue sharing and S&amp;M and we are yet to see if TME can sustain this without compromising user growth.</li>
</ul>



Tencent Music (TME US)  reported 3Q2022 results yesterday. Revenue declined 5.6% YoY to RMB7.4bn (vs consensus RMB7.0bn) while adjusted OP for the quarter increased 14.0% YoY to RMB765m.
Revenue from social entertainment services decreased 20% YoY which was partially helped offset by 18.8% YoY increase in online music services revenues.
GPM and OPM improved due to huge spending cuts on content, revenue sharing and S&amp;M and we are yet to see if TME can sustain this without compromising user growth.


TME: Online Music Biz Resumes Growth but Social Entertainment Further Drops

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>For 3Q22E, social entertainment platforms still face intensifying competition and macro challenges that can weigh on their revenue growth and margin expansion.</li><li>Social entertainment platforms need to innovate their monetization methods and enhance operating efficiency in order to fend off competition and macro headwind, in our view.</li><li>Platforms with concentrated revenue exposure to ad business like Weibo and loss-making platforms like BiliBili (Bili) might be more sensitive to the competition and macro environment.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

For 3Q22E, social entertainment platforms still face intensifying competition and macro challenges that can weigh on their revenue growth and margin expansion.Social entertainment platforms need to innovate their monetization methods and enhance operating efficiency in order to fend off competition and macro headwind, in our view.Platforms with concentrated revenue exposure to ad business like Weibo and loss-making platforms like BiliBili (Bili) might be more sensitive to the competition and macro environment.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Internet– Social Entertainment 3Q22 Preview: Remains Under Pressure

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In Nov 2021, PB Fintech raised around US$793m in its India IPO, via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares.  The lock-up on its pre-IPO shareholder will expire soon.</li>
<li>The company operates two platforms: Policybazaar operates in India’s online insurance product and service industry; and Paisabazaar platform operates in India’s online credit industry. </li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the upcoming lockup expiry.</li>
</ul>


In Nov 2021, PB Fintech raised around US$793m in its India IPO, via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares.  The lock-up on its pre-IPO shareholder will expire soon.
The company operates two platforms: Policybazaar operates in India’s online insurance product and service industry; and Paisabazaar platform operates in India’s online credit industry. 
In this note, we will talk about the upcoming lockup expiry.


PB Fintech (Policy Bazaar) Lockup Expiry - US$1bn+, Stock Down 60% but Everyone Is in the Money

China

Tencent Music Entertainment operates an online music entertainment platform in China. The Company offers platform that comprises of online music, recording, music-centric live streaming enabling users to discover, listen, sing, watch, perform, and socialize music.

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Tencent Music (TME US)

China Internet Weekly (21Nov2022): NetEase, Blizzard, Tencent, Meituan, Tencent Music, JD Logistics

The authorization contracts between Blizzard and NetEase will terminate. Tencent plans to distribute Meituan shares as dividend. JD Logistics...

Ming Lu

TME (TME US) – Strong earnings beat on improvement in GPM and operating efficiency

Total revenue declined by 5.6% YoY but grew by 6.7% QoQ to RMB7.4bn in 3Q22, largely inline with consensus/CMBI estimate of RMB7.1/7.1bn.

CMB International

PB Fintech (Policy Bazaar) Lockup Expiry - US$1bn+, Stock Down 60% but Everyone Is in the Money

In Nov 2021, PB Fintech raised around US$793m in its India IPO, via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares. The lock-up on its pre-IPO...

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

China Internet Weekly (21Nov2022): NetEase, Blizzard, Tencent, Meituan, Tencent Music, JD Logistics

The authorization contracts between Blizzard and NetEase will terminate. Tencent plans to distribute Meituan shares as dividend. JD Logistics...

Ming Lu

TME (TME US) – Strong earnings beat on improvement in GPM and operating efficiency

Total revenue declined by 5.6% YoY but grew by 6.7% QoQ to RMB7.4bn in 3Q22, largely inline with consensus/CMBI estimate of RMB7.1/7.1bn.

CMB International

TME: Online Music Biz Resumes Growth but Social Entertainment Further Drops

TME's earnings beat estimates and price went up 29% which seems unwarranted. Social ent. biz has further declined and margin improvement driven by...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

China Internet– Social Entertainment 3Q22 Preview: Remains Under Pressure

For 3Q22E, social entertainment platforms still face intensifying competition and macro challenges that can weigh on their revenue growth and...

CMB International

PB Fintech (Policy Bazaar) Lockup Expiry - US$1bn+, Stock Down 60% but Everyone Is in the Money

In Nov 2021, PB Fintech raised around US$793m in its India IPO, via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares. The lock-up on its pre-IPO...

Sumeet Singh