Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Private Capital Markets

<a href="http://www.koreaninvestors.com/?p=12720" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Socar Inc</a> became another South Korean unicorn last month, valuing the company around 1.1 trillion won after received new funding worth 50 billion won from SG Private Equity in September. This follows an investment of 50 billion won from SoftBank Ventures and LB Private Equity in early 2020. Established in 2011, Socar is now the biggest mobility, car-sharing platform in Korea.

Socar Inc became another South Korean unicorn last month, valuing the company around 1.1 trillion won after received new funding worth 50 billion won from SG Private Equity in September. This follows an investment of 50 billion won from SoftBank Ventures and LB Private Equity in early 2020. Established in 2011, Socar is now the biggest mobility, car-sharing platform in Korea.

Socar: The Biggest Car-Sharing Platform in Korea Becomes the Next Unicorn

Cross Asset Strategy

<div class="content-highlight">
It has been nearly five years that I have contributed on the Smartkarma research platform. In this insight, I share some of the details of the 12 major "bread &amp; butter" IPOs &amp; EVENT-DRIVEN trading strategies in Korea. The main purpose of this insight is to provide a broad overview of the key investment strategies of these IPOs &amp; event-driven strategies in Korea so that the readers become more aware of them and put them into action on a repeatable and consistent basis. 
Nonetheless, I would like to emphasize that although these IPOs &amp; EVENT-DRIVEN (also called Special Situations) strategies are put into 12 major categories, the art of investing is capitalizing on the optimal risk/reward opportunities of each investment, which is often a BEAST of its own.
</div>The following are the 12 major IPOs &amp; EVENT-DRIVEN trading strategies in Korea that I have detailed in this report:<ul>
<li>IPOs (Take Partial Profits at 100% of IPO Price) &amp; Let the Winners Run</li>
<li>IPOs (Track the Key Shareholding Companies Ahead of IPOs)</li>
<li>Big Share Transfer from Chairman/Chairwoman to Children</li>
<li>Holding Companies (Pre-Formations &amp; Pair Trades)</li>
<li>Indices Inclusions &amp; Exclusions (Index Arbitrage)</li>
<li>Share Buybacks, Owners Purchases, &amp; Stock Option Grants</li>
<li>Rights Offerings: Short the Stock (Pre Rights Offering) &amp; Buy the Rights or Subscribe to the Newly Issued Shares at Discount</li>
<li>Restructuring &amp; Change in CEO</li>
<li>Spin-Offs, Split-Offs, and Carve-Outs</li>
<li>Prefs vs. Common</li>
<li>Placements</li>
<li>Mergers &amp; Acquisitions/Tender Offers/Activism</li>
</ul>


It has been nearly five years that I have contributed on the Smartkarma research platform. In this insight, I share some of the details of the 12 major "bread &amp; butter" IPOs &amp; EVENT-DRIVEN trading strategies in Korea. The main purpose of this insight is to provide a broad overview of the key investment strategies of these IPOs &amp; event-driven strategies in Korea so that the readers become more aware of them and put them into action on a repeatable and consistent basis. 
Nonetheless, I would like to emphasize that although these IPOs &amp; EVENT-DRIVEN (also called Special Situations) strategies are put into 12 major categories, the art of investing is capitalizing on the optimal risk/reward opportunities of each investment, which is often a BEAST of its own.
The following are the 12 major IPOs &amp; EVENT-DRIVEN trading strategies in Korea that I have detailed in this report:
IPOs (Take Partial Profits at 100% of IPO Price) &amp; Let the Winners Run
IPOs (Track the Key Shareholding Companies Ahead of IPOs)
Big Share Transfer from Chairman/Chairwoman to Children
Holding Companies (Pre-Formations &amp; Pair Trades)
Indices Inclusions &amp; Exclusions (Index Arbitrage)
Share Buybacks, Owners Purchases, &amp; Stock Option Grants
Rights Offerings: Short the Stock (Pre Rights Offering) &amp; Buy the Rights or Subscribe to the Newly Issued Shares at Discount
Restructuring &amp; Change in CEO
Spin-Offs, Split-Offs, and Carve-Outs
Prefs vs. Common
Placements
Mergers &amp; Acquisitions/Tender Offers/Activism


12 Major IPOs & Event-Driven Trading Strategies in the Korean Stock Market

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Event-Driven

Hyundai Mobis resumes buyback starting today (October 5).Mobis announced the 3-year shareholder return plan from 2019 to 2021, including a ₩1T buyback and ₩1.1T dividends.This time, the target is 0.96M ordinary shares, a bit less than the last one (1.3M shares for ₩323B). It represents 1.03% of the SO. At the previous close, it amounts to ₩226B, of which 28% will get canceled.The lock-up of the remaining bought-back shares is six months.It is the second buyback since the announcement. So, we will have one or two more buybacks by the end of 2021 for the remaining ₩450B to hit the ₩1T target.





Overview

Name
HYUNDAI MOBIS CO., LTD.


Ticker
012330


Shares outstanding
95,058,668


- Common
95,054,694


- Pref
3,974


Treasury shares
1,617,535


- Common
1,617,535


- Pref
0


Target qty.
983,000


- % of SO
1.03%


- Common
983,000


- % of total common shares
1.03%


- % of common treasury shares
60.77%


- Pref
0


- % of total pref shares
-


- % of pref treasury shares
-


Treasury shares after buyback
2,600,535


- % of SO
2.74%


- % of common
2.74%


- % of pref
-


Total value
₩226,090,000,000


- Common
₩226,090,000,000


- Pref
₩0


Market cap
₩21,863,493,640,000


- % of market cap
1.03%


Equity
₩23,500,426,547,075


- % of equity
0.96%


Cancellation
₩62,500,000,000


- % of total buyback
27.64%


- Qty.
271,739


Lock up for the remaining
Six months

Source: DART

The execution is until December 28, which gives us a total of 60 trading days.The daily limit is 130,000, a quarter of the 1M ADT, 11% of the target, and 0.1% of the SO.If it buys an equal quantity each day, 16K will be the number, representing 3.7% of the DTV.Hyundai Motor Securities will execute the trading, and it will buy all shares openly in the market.






Execution

Buyback begins
2020. 10. 5


Buyback ends
2020. 12. 28


Bankers
Hyundai Motor Securities


Method
Openly in the market (no off-hours block trade)


Daily limit
110,050


- % of 1M DTV
25.00%


- % of target qty.
11.20%


- % of the total common shares
0.12%


Number of trading days
60


Average daily equal buyback qty.
16,383


- % of 1M DTV
3.71%


- % of target qty.
1.67%


- % of the total common shares
0.02%


Value of average daily equal buyback qty.
₩3,768,166,667


Market cap
₩21,863,493,640,000


ADTV
₩101,511,420,000

Source: DART &amp; Google Finance


The treasury shares now account for 1.7%. The buyback/cancellation will put it at 2.5% of the SO. The major shareholders' stake will rise to 31.3% after the cancellation.








Shareholding
Before
After


Kia Motors Corporation
17.28%
17.33%


Chung Mong-koo
7.13%
7.15%


Hyundai Steel Co
5.79%
5.81%


Hyundai Glovis Co Ltd
0.69%
0.69%


Chung Eui-sun
0.32%
0.32%


- Major shareholder
31.22%
31.31%


Korea NPS
11.90%
11.93%


Mirae Asset
5.08%
5.10%


Treasury shares
1.70%
2.46%

Source: DART &amp; FnGuide



Hyundai Mobis Share Buyback: Terms & Trading Dynamics

<div class="content-highlight">
On 29 September, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-mobis-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6089:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Mobis (012330 KS)</a> announced that it will buy back 221 billion won (US$188 million) worth of its shares (983,000 shares), representing 1% of shares outstanding. Of the 221 billion won worth of share repurchase, it will cancel 62.5 billion won worth of shares. The share repurchase will occur from 5 October to 28 December 2020. 
This share buyback is part of the 1 trillion won share buyback program (over 3 years period) that the company announced back in February 2019. Due to the uncertainties associated with COVID-19, Hyundai Mobis decided not to buy back shares in 1H 2020 but now with the COVID-19 partly under control in Korea, the company decided that now is the time to conduct share repurchase again. 
</div>


On 29 September, Hyundai Mobis (012330 KS) announced that it will buy back 221 billion won (US$188 million) worth of its shares (983,000 shares), representing 1% of shares outstanding. Of the 221 billion won worth of share repurchase, it will cancel 62.5 billion won worth of shares. The share repurchase will occur from 5 October to 28 December 2020. 
This share buyback is part of the 1 trillion won share buyback program (over 3 years period) that the company announced back in February 2019. Due to the uncertainties associated with COVID-19, Hyundai Mobis decided not to buy back shares in 1H 2020 but now with the COVID-19 partly under control in Korea, the company decided that now is the time to conduct share repurchase again. 


Hyundai Mobis - Restarts Its Big Share Buyback Program in 4Q 2020

ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk PT / Private Capital Markets

Recent news suggests that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/grabtaxi-holdings-pte-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26950:1" rel="noopener">Grab (0967655D SP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gojek" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">Gojek (1379371D IJ)</a> have restarted discussions on a possible merger backed by SoftBank CEO and founder Masayoshi Son. Our view is that it seems this ride-hailing mega-merger becomes less-likely should <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:787:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group (BABA US)</a> take a stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/grabtaxi-holdings-pte-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26950:1" rel="noopener">Grab (0967655D SP)</a>. It was recently reported that it would invest US$3bn into the ride-hailing company, with some of this stake potentially coming out of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/uber-technologies-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:430:1" rel="noopener">Uber (UBER US).</a>
Quite apart from the fact that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gojek" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">Gojek (1379371D IJ)</a> has only recently received investment from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/facebook-inc-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:665:1" rel="noopener">Facebook Inc A (FB US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/paypal-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4747:1" rel="noopener">Paypal Holdings (PYPL US),</a> the company is also viewed as a  national champion in Indonesia, with high-profile shareholders such as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/astra-international-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46:1" rel="noopener">Astra International (ASII IJ)</a> and Djarum Group, who may object to the deal, under which <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/grabtaxi-holdings-pte-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26950:1" rel="noopener">Grab (0967655D SP)</a> may come out on top being the bigger company currently, in terms of recent valuations. 
There has been much debate surrounding the incessant competition between so-called Super Apps Indonesia-based <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gojek" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">Gojek (1379371D IJ)</a> and Singapore headquartered <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/grabtaxi-holdings-pte-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26950:1" rel="noopener">Grab (0967655D SP),</a> as they vie for position in the former's home market and across the rest of South-East Asia.  Although originally both App-based ride-hailing companies, both now offer a much wider variety of services including food-delivery and crucially, digital payments, and other financial services. Gojek through Go-Pay and Grab through GrabPay regionally, and OVO in Indonesia, where it has a stake. 
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent Holdings (700 HK)</a> backed <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gojek" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">Gojek (1379371D IJ)</a> dominates in its home market of Indonesia, which makes up 90% of its revenues but it is also presenting some challenges to Grab in Singapore, Thailand, and Vietnam and possibly soon to be the Philippines and even Malaysia. 
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/grabtaxi-holdings-pte-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26950:1" rel="noopener">Grab (0967655D SP)</a> has been making in-roads into the App-based motorcycle and taxi business in Indonesia, as well as the food-delivery business through GrabFood with the use of heavy promotions and subsidies. Given a more recent focus on profitability plus the impact of COVID-19 PSBB (large scale social distancing) measures on all businesses, especially ride-hailing, it is undoubtedly feeling the pressure in Indonesia.
Both companies have formidable funding war chests, with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gojek" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">Gojek (1379371D IJ)</a> managing to complete its latest US$2.5bn round in the midst of the pandemic and topping this up again only a couple of months ago. Grab raised a whopping US$4.5bn in its last round and potentially another US$3bn round from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:787:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group (BABA US)</a> though some of this may be existing shares. 
In some ways, money is not the issue and it is the winning strategy that counts. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gojek" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">Gojek (1379371D IJ)</a> has a history of frugality but has made a number of missteps in the last year, withdrawing some of its GoLife services, withdrawing GoMart, and a failed attempt at entering the Philippines. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/grabtaxi-holdings-pte-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26950:1" rel="noopener">Grab (0967655D SP)</a> has been very aggressive in providing subsidies in its food businesses in Indonesia to gain share. It remains to be seen how this approach will pan out in the longer-term, especially in light of COVID-19, which has hit ride-hailing hard.
Future funding is another longer-term issue, despite the recent amounts that have been raised. In this respect, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gojek" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">Gojek (1379371D IJ)</a> is better positioned after its very recent funding round, which brought in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/facebook-inc-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:665:1" rel="noopener">Facebook Inc A (FB US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/paypal-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4747:1" rel="noopener">Paypal Holdings (PYPL US)</a>. For <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/grabtaxi-holdings-pte-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26950:1" rel="noopener">Grab (0967655D SP)</a>, it was less certain until recently, at a time when Softbank is reeling from the WeWork and OYO experiences. Valuations of global comparable such as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/uber-technologies-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:430:1" rel="noopener">Uber (UBER US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lyft-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24423:1" rel="noopener">Lyft Inc (LYFT US)</a> have also come under pressure, which suggests that we could see some markdown on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/grabtaxi-holdings-pte-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26950:1" rel="noopener">Grab (0967655D SP),</a> especially with its higher exposure to ride-hailing.

Recent news suggests that Grab (0967655D SP) and Gojek (1379371D IJ) have restarted discussions on a possible merger backed by SoftBank CEO and founder Masayoshi Son. Our view is that it seems this ride-hailing mega-merger becomes less-likely should Alibaba Group (BABA US) take a stake in Grab (0967655D SP). It was recently reported that it would invest US$3bn into the ride-hailing company, with some of this stake potentially coming out of Uber (UBER US).
Quite apart from the fact that Gojek (1379371D IJ) has only recently received investment from Facebook Inc A (FB US) and Paypal Holdings (PYPL US), the company is also viewed as a  national champion in Indonesia, with high-profile shareholders such as Astra International (ASII IJ) and Djarum Group, who may object to the deal, under which Grab (0967655D SP) may come out on top being the bigger company currently, in terms of recent valuations. 
There has been much debate surrounding the incessant competition between so-called Super Apps Indonesia-based Gojek (1379371D IJ) and Singapore headquartered Grab (0967655D SP), as they vie for position in the former's home market and across the rest of South-East Asia.  Although originally both App-based ride-hailing companies, both now offer a much wider variety of services including food-delivery and crucially, digital payments, and other financial services. Gojek through Go-Pay and Grab through GrabPay regionally, and OVO in Indonesia, where it has a stake. 
Tencent Holdings (700 HK) backed Gojek (1379371D IJ) dominates in its home market of Indonesia, which makes up 90% of its revenues but it is also presenting some challenges to Grab in Singapore, Thailand, and Vietnam and possibly soon to be the Philippines and even Malaysia. 
Grab (0967655D SP) has been making in-roads into the App-based motorcycle and taxi business in Indonesia, as well as the food-delivery business through GrabFood with the use of heavy promotions and subsidies. Given a more recent focus on profitability plus the impact of COVID-19 PSBB (large scale social distancing) measures on all businesses, especially ride-hailing, it is undoubtedly feeling the pressure in Indonesia.
Both companies have formidable funding war chests, with Gojek (1379371D IJ) managing to complete its latest US$2.5bn round in the midst of the pandemic and topping this up again only a couple of months ago. Grab raised a whopping US$4.5bn in its last round and potentially another US$3bn round from Alibaba Group (BABA US) though some of this may be existing shares. 
In some ways, money is not the issue and it is the winning strategy that counts. Gojek (1379371D IJ) has a history of frugality but has made a number of missteps in the last year, withdrawing some of its GoLife services, withdrawing GoMart, and a failed attempt at entering the Philippines. Grab (0967655D SP) has been very aggressive in providing subsidies in its food businesses in Indonesia to gain share. It remains to be seen how this approach will pan out in the longer-term, especially in light of COVID-19, which has hit ride-hailing hard.
Future funding is another longer-term issue, despite the recent amounts that have been raised. In this respect, Gojek (1379371D IJ) is better positioned after its very recent funding round, which brought in Facebook Inc A (FB US) and Paypal Holdings (PYPL US). For Grab (0967655D SP), it was less certain until recently, at a time when Softbank is reeling from the WeWork and OYO experiences. Valuations of global comparable such as Uber (UBER US) and Lyft Inc (LYFT US) have also come under pressure, which suggests that we could see some markdown on Grab (0967655D SP), especially with its higher exposure to ride-hailing. 

Gojek and Grab - A Merger of the Super Apps on the Offing? We Think Not.

South Korea

Hyundai Motor Company manufactures, sells, and exports passenger cars, trucks, and commercial vehicles. The Company also sells various auto parts and operates auto repair service centers throughout South Korea. Hyundai Motor provides financial services through its subsidiaries.

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Hyundai Motor (005385 KS)

12 Major IPOs & Event-Driven Trading Strategies in the Korean Stock Market

https://mergerarbitragelimited.com/event-driven-investment-strategies/

Douglas Kim

Gojek and Grab - A Merger of the Super Apps on the Offing? We Think Not.

There has been much debate surrounding the incessant competition between so-called Super Apps Indonesia-based Gojek (1379371D IJ) and Singapore...

Angus Mackintosh

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52-week Range

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Socar: The Biggest Car-Sharing Platform in Korea Becomes the Next Unicorn

Socar Inc became another South Korean unicorn last month, valuing the company around 1.1 trillion won after received new funding worth 50 billion...

Douglas Kim

12 Major IPOs & Event-Driven Trading Strategies in the Korean Stock Market

https://mergerarbitragelimited.com/event-driven-investment-strategies/

Douglas Kim

Hyundai Mobis Share Buyback: Terms & Trading Dynamics

Hyundai Mobis resumes Mobis began to buy back starting yesterday. Target is 1.3M shares. This represents 1.36% of SO. At last close, this amounts...

Sanghyun Park

Hyundai Mobis - Restarts Its Big Share Buyback Program in 4Q 2020

On 29 September, Hyundai Mobis (012330 KS) announced that it will buy back 221 billion won (US$188 million) worth of its shares (983,000 shares),...

Douglas Kim

Gojek and Grab - A Merger of the Super Apps on the Offing? We Think Not.

There has been much debate surrounding the incessant competition between so-called Super Apps Indonesia-based Gojek (1379371D IJ) and Singapore...

Angus Mackintosh