Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Bilibili reported 1Q2022 results yesterday. Revenue grew 29.6% YoY to RMB5.1bn (vs consensus RMB5.04bn) while operating losses as a % of revenue increased to 39.4% from 26.4% in 1Q2021.</li>
<li>Monthly Paying Users (MPUs) reached 27.2m vs 20.5m in 1Q2021, however, blended ARPU declined to RMB41.8 from RMB43.4 a year ago suggesting that user growth comes at lower pricing.</li>
<li>Bilibili’s ADS’ closed 15% lower at the end of yesterday’s trading as widening losses and softer guidance for 2Q2022 disappointed the market.</li>
</ul>


Bilibili reported 1Q2022 results yesterday. Revenue grew 29.6% YoY to RMB5.1bn (vs consensus RMB5.04bn) while operating losses as a % of revenue increased to 39.4% from 26.4% in 1Q2021.
Monthly Paying Users (MPUs) reached 27.2m vs 20.5m in 1Q2021, however, blended ARPU declined to RMB41.8 from RMB43.4 a year ago suggesting that user growth comes at lower pricing.
Bilibili’s ADS’ closed 15% lower at the end of yesterday’s trading as widening losses and softer guidance for 2Q2022 disappointed the market.


Bilibili 1Q2022: Widening Losses and There Is Further Downside

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>Monthly paying users grew by 33% YoY and monthly active users grew by 31% in 1Q22.</li>
<li>We believe operating loss is not a concern for a fast-growing company.</li>
<li>BILI’s stock price has plunged to about HK$200 from about HK$800 in one year.</li>
</ul>


Monthly paying users grew by 33% YoY and monthly active users grew by 31% in 1Q22.
We believe operating loss is not a concern for a fast-growing company.
BILI’s stock price has plunged to about HK$200 from about HK$800 in one year.


Bilibili (9626 HK): 1Q22, User Bases Growing by 30%, Price Down to 1/4, Buy

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Chinese regulators cleared publishing licenses Tuesday for 60 online games in this year’s second batch of new title approvals following an eight-month suspension</li>
<li>The omission of Tencent and NetEase extended their 11-month drought for new title approvals.</li>
<li>Titles on the latest list are mainly smaller-budget games. Despite the absence of the biggest players, the approvals fanned hopes that regulators are easing their tight leash on the industry and will allow more new games</li>
</ul>


Chinese regulators cleared publishing licenses Tuesday for 60 online games in this year’s second batch of new title approvals following an eight-month suspension
The omission of Tencent and NetEase extended their 11-month drought for new title approvals.
Titles on the latest list are mainly smaller-budget games. Despite the absence of the biggest players, the approvals fanned hopes that regulators are easing their tight leash on the industry and will allow more new games


Tencent, NetEase Miss Out in China’s New Game Approvals

<ul>
<li>IQiyi reported 1Q2022 results last week. Revenue fell 8.7% YoY to RMB 7.3bn (vs consensus RMB 7.22bn) and reported an OP of RMB 93.4m (vs consensus loss of RMB 297m).</li>
<li>Growth in ARM helped offset decline in the number of subscribers for membership revenue. However, online advertising and content distribution both declined due to lack of content and macroeconomic weaknesses.  </li>
<li>IQiyi’s shares have gained 11.2% since its earnings announcement as the company reported an OPM for the first time.</li>
</ul>


IQiyi reported 1Q2022 results last week. Revenue fell 8.7% YoY to RMB 7.3bn (vs consensus RMB 7.22bn) and reported an OP of RMB 93.4m (vs consensus loss of RMB 297m).
Growth in ARM helped offset decline in the number of subscribers for membership revenue. However, online advertising and content distribution both declined due to lack of content and macroeconomic weaknesses.  
IQiyi’s shares have gained 11.2% since its earnings announcement as the company reported an OPM for the first time.


IQiyi – Generates Profits for the First Time; Can It Maintain Its Profitability?

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

Equity Capital Markets

Zhihu Technology / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Zhihu plans to raise around US$130m via a dual primary listing in Hong Kong.</li>
<li>Unlike all the prior dual primary/secondary listings which have been done via offering either only primary or a mix of primary+secondary shares, Zhihu’s offering will consist of only secondary shares.</li>
<li>In this note, we'll talk about the deal dynamics and structure.</li>
</ul>


Zhihu plans to raise around US$130m via a dual primary listing in Hong Kong.
Unlike all the prior dual primary/secondary listings which have been done via offering either only primary or a mix of primary+secondary shares, Zhihu’s offering will consist of only secondary shares.
In this note, we'll talk about the deal dynamics and structure.


Zhihu HK Secondary - Going Further than Autohome and Weibo, Stock Might Go Further Down as Well

China

Bilibili Inc. provides online entertainment services. The Company offers a platform that covers a wide array of genres and media formats, including videos, live broadcasting, mobile games, animation, and comics. Bilibili serves customers in China.

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Bilibili (BILI US)

Bilibili 1Q2022: Widening Losses and There Is Further Downside

Though 1Q2022 revenues beat consensus, operating losses further widened to 39.4% of revenues. MPUs increased but at the cost of lower ARPU and the...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Bilibili (9626 HK): 1Q22, User Bases Growing by 30%, Price Down to 1/4, Buy

Monthly paying users grew by 33% YoY and monthly active users grew by 31% in 1Q22. BILI’s stock price has plunged to about HK$200 from about HK$800...

Ming Lu

Tencent, NetEase Miss Out in China’s New Game Approvals

Chinese regulators cleared publishing licenses Tuesday for 60 online games in this year’s second batch of new title approvals following an eight...

Caixin Global

IQiyi – Generates Profits for the First Time; Can It Maintain Its Profitability?

Though iQiyi's revenues declined YoY in 1Q2022 due to weaknesses in online ad and content distrbn, the company managed to report operating profits...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Zhihu HK Secondary - Going Further than Autohome and Weibo, Stock Might Go Further Down as Well

Zhihu plans to raise around US$130m via a dual primary listing in Hong Kong. In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics.

Sumeet Singh

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