Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The HSTECH Index tracks the performance of the top 30 technology companies listed in Hong Kong that have high business exposure to certain technology themes.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the final rankings of potential ADDs and potential DELs for the December 2024 index rebal event.</li>
<li>We do not expect any changes for the HSTECH index in December 2024. However, we expect there to be capping flows of US$1,079mn one-way.</li>
</ul>


The HSTECH Index tracks the performance of the top 30 technology companies listed in Hong Kong that have high business exposure to certain technology themes.
In this insight, we take a look at the final rankings of potential ADDs and potential DELs for the December 2024 index rebal event.
We do not expect any changes for the HSTECH index in December 2024. However, we expect there to be capping flows of US$1,079mn one-way.


Quiddity Leaderboard HSTECH Dec 24: Midea Group Question Mark and Final Rankings for Exp ADDs/DELs

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, and holding by mainland investors.</li>
<li>We highlight inflows into Alibaba, Kuaishou, Anta, HKEx, China Resource Land, China Telecom, and outflows from Meituan, Tencent, CNOOC, Xiaomi, China Mobile. </li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.
We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, and holding by mainland investors.
We highlight inflows into Alibaba, Kuaishou, Anta, HKEx, China Resource Land, China Telecom, and outflows from Meituan, Tencent, CNOOC, Xiaomi, China Mobile. 


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Sep): Weak Inflows Ex-Alibaba

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

Equity Capital Markets

China Resources Beverage / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-resources-beverage" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41984:1" rel="noopener">China Resources Beverage (CRB HK)</a> is looking to raise up to US$1bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. </li>
<li>China Resources Beverage manufactures and sells packaged drinking water and RTD soft beverages in China.</li>
<li>In our earlier notes, we talked about the company’s past performance and provided our thoughts on valuations. In this note, we will look at updates from its most recent filings.</li>
</ul>



China Resources Beverage (CRB HK) is looking to raise up to US$1bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. 
China Resources Beverage manufactures and sells packaged drinking water and RTD soft beverages in China.
In our earlier notes, we talked about the company’s past performance and provided our thoughts on valuations. In this note, we will look at updates from its most recent filings.


China Resources Beverage Pre-IPO - PHIP Updates - Revenue Slowing, Margins Growing

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/k-bank-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36073:1" rel="noopener">K Bank (279570 KS)</a> plans to raise up to US$740m in its upcoming South Korean IPO. </li>
<li>K Bank is one of three Internet-only banks in Korea. It provides a full range of commercial banking products and services.</li>
<li>In our previous note, we have looked at the company’s past performance and undertaken a peer comparison. In this note, we will talk about valuations.</li>
</ul>



K Bank (279570 KS) plans to raise up to US$740m in its upcoming South Korean IPO. 
K Bank is one of three Internet-only banks in Korea. It provides a full range of commercial banking products and services.
In our previous note, we have looked at the company’s past performance and undertaken a peer comparison. In this note, we will talk about valuations.


K Bank IPO - Should Price Below Its Range

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>The review period for the December rebalance of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX)</a> ended on 30 September.</li>
<li>We do not forecast any constituent changes for the index. Capping changes will lead to a one-way turnover of 2.15% and a round-trip trade of HK$6.1bn (US$785m).</li>
<li>If any stocks have outsized moves on expectations of being added to or deleted from the index, there could be opportunities to enter trades.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the December rebalance of the Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX) ended on 30 September.
We do not forecast any constituent changes for the index. Capping changes will lead to a one-way turnover of 2.15% and a round-trip trade of HK$6.1bn (US$785m).
If any stocks have outsized moves on expectations of being added to or deleted from the index, there could be opportunities to enter trades.


HSTECH Index Rebalance Preview: $800m Round-Trip Trade

China

Tencent Holdings Limited operates as an investment holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides Internet and mobile value-added services (VAS), online advertising, and e-commerce transactions. Tencent Holdings offers services to users worldwide.

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Tencent (700 HK)

Quiddity Leaderboard HSTECH Dec 24: Midea Group Question Mark and Final Rankings for Exp ADDs/DELs

Our current estimate of US$1,079mn one-way capping flow translates to a turnover of 4.4%. The final capping flows will be decided based on the...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Sep): Weak Inflows Ex-Alibaba

We noted 12 months of inflows for Southbound connect stocks and highlighted inflows into Alibaba, Kuaishou, Anta, HKEx, China Resource Land, China...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Resources Beverage Pre-IPO - PHIP Updates - Revenue Slowing, Margins Growing

China Resources Beverage (CRB HK) is looking to raise up to US$1bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we talk about updates from its PHIP...

Sumeet Singh

K Bank IPO - Should Price Below Its Range

K Bank (279570 KS) plans to raise up to US$740m in its upcoming South Korean IPO. In this note, we talk about the IPO valuations.

Sumeet Singh

HSTECH Index Rebalance Preview: $800m Round-Trip Trade

We do not forecast any constituent changes for the HSTECH index in December. Capping changes will lead to a one-way turnover of 2.15% and a round...

Brian Freitas

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