Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/prosus-nv" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28104:1" rel="noopener">Prosus (PRX NA)'s</a> announced open-ended share repurchase programme, funded by on-market sale of its Tencent shares, is a significant positive catalyst to reduce its discount to NAV.</li>
<li>Continued operating losses will likely require funding through capital events, in the form of either asset sales or debt issuance.</li>
<li>Cash flow requirements and continued concerns around capital allocation should limit the reduction in the discount to NAV.</li>
</ul>



Prosus (PRX NA)'s announced open-ended share repurchase programme, funded by on-market sale of its Tencent shares, is a significant positive catalyst to reduce its discount to NAV.
Continued operating losses will likely require funding through capital events, in the form of either asset sales or debt issuance.
Cash flow requirements and continued concerns around capital allocation should limit the reduction in the discount to NAV.


Prosus: Finally, a Catalyst; Cash Flows, Capital Allocation, Should Limit Drop in Discount to NAV

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

<ul>
<li>Tencent’s share price is down 6.5% over the last five days as largest shareholder Prosus sais that it would sell down Tencent shares to fund the buyback of Prosus/Naspers shares.</li>
<li>Though Chinese regulators removed the ban on new game approval in April this year, none of Tencent’s new game titles received approvals in over the last two months.</li>
<li>Tencent’s 1Q2022 earnings were weak and we expect 2Q2022E earnings to further decelerate with resurgence of Covid cases in China alongside weak macroeconomy.</li>
</ul>


Tencent’s share price is down 6.5% over the last five days as largest shareholder Prosus sais that it would sell down Tencent shares to fund the buyback of Prosus/Naspers shares.
Though Chinese regulators removed the ban on new game approval in April this year, none of Tencent’s new game titles received approvals in over the last two months.
Tencent’s 1Q2022 earnings were weak and we expect 2Q2022E earnings to further decelerate with resurgence of Covid cases in China alongside weak macroeconomy.


Tencent: End of Another Quarter with No New Game Approval and Prosus Selling

Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Tencent exhibits a compelling bear case in the form of triangle slated to break down to press on macro 310 support. A wave 5 new low near 280/263 is targeted.</li>
<li>MACD turning down from macro resistance stand out as a compelling direction signal that aligns with the bearish triangle a-b-c bounce count.</li>
<li>This new low would (terminal wave 5 cycle trough) represent a macro buy entry to challenge the 420 macro bull/bear line.</li>
</ul>


Tencent exhibits a compelling bear case in the form of triangle slated to break down to press on macro 310 support. A wave 5 new low near 280/263 is targeted.
MACD turning down from macro resistance stand out as a compelling direction signal that aligns with the bearish triangle a-b-c bounce count.
This new low would (terminal wave 5 cycle trough) represent a macro buy entry to challenge the 420 macro bull/bear line.


Asia biased macro & technical analysis, Untying The Gordian Knot

Untying The Gordian Knot

Asia biased macro & technical analysis

A differentiated process with a primary focus on Asia. Technical Analysis as core and Macro drivers that could bring the view to fruition & changes that could make the idea fall apart. The objective is to be the best in class, hence corner shop.

<ul><li>Hong Kong Stocks are more excited than the mainland about cutting the Quarantine period from 14 to 7 days.</li><li>The 25th Anniversary of the Hong Kong handover means more stability ahead of celebrations and trading dominated by position squaring.</li><li>Only Xiaomi shows signs of a breakout. It broke the downtrend from August 2021 with the inside days in the last two trading sessions. It looks like it will test the breakout and cover it next week.</li></ul>

Hong Kong Stocks are more excited than the mainland about cutting the Quarantine period from 14 to 7 days.The 25th Anniversary of the Hong Kong handover means more stability ahead of celebrations and trading dominated by position squaring.Only Xiaomi shows signs of a breakout. It broke the downtrend from August 2021 with the inside days in the last two trading sessions. It looks like it will test the breakout and cover it next week.

Hang Seng Index Constituents 30th June 2022

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Tianqi Lithium (TL) is looking to raise up to US$1.7bn via its H-shares listing. It undertakes mining of lithium ore and manufacturing of lithium concentrate, lithium compounds and derivatives.</li>
<li>TL was the largest producer of mined lithium globally in terms of output in 2020 and ranked third in terms of revenue generated from lithium in 2020.</li>
<li>In this note, we take about the deal pricing and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>


Tianqi Lithium (TL) is looking to raise up to US$1.7bn via its H-shares listing. It undertakes mining of lithium ore and manufacturing of lithium concentrate, lithium compounds and derivatives.
TL was the largest producer of mined lithium globally in terms of output in 2020 and ranked third in terms of revenue generated from lithium in 2020.
In this note, we take about the deal pricing and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Tianqi Lithium A/H Listing - Large Deal but Its Been Priced to Go

China

Tencent Holdings Limited operates as an investment holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides Internet and mobile value-added services (VAS), online advertising, and e-commerce transactions. Tencent Holdings offers services to users worldwide.

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Tencent (700 HK)

Prosus: Finally, a Catalyst; Cash Flows, Capital Allocation, Should Limit Drop in Discount to NAV

In this insight, we analyse Prosus’ operational performance, capital allocation decisions, cash flows, what that implies for the holding company...

Wium Malan, CFA

Tencent: End of Another Quarter with No New Game Approval and Prosus Selling

The second quarter of 2022 has not been any great for Tencent as none of its new game titles were included in the approved list while Prosus...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Tencent Bear Case for New Lows

Tencent exhibits a compelling bear case in the form of triangle slated to break down to press on macro 310 support. A wave 5 new low near 280/263...

Thomas Schroeder

Hang Seng Index Constituents 30th June 2022

Mainland opening, but not really. Hong Kong Stocks are more excited than the mainland about cutting the Quarantine period from 14 to 7 days. The...

Untying The Gordian Knot

Tianqi Lithium A/H Listing - Large Deal but Its Been Priced to Go

Tianqi Lithium (TL) is looking to raise up to US$1.7bn via its H-shares listing. In this note, we talk about pricing and run the deal through our...

Sumeet Singh

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