Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We are outright negative on regional e-commerce names leading into earnings as a small miss could spark a significant sell-off in the current market conditions.</li>
<li>Even though most regional EC names including <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/coupang-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28425:1" rel="noopener">Coupang (CPNG US)</a> are down by around 65%, we fear that there’s further downside risk in a rising interest rate environment.</li>
<li>In the meantime, we expect Coupang to miss 4Q21 revenue when they report on Thursday. In addition, Coupang has the biggest downside potential as it is expensive compared to peers.</li>
</ul>


We are outright negative on regional e-commerce names leading into earnings as a small miss could spark a significant sell-off in the current market conditions.
Even though most regional EC names including Coupang (CPNG US) are down by around 65%, we fear that there’s further downside risk in a rising interest rate environment.
In the meantime, we expect Coupang to miss 4Q21 revenue when they report on Thursday. In addition, Coupang has the biggest downside potential as it is expensive compared to peers.


Coupang Earnings Preview: More Room to Fall

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>TCOM US/ ATAT US: China Extends Transit Visa-Free Policy to 240 Hours(+/+)</li>
<li>1024 HK: Kuaishou Introduces Subscription Service for Micro Drama Business (+)</li>
<li>700 HK/1439927D CH/BIDU US: Apple Negotiates with Tencent and ByteDance to Launch AI Features in China (+/+/-)</li>
</ul>


TCOM US/ ATAT US: China Extends Transit Visa-Free Policy to 240 Hours(+/+)
1024 HK: Kuaishou Introduces Subscription Service for Micro Drama Business (+)
700 HK/1439927D CH/BIDU US: Apple Negotiates with Tencent and ByteDance to Launch AI Features in China (+/+/-)


[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:TCOM US/ ATAT US/1024 HK/700 HK/1439927D CH /BIDU/3690 HK/JD/BABA/PDD

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Airlines / In Depth: Even more European airlines drop China routes</li><li>Fraud /In Depth: China fleshes out telecom fraud rules to ensure punishments fit the crime</li><li>Temu /: Temu suffers first big setback as Vietnam suspends its operations</li></ul>

Airlines / In Depth: Even more European airlines drop China routesFraud /In Depth: China fleshes out telecom fraud rules to ensure punishments fit the crimeTemu /: Temu suffers first big setback as Vietnam suspends its operations

CX Daily: Even More European Airlines Drop China Routes 

<ul>
<li>BABA US/PDD US/VIPS US/JD US/3690 HK: NBS retail consumption data for November 2024 shows impact of early Double 11 (-/-/-/-/+)</li>
<li>BABA US/600177 CH: Alibaba rumored to sell Intime to Youngor (+//)</li>
<li>PDD US/1519 HK: Temu launches semi-consignment model in Mexico (-/+)</li>
</ul>


BABA US/PDD US/VIPS US/JD US/3690 HK: NBS retail consumption data for November 2024 shows impact of early Double 11 (-/-/-/-/+)
BABA US/600177 CH: Alibaba rumored to sell Intime to Youngor (+//)
PDD US/1519 HK: Temu launches semi-consignment model in Mexico (-/+)


[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:BABA US/PDD US/VIPS US/JD US/3690 HK/600177 CH/1519 HK/NTES US

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Vishal Mega Mart / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vishal-mega-mart" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44041:1" rel="noopener">Vishal Mega Mart (VMM)</a> raised around US$950m in its India IPO.</li>
<li>Vishal Mega Mart Limited (VMM), is a one-stop retail destination. As per the company it targets middle and lower-middle income consumers across India</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance and valuations in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Vishal Mega Mart (VMM) raised around US$950m in its India IPO.
Vishal Mega Mart Limited (VMM), is a one-stop retail destination. As per the company it targets middle and lower-middle income consumers across India
We have looked at the company’s past performance and valuations in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.


Vishal Mega Mart IPO Trading - Strong Demand Despite Not so Strong Anchor

China

PDD Holdings Inc. is a multinational commerce group that owns and operates a portfolio of businesses. The Company focuses on digital economy so that local communities and small businesses can benefit from the increased productivity and new opportunities. PDD Holdings has built a network of sourcing, logistics, and fulfillment capabilities for its underlying businesses.

Price Gauge
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PDD Holdings (PDD US)

Coupang Earnings Preview: More Room to Fall

With Coupang possibly having the biggest downside potential among leading EC players in the region, we would choose it over others names to have a...

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:TCOM US/ ATAT US/1024 HK/700 HK/1439927D CH /BIDU/3690 HK/JD/BABA/PDD

China expands visa-free transit policy, Kuaishou offers subscription service for micro dramas, Apple in talks with Tencent and ByteDance for AI...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

CX Daily: Even More European Airlines Drop China Routes

Airlines / In Depth: Even more European airlines drop China routes On Nov. 9, Scandinavian Airlines (SAS) concluded its final direct flight from...

Caixin Global

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:BABA US/PDD US/VIPS US/JD US/3690 HK/600177 CH/1519 HK/NTES US

Retail consumption data for November 2024 reflects early Double 11 impact, Alibaba rumored to sell Intime to Youngor, and Temu launches semi...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Vishal Mega Mart IPO Trading - Strong Demand Despite Not so Strong Anchor

Vishal Mega Mart (VMM) raised around US$950m in its India IPO. We have looked at the past performance in our earlier notes. In this note, we talk...

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Coupang Earnings Preview: More Room to Fall

With Coupang possibly having the biggest downside potential among leading EC players in the region, we would choose it over others names to have a...

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:TCOM US/ ATAT US/1024 HK/700 HK/1439927D CH /BIDU/3690 HK/JD/BABA/PDD

​China expands visa-free transit policy, Kuaishou offers subscription service for micro dramas, Apple in talks with Tencent and ByteDance for AI...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

CX Daily: Even More European Airlines Drop China Routes

Airlines / In Depth: Even more European airlines drop China routes On Nov. 9, Scandinavian Airlines (SAS) concluded its final direct flight from...

Caixin Global

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:BABA US/PDD US/VIPS US/JD US/3690 HK/600177 CH/1519 HK/NTES US

​Retail consumption data for November 2024 reflects early Double 11 impact, Alibaba rumored to sell Intime to Youngor, and Temu launches semi...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Vishal Mega Mart IPO Trading - Strong Demand Despite Not so Strong Anchor

Vishal Mega Mart (VMM) raised around US$950m in its India IPO. We have looked at the past performance in our earlier notes. In this note, we talk...

Sumeet Singh

China expands visa-free transit policy, Kuaishou offers subscription service for micro dramas, Apple in talks with Tencent and ByteDance for AI...

Retail consumption data for November 2024 reflects early Double 11 impact, Alibaba rumored to sell Intime to Youngor, and Temu launches semi...