Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-music-entertainment" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27255:1" rel="noopener">Tencent Music (TME US)</a>  reported 3Q2022 results yesterday. Revenue declined 5.6% YoY to RMB7.4bn (vs consensus RMB7.0bn) while adjusted OP for the quarter increased 14.0% YoY to RMB765m.</li>
<li>Revenue from social entertainment services decreased 20% YoY which was partially helped offset by 18.8% YoY increase in online music services revenues.</li>
<li>GPM and OPM improved due to huge spending cuts on content, revenue sharing and S&amp;M and we are yet to see if TME can sustain this without compromising user growth.</li>
</ul>



Tencent Music (TME US)  reported 3Q2022 results yesterday. Revenue declined 5.6% YoY to RMB7.4bn (vs consensus RMB7.0bn) while adjusted OP for the quarter increased 14.0% YoY to RMB765m.
Revenue from social entertainment services decreased 20% YoY which was partially helped offset by 18.8% YoY increase in online music services revenues.
GPM and OPM improved due to huge spending cuts on content, revenue sharing and S&amp;M and we are yet to see if TME can sustain this without compromising user growth.


TME: Online Music Biz Resumes Growth but Social Entertainment Further Drops

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In Nov 2021, Sapphire Foods Limited (SFL), one of Yum Brand’s franchisees in the Indian subcontinent, raised around US$280m in its Indian IPO. </li>
<li>The lock-up on its shareholders will expire soon, with a number of PE funds on its register</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the upcoming lockup expiry.</li>
</ul>


In Nov 2021, Sapphire Foods Limited (SFL), one of Yum Brand’s franchisees in the Indian subcontinent, raised around US$280m in its Indian IPO. 
The lock-up on its shareholders will expire soon, with a number of PE funds on its register
In this note, we will talk about the upcoming lockup expiry.


Sapphire Foods IPO - Smallish Stock with Big (US$550m) Multiple PE Lockup Expiry

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

<ul>
<li>NetEase and Activision Blizzard will possibly terminate their cooperation next January.</li>
<li>Singles’ Day sales were not very successful for e-commerce apps such as Alibaba and JD.com.</li>
<li>IQiyi announced a revenue share rule to short TV series producers, including cost per mille and membership fee.</li>
</ul>


NetEase and Activision Blizzard will possibly terminate their cooperation next January.
Singles’ Day sales were not very successful for e-commerce apps such as Alibaba and JD.com.
IQiyi announced a revenue share rule to short TV series producers, including cost per mille and membership fee.


China Internet Weekly (14Nov2022): NetEase, Activision Blizzard, Alibaba, Tencent, IQiyi, Suning.com

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of November 11th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight inflows into Tencent, Wuxi Biologics, HKEx, Kuaishou Technology.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of November 11th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight inflows into Tencent, Wuxi Biologics, HKEx, Kuaishou Technology.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Nov 4th): Tencent, Wuxi Biologics, HKEx, Kuaishou

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Nov 4th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Kuaishou, Li Ning, China Shenhua, BYD Electronic.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Nov 4th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in Kuaishou, Li Ning, China Shenhua, BYD Electronic.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Kuaishou, Li Ning, China Shenhua, BYD Electronic

China

Tencent Holdings Limited operates as an investment holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides Internet and mobile value-added services (VAS), online advertising, and e-commerce transactions. Tencent Holdings offers services to users worldwide.

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Tencent (700 HK)

Sapphire Foods IPO - Smallish Stock with Big (US$550m) Multiple PE Lockup Expiry

In Nov 2021, Sapphire Foods Limited, one of Yum Brand’s franchisees in the Indian subcontinent, raised around US$280m in its Indian IPO. In this...

Sumeet Singh

China Internet Weekly (14Nov2022): NetEase, Activision Blizzard, Alibaba, Tencent, IQiyi, Suning.com

NetEase and Activision Blizzard will possibly terminate their cooperation next January. Singles’ Day sales are not successful. iQiyi announced...

Ming Lu

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Nov 4th): Tencent, Wuxi Biologics, HKEx, Kuaishou

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Tencent, Wuxi Biologics, HKEx, Kuaishou.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Short Interest Weekly: Kuaishou, Li Ning, China Shenhua, BYD Electronic

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Nov 4th and highlight short interest changes in Kuaishou, Li Ning, China...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

TME: Online Music Biz Resumes Growth but Social Entertainment Further Drops

TME's earnings beat estimates and price went up 29% which seems unwarranted. Social ent. biz has further declined and margin improvement driven by...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Sapphire Foods IPO - Smallish Stock with Big (US$550m) Multiple PE Lockup Expiry

In Nov 2021, Sapphire Foods Limited, one of Yum Brand’s franchisees in the Indian subcontinent, raised around US$280m in its Indian IPO. In this...

Sumeet Singh

China Internet Weekly (14Nov2022): NetEase, Activision Blizzard, Alibaba, Tencent, IQiyi, Suning.com

NetEase and Activision Blizzard will possibly terminate their cooperation next January. Singles’ Day sales are not successful. iQiyi announced...

Ming Lu

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Nov 4th): Tencent, Wuxi Biologics, HKEx, Kuaishou

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Tencent, Wuxi Biologics, HKEx, Kuaishou.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Short Interest Weekly: Kuaishou, Li Ning, China Shenhua, BYD Electronic

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Nov 4th and highlight short interest changes in Kuaishou, Li Ning, China...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM