China/Asia TMT

Shawn Yang

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Luckin Coffee: Luckin Coffee sold 39mn cups of coffee in the first week of full launch of RMB9.9 per cup.</li>
<li>Nayuki: Media report that Nayuki may begin the franchise business in July</li>
<li>3690.HK/Douyin app is currently creating independent "entrances" and a "mall" for food delivery.</li>
</ul>


Luckin Coffee: Luckin Coffee sold 39mn cups of coffee in the first week of full launch of RMB9.9 per cup.
Nayuki: Media report that Nayuki may begin the franchise business in July
3690.HK/Douyin app is currently creating independent "entrances" and a "mall" for food delivery.


China TMT Update June 14-Luckin/Nayuki/3690.HK:Luckin Sold 39mn Cups of Coffee in the First Week

<ul>
<li>3690.HK: Douyin gives up on its food delivery GTV target for 2023 (+)</li>
<li>XPEV: XPeng G6 gets over 25k orders 72 hours after pre-sale starts (+)</li>
<li>Nio: NIO cuts car prices by RMB 30k for all models by making battery swapping benefits optional</li>
</ul>


3690.HK: Douyin gives up on its food delivery GTV target for 2023 (+)
XPEV: XPeng G6 gets over 25k orders 72 hours after pre-sale starts (+)
Nio: NIO cuts car prices by RMB 30k for all models by making battery swapping benefits optional


China TMT Update June 13-3690.HK/XPEV/NIO-Douyin Gives up Food Delivery Target,NIO Cut Price,G6 Sale

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jingdong-property-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36871:1" rel="noopener">JD Property (JDP HK)</a> is looking to raise about US$1bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>JD Property (JDP) develops and manages modern infrastructure, consisting primarily of logistics parks, as well as business parks and other assets in China and in Asia.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance in our earlier notes, in this note we will undertake a peer comparison.</li>
</ul>



JD Property (JDP HK) is looking to raise about US$1bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
JD Property (JDP) develops and manages modern infrastructure, consisting primarily of logistics parks, as well as business parks and other assets in China and in Asia.
We have looked at the company’s past performance in our earlier notes, in this note we will undertake a peer comparison.


JD Property Pre-IPO Peer Comparison - Small Amongst Giants, and Sentiment Isn't the Greatest

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trip-com-group-ltd-23a341d0-4f63-4175-a8c5-ee990906cacd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36424:1" rel="noopener">Trip.com (9961 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chow-tai-fook-jewellery-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:549:1" rel="noopener">Chow Tai Fook Jewellery (1929 HK)</a> could replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/country-garden-services-holdings-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27343:1" rel="noopener">Country Garden Services Holdings (6098 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhongsheng-group-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10573:1" rel="noopener">Zhongsheng Group (881 HK)</a> at the upcoming rebalance in September.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 1.2% resulting in a one-way trade of HK$744m. The official capping will be done based on closing prices from 29 August.</li>
<li>Short interest has been rising on the potential adds and short covering could take the stocks higher, especially <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chow-tai-fook-jewellery-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:549:1" rel="noopener">Chow Tai Fook Jewellery (1929 HK)</a>. </li>
</ul>



Trip.com (9961 HK) and Chow Tai Fook Jewellery (1929 HK) could replace Country Garden Services Holdings (6098 HK) and Zhongsheng Group (881 HK) at the upcoming rebalance in September.
Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 1.2% resulting in a one-way trade of HK$744m. The official capping will be done based on closing prices from 29 August.
Short interest has been rising on the potential adds and short covering could take the stocks higher, especially Chow Tai Fook Jewellery (1929 HK). 


HSCEI Index Rebalance Preview: Two Changes Likely in September

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of June 9th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We estimate the outflows to be USD 345 million and highlight flows for Tencent, China Mobile, CCB.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of June 9th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We estimate the outflows to be USD 345 million and highlight flows for Tencent, China Mobile, CCB.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Jun 9th): Tencent, China Mobile, CCB

China

Meituan operates as a web based shopping platform for locally found consumer products and retail services. The Company offers deals of the day by selling vouchers on local services and entertainment, dining, delivery, and other services. Meituan provides its services throughout China.

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Meituan (3690 HK)

China TMT Update June 14-Luckin/Nayuki/3690.HK:Luckin Sold 39mn Cups of Coffee in the First Week

Luckin Coffee: 39mn cups in the first week of full launch of RMB9.9 per cup. Nayuki: Nayuki may begin the franchise business in July. 3690.HK:...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

China TMT Update June 13-3690.HK/XPEV/NIO-Douyin Gives up Food Delivery Target,NIO Cut Price,G6 Sale

3690.HK: Douyin gives up on its food delivery GTV target for 2023 (+)；XPEV: XPeng G6 gets over 25k orders (+)；Nio: NIO cuts car prices by RMB 30k...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

JD Property Pre-IPO Peer Comparison - Small Amongst Giants, and Sentiment Isn't the Greatest

JD Property (JDP HK) is looking to raise about US$1bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. In this note we will undertake a peer comparison.

Clarence Chu

HSCEI Index Rebalance Preview: Two Changes Likely in September

There should be 2 changes to the HSCEI in September with Trip.com & CTF replacing CG Services & Zhongsheng. Short interest has been increasing on...

Brian Freitas

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Jun 9th): Tencent, China Mobile, CCB

We analyzed the Hong Kong Connect Scheme for last week and highlight flows for Tencent, China Mobile, and China Construction Bank.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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