Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

iQiyi aims to raise around US$1.7bn from a convertible bond and primary follow-on offering. The ADS offering is expected to raise around US$900m, with the balance coming from the convertible bond offering. Its been a rough year for the stock with a short-seller targeting the company and operations lagging as well.We have covered the company's performance previously in:<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/iqiyi-some-flaws-in-the-wolfpack-s-short-seller-report" target="_blank" rel="noopener">IQIYI: Some Flaws in the Wolfpack’s Short Seller Report</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/iqiyi-iq-why-chinese-netflix-dismissing-employees-during-home-staying-a-content-angle" target="_blank" rel="noopener">IQiyi (IQ): Why “Chinese Netflix” Dismissing Employees During Home Staying? A Content Angle</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/iqiyi-iq-an-empty-tv-box" target="_blank" rel="noopener">IQiyi (IQ): An Empty TV Box</a></li>
</ul>

iQiyi aims to raise around US$1.7bn from a convertible bond and primary follow-on offering. The ADS offering is expected to raise around US$900m, with the balance coming from the convertible bond offering. Its been a rough year for the stock with a short-seller targeting the company and operations lagging as well.We have covered the company's performance previously in:
IQIYI: Some Flaws in the Wolfpack’s Short Seller Report
IQiyi (IQ): Why “Chinese Netflix” Dismissing Employees During Home Staying? A Content Angle
IQiyi (IQ): An Empty TV Box


IQiyi Placement - An Ex-Growth Netflix - Needs a Deep Deep Discount

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

Equity Bottom-Up

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul class="">
<li>Alibaba (BABA) is selling BigBasket.com to Tata Group.</li>
<li>It is rumored that Alibaba (BABA) will dismiss the Xiami Music team.</li>
<li>Xiaomi (1810 HK) issued 1 billion shares at the price of HK$23.70.</li>
<li>Trip.com (TCOM)’s revenue decreased by 48% yoy in 3Q20.</li>
</ul>


Alibaba (BABA) is selling BigBasket.com to Tata Group.
It is rumored that Alibaba (BABA) will dismiss the Xiami Music team.
Xiaomi (1810 HK) issued 1 billion shares at the price of HK$23.70.
Trip.com (TCOM)’s revenue decreased by 48% yoy in 3Q20.


China Internet Weekly (7Dec2020): Alibaba Withdrawing from India and Domestic Music Market

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

Last month saw China allocations hit record levels across Asia Ex-Japan, Emerging Market and Global active long-only funds.  The average China weight in Asia Ex-Japan funds stands at a record 50.96%, in active GEM funds a record 37.63% and in active Global funds an all-time high of 5.33%However, these increases have come at the expense of greater concentration.  Among Global managers, the top 10 largest China stock holdings now account for 62% of total China allocations, among GEM and Asia Ex-Japan funds just under 50% - an all-time high across all 3 investor groups. Dedicated China managers, however, are more diversified.  In this analysis, we look at the differences between dedicated China funds and their regional peers.  We find that Asia, GEM and Global managers are more concentrated in the Consumer Discretionary and Communication Services sectors, whereas dedicated China managers are more diversified across Technology, Industrials and Health Care stocks.  Regional funds are also underinvested in China A-Shares compared to dedicated China managers, who are running significant overweights vs the MSCI China benchmark.We identify the next generation of Chinese stocks outside of the big index names by following the lead of dedicated managers in the region.  We provide a list of 40 stocks, identified as 'Next Generation' stocks due to their widespread investment in dedicated China funds, but that are currently underowned by Asia Ex-Japan, GEM and Global investors.The list is headed by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jiangsu-hengrui-medicine-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14128:1" rel="noopener">Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine (600276 CH)</a>, one of the standout domestic holdings within the Health Care sector, followed by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-tourism-group-duty-free-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12278:1" rel="noopener">China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp Ltd (601888 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/luxshare-precision-industry-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12310:1" rel="noopener">Luxshare Precision Industry (002475 CH)</a> .Analysis taken from our Global, GEM, Asia Ex-Japan and China fund universes.  Global:  386 Active Funds, combined AUM $750bn                                                                                        GEM:  242 Active Funds, combined AUM $370bn                                                                                          Asia Ex-Japan: 98 Active Funds, combined AUM $70bn                                                                              China:  119 Active Funds, combined AUM $50bn

Last month saw China allocations hit record levels across Asia Ex-Japan, Emerging Market and Global active long-only funds.  The average China weight in Asia Ex-Japan funds stands at a record 50.96%, in active GEM funds a record 37.63% and in active Global funds an all-time high of 5.33%However, these increases have come at the expense of greater concentration.  Among Global managers, the top 10 largest China stock holdings now account for 62% of total China allocations, among GEM and Asia Ex-Japan funds just under 50% - an all-time high across all 3 investor groups. Dedicated China managers, however, are more diversified.  In this analysis, we look at the differences between dedicated China funds and their regional peers.  We find that Asia, GEM and Global managers are more concentrated in the Consumer Discretionary and Communication Services sectors, whereas dedicated China managers are more diversified across Technology, Industrials and Health Care stocks.  Regional funds are also underinvested in China A-Shares compared to dedicated China managers, who are running significant overweights vs the MSCI China benchmark.We identify the next generation of Chinese stocks outside of the big index names by following the lead of dedicated managers in the region.  We provide a list of 40 stocks, identified as 'Next Generation' stocks due to their widespread investment in dedicated China funds, but that are currently underowned by Asia Ex-Japan, GEM and Global investors.The list is headed by Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine (600276 CH), one of the standout domestic holdings within the Health Care sector, followed by China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp Ltd (601888 CH) and Luxshare Precision Industry (002475 CH) .Analysis taken from our Global, GEM, Asia Ex-Japan and China fund universes.  Global:  386 Active Funds, combined AUM $750bn                                                                                        GEM:  242 Active Funds, combined AUM $370bn                                                                                          Asia Ex-Japan: 98 Active Funds, combined AUM $70bn                                                                              China:  119 Active Funds, combined AUM $50bn

China's Next Generation:  Diversifying Away from Tencent and Alibaba.

<ul class="">
<li>Huya (HUYA)’s security guard carried an employee out of the office by force.</li>
<li>Shenzhen Municipal Anti-Pornography Office suspended Tencent Music (TME)’s karaoke platform for 30 days.</li>
<li>Alibaba (BABA) is facing class action for the investment in Ant Group.</li>
<li>Baidu (BAIDU) acquired Joyy (YY)’s business in China, which is a short target.</li>
</ul>


Huya (HUYA)’s security guard carried an employee out of the office by force.
Shenzhen Municipal Anti-Pornography Office suspended Tencent Music (TME)’s karaoke platform for 30 days.
Alibaba (BABA) is facing class action for the investment in Ant Group.
Baidu (BAIDU) acquired Joyy (YY)’s business in China, which is a short target.


China Internet Weekly (23Nov2020): HUYA’s Violence, TME’s Porn, and BIDU Acquired a Short Target

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On 16th November, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/baidu-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:179:1" rel="noopener">Baidu (BIDU US)</a>  announced that it has entered into a definitive agreement with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/joyy-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:285:1" rel="noopener">JOYY (YY US)</a>  to acquire its domestic video-based entertainment live streaming business in China (known as YY Live). JOYY will retain its overseas business.</li>
<li>The deal includes YY mobile app, YY.com website and PC YY, among others, for an aggregate purchase price of approximately US$3.6bn in cash and the transaction is expected to occur in 1H2021 subject to certain conditions.</li>
<li>According to Baidu, YY Live stands to benefit from the company’s large traffic and thriving mobile ecosystem while Baidu will receive immediate operational experience and knowhow for large-scale video-based social media development, as well as a creator network that will further strengthen Baidu's massive content provider network.</li>
<li>Baidu has been a late entrant to the thriving short video app market in China which is currently dominated by Douyin and Kuaishou. Baidu has been attempting to reduce its dependence on core advertising revenues, however, these efforts are yet to make any meaningful impact on the company’s top line and margins.</li>
</ul>


On 16th November, Baidu (BIDU US)  announced that it has entered into a definitive agreement with JOYY (YY US)  to acquire its domestic video-based entertainment live streaming business in China (known as YY Live). JOYY will retain its overseas business.
The deal includes YY mobile app, YY.com website and PC YY, among others, for an aggregate purchase price of approximately US$3.6bn in cash and the transaction is expected to occur in 1H2021 subject to certain conditions.
According to Baidu, YY Live stands to benefit from the company’s large traffic and thriving mobile ecosystem while Baidu will receive immediate operational experience and knowhow for large-scale video-based social media development, as well as a creator network that will further strengthen Baidu's massive content provider network.
Baidu has been a late entrant to the thriving short video app market in China which is currently dominated by Douyin and Kuaishou. Baidu has been attempting to reduce its dependence on core advertising revenues, however, these efforts are yet to make any meaningful impact on the company’s top line and margins.


Baidu: Acquisition of YY Live Is More Beneficial to JOYY than Baidu

China

Bilibili Inc. provides online entertainment services. The Company offers a platform that covers a wide array of genres and media formats, including videos, live broadcasting, mobile games, animation, and comics. Bilibili serves customers in China.

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Bilibili (BILI US)

IQiyi Placement - An Ex-Growth Netflix - Needs a Deep Deep Discount

iQiyi aims to raise around US$1.7bn from a CB and primary follow-on offering. The ADS offering is expected to raise around US$900m, with the...

Sumeet Singh

China Internet Weekly (7Dec2020): Alibaba Withdrawing from India and Domestic Music Market

Alibaba (BABA) are selling BigBasket.com to Tata Group in India and will dismiss Xiami Music in China. Xiaomi will issue new shares.

Ming Lu

China's Next Generation: Diversifying Away from Tencent and Alibaba.

China exposure is becoming more concentrated in a small number of large cap stocks. We identify the next generation of China stocks by analyzing...

Steven Holden

China Internet Weekly (23Nov2020): HUYA’s Violence, TME’s Porn, and BIDU Acquired a Short Target

Huya security guard carried an employee out of office by force. Shenzhen Authorities suspended Tencent Music ’s karaoke for 30 days. Baidu acquired...

Ming Lu

Baidu: Acquisition of YY Live Is More Beneficial to JOYY than Baidu

Baidu announced that it has entered into a definitive agreement with JOYY to acquire its domestic video-based entertainment live streaming business...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

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