Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>We estimate the outflows to be $12.8bn in August and consumer staples, and financials sectors led the outflows.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for CATL, Wuxi Wapptec, Fuyao Glass, Foxconn Industrial, CMB, Wuliangye, Mindray, Moutai, Longi Green.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.
We estimate the outflows to be $12.8bn in August and consumer staples, and financials sectors led the outflows.
We highlight flows for CATL, Wuxi Wapptec, Fuyao Glass, Foxconn Industrial, CMB, Wuliangye, Mindray, Moutai, Longi Green.


Northbound Flows Monthly (August): $12.8bn Outflows

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>CSRC has issued new policies related to stamp duty/IPO/reduction of shares held by listed companies. These new policies may profoundly rewrite the investment logic of the primary and secondary markets.</li>
<li>IPOs may no longer be as attractive to founders. The era of M&amp;A is coming. Investors will prefer companies with positive cash flow, solid commercialization performance, and close to/already breakeven.</li>
<li>In the new context, good stories of high growth alone but with long-term losses may not be effective. We recommend overweight companies with high buybacks/dividend payout, which could eventually outperform.</li>
</ul>


CSRC has issued new policies related to stamp duty/IPO/reduction of shares held by listed companies. These new policies may profoundly rewrite the investment logic of the primary and secondary markets.
IPOs may no longer be as attractive to founders. The era of M&amp;A is coming. Investors will prefer companies with positive cash flow, solid commercialization performance, and close to/already breakeven.
In the new context, good stories of high growth alone but with long-term losses may not be effective. We recommend overweight companies with high buybacks/dividend payout, which could eventually outperform.


CSRC’s IPO Reform and Its Impact on China Healthcare Investment

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

Equity Capital Markets

Malo Medical Management / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/malo-medical-management" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40035:1" rel="noopener">Malo Medical Management (MMM HK)</a> (MMM) is looking to raise around US$100m (estimated) in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. The deal will be run by Haitong.</li>
<li>MMM is a dental service provider in China. It ranked ninth among all private dental service providers and second among all premium dental service providers, as per F&amp;S.</li>
<li>MMM provides dental services to patients through a widespread network of Malo Clinic-branded specialty dental clinics. As of Apr 2023, it owned 29 dental clinics in 13 cities in China.</li>
</ul>



Malo Medical Management (MMM HK) (MMM) is looking to raise around US$100m (estimated) in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. The deal will be run by Haitong.
MMM is a dental service provider in China. It ranked ninth among all private dental service providers and second among all premium dental service providers, as per F&amp;S.
MMM provides dental services to patients through a widespread network of Malo Clinic-branded specialty dental clinics. As of Apr 2023, it owned 29 dental clinics in 13 cities in China.


Malo Medical Management Pre-IPO Tearsheet

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The market is clearly satisfied with WuXi Bio’s interim results. Growth of both non-COVID revenue and new projects were beyond expectations. This makes us look forward to 2023 full-year result.</li>
<li>There’s a significant strength gap between WuXi Bio and Lonza/Samsung Biologics in undertaking commercial-stage orders, which puts WuXi Bio at a disadvantage in competition,making it more vulnerable to financing environment.</li>
<li>It’s not impossible to restore the high growth before COVID,but WuXi Bio needs to meet two conditions.Instead of betting on a V-shaped reversal, it's wiser to take profits in time.</li>
</ul>


The market is clearly satisfied with WuXi Bio’s interim results. Growth of both non-COVID revenue and new projects were beyond expectations. This makes us look forward to 2023 full-year result.
There’s a significant strength gap between WuXi Bio and Lonza/Samsung Biologics in undertaking commercial-stage orders, which puts WuXi Bio at a disadvantage in competition,making it more vulnerable to financing environment.
It’s not impossible to restore the high growth before COVID,but WuXi Bio needs to meet two conditions.Instead of betting on a V-shaped reversal, it's wiser to take profits in time.


Wuxi Biologics (2269.HK) 23H1 - The Positives, the Negatives and the Outlook

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sinopharm-group-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32:1" rel="noopener">Sinopharm Group Co Ltd H (1099 HK)</a> will be added to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX)</a> on 1 September while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/country-garden-holdings-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5225:1" rel="noopener">Country Garden Holdings Co (2007 HK)</a> will be deleted.</li>
<li>Both changes are a surprise, but the impact on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sinopharm-group-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32:1" rel="noopener">Sinopharm Group Co Ltd H (1099 HK)</a> will be much larger. Given the recent increase in shorts, there could be covering.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 1.9% leading to a one-way trade of HK$3.65bn. Capping will result in selling on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hsbc-holdings-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:516:1" rel="noopener">HSBC (5 HK)</a>. </li>
</ul>



Sinopharm Group Co Ltd H (1099 HK) will be added to the Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX) on 1 September while Country Garden Holdings Co (2007 HK) will be deleted.
Both changes are a surprise, but the impact on Sinopharm Group Co Ltd H (1099 HK) will be much larger. Given the recent increase in shorts, there could be covering.
Estimated one-way turnover is 1.9% leading to a one-way trade of HK$3.65bn. Capping will result in selling on Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK), Tencent (700 HK) and HSBC (5 HK). 


Hang Seng Index Rebalance: Sinopharm (1099 HK) Added, Country Garden (2007 HK) Deleted

China

WuXi AppTec Co., Ltd. manufactures medical products. The Company produces biological agents, antibodies, biological diagnostic reagents, and other products. WuXi AppTec also provides biological analysis, technical study, and other services.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

WuXi AppTec (603259 CH)

Northbound Flows Monthly (August): $12.8bn Outflows

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for August and highlight flows for CATL, Wuxi Wapptec, Fuyao Glass, Foxconn Industrial, CMB,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CSRC’s IPO Reform and Its Impact on China Healthcare Investment

CSRC issued new policy related to IPO/reduction of shares, which would rewrite the investment logic of primary/secondary market.Investors need to...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Malo Medical Management Pre-IPO Tearsheet

Malo Medical Management (MMM HK) is looking to raise around US$100m (estimated) in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. The deal will be run by Haitong.

Sumeet Singh

Wuxi Biologics (2269.HK) 23H1 - The Positives, the Negatives and the Outlook

There're highlights in WuXi Bio’s interim report, making us look forward to its full-year result. But WuXi Bio faces challenges in order...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Hang Seng Index Rebalance: Sinopharm (1099 HK) Added, Country Garden (2007 HK) Deleted

Sinopharm will replace CountryGarden in the HSI at the close on 1 Sep. There will be selling in Alibaba, Tencent and HSBC due to capping. Shorts...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)