Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/isc-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13560:1" rel="noopener">ISC Co Ltd (095340 KS)</a> could replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wonik-ips-co-ltd-5d7417b7-5438-41d4-a6e4-8016d24d818a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26912:1" rel="noopener">Wonik Ips (240810 KS)</a> in the FnGuide Semiconductor Top10 Index at the April rebalance.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jusung-engineering-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12277:1" rel="noopener">Jusung Engineering (036930 KS)</a> is ranked just behind <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/isc-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13560:1" rel="noopener">ISC Co Ltd (095340 KS)</a> and could be added to the index instead depending on relative price performance.</li>
<li>Shorts on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/isc-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13560:1" rel="noopener">ISC Co (095340 KS)</a> have been stable over the last few months while there has been big covering on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wonik-ips-co-ltd-5d7417b7-5438-41d4-a6e4-8016d24d818a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26912:1" rel="noopener">Wonik Ips (240810 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jusung-engineering-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12277:1" rel="noopener">Jusung Engineering (036930 KS)</a>. </li>
</ul>



ISC Co Ltd (095340 KS) could replace Wonik Ips (240810 KS) in the FnGuide Semiconductor Top10 Index at the April rebalance.

Jusung Engineering (036930 KS) is ranked just behind ISC Co Ltd (095340 KS) and could be added to the index instead depending on relative price performance.
Shorts on ISC Co (095340 KS) have been stable over the last few months while there has been big covering on Wonik Ips (240810 KS) and Jusung Engineering (036930 KS). 


FnGuide Semiconductor Top10 Index Rebalance Preview: One Change Likely; Close Among Potential Adds

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

<ul>
<li>Mirae Asset TIGER Fn Semiconductor TOP 10 ETF saw a rapid increase in AUM in a short period. Currently, AUM has reached 126 billion won.</li>
<li>Compared to the flow size, the price movement magnitude was substantial. What is particularly important is that the correlation between weight change direction and price impact was quite significant.</li>
<li>Considering Long Short basket trading based on the weight change direction on a day trading window seems worthwhile.</li>
</ul>


Mirae Asset TIGER Fn Semiconductor TOP 10 ETF saw a rapid increase in AUM in a short period. Currently, AUM has reached 126 billion won.
Compared to the flow size, the price movement magnitude was substantial. What is particularly important is that the correlation between weight change direction and price impact was quite significant.
Considering Long Short basket trading based on the weight change direction on a day trading window seems worthwhile.


Introducing Another Long Short Basket Trading Event with Semicon ETF Rebalancing in Korea

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/26912" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26912:1">Wonik IPS (240810 KS)</a> / Wonik Tera Semicon (123100 KS) merger got shareholder approval yesterday. Spread now stands at 4.28%. Spread peaked at 5.12% on Dec 12. Dividend-adjusted spread is 4.17%.</li>
<li>Tera Semicon is a bit of a concern. Its stock purchase price is 1.38% higher than current price. Worst case would be half of the minority shareholders claiming rights. Even if so, this would be less than ₩60bil. The company is liquid enough to absorb it.</li>
<li>Local institutional arb traders have been seen doing this trade, at least partly. I'd make this trade when spread widens to 5~6%. I expect it to get to this level very soon. </li>
</ul>



Wonik IPS (240810 KS) / Wonik Tera Semicon (123100 KS) merger got shareholder approval yesterday. Spread now stands at 4.28%. Spread peaked at 5.12% on Dec 12. Dividend-adjusted spread is 4.17%.
Tera Semicon is a bit of a concern. Its stock purchase price is 1.38% higher than current price. Worst case would be half of the minority shareholders claiming rights. Even if so, this would be less than ₩60bil. The company is liquid enough to absorb it.
Local institutional arb traders have been seen doing this trade, at least partly. I'd make this trade when spread widens to 5~6%. I expect it to get to this level very soon. 


Wonik Merger Swap: Div-Adjusted Yield Is Now at 4.17% - Cancellation Risk Is Slim

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/26912" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26912:1">Wonik IPS (240810 KS)</a> announced on Oct 29 that it would merge with Wonik Tera Semicon (123100 KS) at a swap ratio of 0.7394724. Ceiling for stock purchase is set at ₩50bil for IPS and ₩30bil for Tera Semicon.</li>
<li>Currently, arb spread isn't really at a glamorous level. At the Nov 5 closing prices, arb spread is at 3.24%. As for stock purchase spread, IPS is currently giving a decent 6.88% while Tera Semicon is at 3.49%.</li>
<li>Wonik already attempted this merger in 2016, but they couldn't get an approval from Tera Semicon shareholders. This dynamic may lead to an interesting situation where we may have spread openings to attract arb traders who can help reduce the number of stock purchase rights exercised.</li>
</ul>



Wonik IPS (240810 KS) announced on Oct 29 that it would merge with Wonik Tera Semicon (123100 KS) at a swap ratio of 0.7394724. Ceiling for stock purchase is set at ₩50bil for IPS and ₩30bil for Tera Semicon.
Currently, arb spread isn't really at a glamorous level. At the Nov 5 closing prices, arb spread is at 3.24%. As for stock purchase spread, IPS is currently giving a decent 6.88% while Tera Semicon is at 3.49%.
Wonik already attempted this merger in 2016, but they couldn't get an approval from Tera Semicon shareholders. This dynamic may lead to an interesting situation where we may have spread openings to attract arb traders who can help reduce the number of stock purchase rights exercised.


Wonik Merger Stock Swap: Summary & Trading Opportunities

<p>Samsung restructuring now has another twist to come. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/11109" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11109:1">KCC Corp (002380 KS)</a> has a 8.97% stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/481" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:481:1">Samsung C&amp;T (028260 KS)</a>, and it is being locally reported that KCC may sell out all (or at least a significant portion) of this C&amp;T stake in the near future. What is the story here? KCC mulls taking over US-based Momentive Performance Materials. Price tag is nearly US$3bil. As shown in the below regulatory filing put out on July 31, KCC acknowledged that it has been reviewing a number of strategies…</p>

Samsung restructuring now has another twist to come. KCC Corp (002380 KS) has a 8.97% stake in Samsung C&amp;T (028260 KS), and it is being locally reported that KCC may sell out all (or at least a significant portion) of this C&amp;T stake in the near future. What is the story here? KCC mulls taking over US-based Momentive Performance Materials. Price tag is nearly US$3bil. As shown in the below regulatory filing put out on July 31, KCC acknowledged that it has been reviewing a number of strategies…

KCC's Samsung C&T Equity Block Deals May Happen Soon: It Worsens C&T Overhang Concern

South Korea

Techwing Inc., manufactures parts for semiconductor testing equipment. The Company's product includes test handlers, Change of Kit (C.O.K) and test interface boards.  The company's main product, test handlers, is core  semiconductor testing equipment.

Jusung Engineering Co., Ltd. manufactures semiconductor, flat panel display, and solar cell production equipment.  The Company produces space divided CVD-ALD thin film machines for semiconductor manufacture; equipment for producing liquid crystal display panels; and equipment for manufacturing crystalline silicon and thin film silicon tandem solar cells.

Seojin System Co., Ltd. manufactures components for communication equipments, such as Remote Radio Head(RRH) and Digital Unit(DU).  The Company also produces semiconductor components and metal cases for hand-held devices.

Hana Micron Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and sells semiconductor packages for memory and non-memory semiconductor products.  The Company also produces USB flash drive (UFD), a mobile storage devices which can substitute floppy disk drives.

EO Technics Co., Ltd. is a laser-based equipment supplier. The Company develops laser technology and applications used for marking, drilling, trimming and cutting.

ISC Co., Ltd. manufactures semiconductor testing equipments such as test sockets, burn-in sockets, and interposers. Testing equipments are used in the final testing process of semiconductors including DRAM, NAND/NOR Flash Memory, and Graphic Processing Unit(GPU) and are supplied to semiconductor manufacturers  abroad.

Psk Holdings Inc specializes in manufacturing semiconductor fabrication and liquid crystal display (LCD) manufacturing equipment.  The Company's products include dual chamber ashers and microwave ashers used in photo resist stripping and etching and multi-etchers used in LCD processes.

DB Hitek Co., Ltd. manufactures system semiconductor and provides foundry services. The Company's products inculde fabricated wafer and integrated circuits for mobile handsets and flat panel LCDs.

Tokai Carbon Korea Co., Ltd. produces purified graphite products used in semiconductor equipment, and silicon single crystal puller parts.  The Company also produces carbon products used in rubber parts for machineries.

LX Semicon Co., Ltd. designs, develops, and markets mixed-signal semiconductors. The Company utilizes its own algorithm and technologies to enhance the features and capabilities of flat panel displays that are used in electronic devices and mobile handsets. LX Semicon markets its products worldwide.

Taiwan Surface Mounting Technology Corp assembles printed circuit boards (PCBs).

Taiwan Surface Mounting Tech Corp. (6278 TT)

Everlight Electronics Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets optoelectronic components.  The Company's main products are surface mount devices light emitting diodes (LEDs), super bright LED lamps, special purpose LEDs, dot matrix displays, photo transistors, and infrared LEDs.

Himax Technologies, Inc. designs and manufactures integrated circuits.  The Company produces liquid crystal displays (LCD).

Grinm Advanced Materials Co Ltd. develops and manufactures semiconductor materia ls. The Company's products include monocrystalline silicon, germanium,  compound  semiconductor materials, and other related electronic materials. Grinm Advanced Materials also invests in technology development and provides technical  and processing services.

Macronix International Co., Ltd. designs, manufactures, and markets integrated circuits (ICs) as well as memory products.  The Company's products include nonvolatile memory integrated circuits, mask ROM (Read Only Memory), EPROM (Erasable Programmable ROM), and flash memory products.  Macronix also produces logic ICs for audio, clock generators, and graphic application devices.

CHIPBOND Technology Corporation provides chip packaging service for the IC (Integrated Circuit) industry.  The Company manufactures Gold Bump, TCP (Tape Carrier Packaging), Solder Bump, and COG (Chip on Glass), which are applied to the process of packaging.

Shanghai Sinyang Semiconductor Materials Co. Ltd. develops, produces, and provides services for the electronic chemicals used in the semiconductor industry. The company also provides electronic cleaning and electronic plating core technologies. They develops specialized equipment, such as: chemical materials, equipment, and application process etc.

Shanghai Sinyang Smcndctr Mtls (300236 CH)

Sanken Electric Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells discrete semiconductors such as diodes and transistors, and analog integrated circuits.  The Company also manufactures various kinds of adapters and surge/transient protectors.

Silicon Integrated Systems Corp. manufactures and markets chipsets for computers and multimedia products.

Unisem (M) Berhad manufactures semiconductor devices.  The Company provides turnkey solutions to its customers in wafer grinding, packaging and testing of integrated circuits, tape and reel, and dropship services. Unisem also provides packaging and testing wide range of leadframe packages.

Wonik IPS Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells semiconductor processing equipments.  The Company's main businesses include Semiconductor, Display and Solar industries.

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Wonik Ips (240810 KS)

FnGuide Semiconductor Top10 Index Rebalance Preview: One Change Likely; Close Among Potential Adds

ISC could replace Wonik Ips in the FnGuide Semiconductor Top10 Index at the April rebalance. However, Jusung Engg is not far behind ISC and could...

Brian Freitas

Introducing Another Long Short Basket Trading Event with Semicon ETF Rebalancing in Korea

This post introduces the rebalancing of sector ETFs in Korea, which is not yet well known, and examines whether this event provides long-short...

Sanghyun Park

Wonik Merger Swap: Div-Adjusted Yield Is Now at 4.17% - Cancellation Risk Is Slim

Wonik IPS (240810 KS) / Wonik Tera Semicon (123100 KS) merger got shareholder approval yesterday. Spread now stands at 4.28%. Spread peaked at...

Sanghyun Park

Wonik Merger Stock Swap: Summary & Trading Opportunities

Wonik IPS (240810 KS) announced on Oct 29 that it would merge with Wonik Tera Semicon (123100 KS) at a swap ratio of 0.7394724. Ceiling for stock...

Sanghyun Park

KCC's Samsung C&T Equity Block Deals May Happen Soon: It Worsens C&T Overhang Concern

Samsung restructuring now has another twist to come. KCC Corp (002380 KS) has a 8.97% stake in Samsung C&T (028260 KS), and it is being locally...

Sanghyun Park

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