Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Q1 saw record quarterly inflows by SOUTHBOUND investors at HK$435bn, beating the previous record of Q1 2021 by more than HK$100bn. This week was +HK$37bn.</li>
<li>That's decent net buying still. Keeping that pace would mean a new record. It IS possible this excess flow is state-managed (or state-insisted as insurers up equity investment ratios).</li>
<li>Included is a summary of important China Stocks-relevant news as I saw it this week, but tariffs, retaliation, US growth prospects, etc will all matter more. </li>
</ul>


Q1 saw record quarterly inflows by SOUTHBOUND investors at HK$435bn, beating the previous record of Q1 2021 by more than HK$100bn. This week was +HK$37bn.
That's decent net buying still. Keeping that pace would mean a new record. It IS possible this excess flow is state-managed (or state-insisted as insurers up equity investment ratios).
Included is a summary of important China Stocks-relevant news as I saw it this week, but tariffs, retaliation, US growth prospects, etc will all matter more. 


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 28 Mar 2025); Banks and Divs Bought Again

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist, Clifton Derivatives

John Ley

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist

Clifton Derivatives

Independent derivative and volatility research firm focusing on events/catalysts, earnings, relative value and cross asset volatility strategies.

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>Weekly recap of key option metrics across single stocks, including most active names and strikes, largest volume increases, biggest movers, and key earnings reports.</li>
<li>Breadth continues to deteriorate against an increasingly hostile global backdrop.</li>
<li>Both price and implied volatility declined on average, with the typical stock still well below its 52-week high.</li>
</ul>


Weekly recap of key option metrics across single stocks, including most active names and strikes, largest volume increases, biggest movers, and key earnings reports.
Breadth continues to deteriorate against an increasingly hostile global backdrop.
Both price and implied volatility declined on average, with the typical stock still well below its 52-week high.


Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly (March 24 – 28): Earnings Wrap as Breadth Deteriorates

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 150 stocks over the last week.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium was 85.0% as of Mar 28th. The average A-H premium changed by 1.8ppt week-on-week, led by real estate, communication services, financials.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Great Wall Motor, China Oilfield Services, Tsingtao Brewery, Cmoc, Xinhua Winshare Publishing And Media.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 150 stocks over the last week.
The average A-H premium was 85.0% as of Mar 28th. The average A-H premium changed by 1.8ppt week-on-week, led by real estate, communication services, financials.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Great Wall Motor, China Oilfield Services, Tsingtao Brewery, Cmoc, Xinhua Winshare Publishing And Media.


A-H Premium Weekly (Mar 28th): Great Wall Motor, China Oilfield Services, Tsingtao Brewery, Cmoc

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of March 28th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Xiaomi, CMB, Meituan, Ke, Li Auto, Tencent, BYD Electronic, SMIC, HKEx, Alibaba.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of March 28th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Xiaomi, CMB, Meituan, Ke, Li Auto, Tencent, BYD Electronic, SMIC, HKEx, Alibaba.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (Mar 28th): Xiaomi, CMB, Meituan, Ke, Li Auto, Tencent, BYD Electronic, SMIC

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Zijin Mining Group Co Ltd H / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zijin-mining-group-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6358:1" rel="noopener">Zijin Mining Group Co Ltd H (2899 HK)</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xinyi-solar-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:318:1" rel="noopener">Xinyi Solar Holdings (968 HK)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI INDEX)</a> after the close on 7 June.</li>
<li>An increase in the FAF for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sensetime-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34319:1" rel="noopener">SenseTime Group (20 HK)</a> results in the stock avoiding deletion at the June rebalance.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 2.9% resulting in a round-trip trade of HK$3.8bn with over 1x ADV to trade on the add and delete.</li>
</ul>



Zijin Mining Group Co Ltd H (2899 HK) will replace Xinyi Solar Holdings (968 HK) in the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI INDEX) after the close on 7 June.
An increase in the FAF for SenseTime Group (20 HK) results in the stock avoiding deletion at the June rebalance.
Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 2.9% resulting in a round-trip trade of HK$3.8bn with over 1x ADV to trade on the add and delete.


HSCEI Index Rebalance: Zijin Mining In; Xinyi Solar Out; SenseTime Survives (For Now)

China

Zijin Mining Group Company Limited operates metal mineral resources exploration and mining businesses. The Company produces gold, copper, zinc, iron, and other base metals. Zijin Mining Group also conducts metal trade and investment businesses domestically and internationally.

Price Gauge
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Zijin Mining Group (601899 CH)

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 28 Mar 2025); Banks and Divs Bought Again

Chinese banks get their expected capital injection and the world awaits tariffs but SOUTHBOUND investors continue to buy, making for a record...

Travis Lundy

Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly (March 24 – 28): Earnings Wrap as Breadth Deteriorates

Weekly recap: Option metrics show declining breadth amid global challenges. Prices and implied volatility down, most stocks still well below 52...

John Ley

A-H Premium Weekly (Mar 28th): Great Wall Motor, China Oilfield Services, Tsingtao Brewery, Cmoc

We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Great Wall Motor, China Oilfield Services, Tsingtao Brewery, Cmoc, Xinhua Winshare Publishing And...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Mar 28th): Xiaomi, CMB, Meituan, Ke, Li Auto, Tencent, BYD Electronic, SMIC

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Xiaomi, CMB, Meituan, Ke, Li Auto, Tencent, BYD...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HSCEI Index Rebalance: Zijin Mining In; Xinyi Solar Out; SenseTime Survives (For Now)

Zijin Mining will replace Xinyi Glass in the HSCEI at the close on 7 June. Zijin Mining has jumped over the last few months but still trades...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 28 Mar 2025); Banks and Divs Bought Again

Chinese banks get their expected capital injection and the world awaits tariffs but SOUTHBOUND investors continue to buy, making for a record...

Travis Lundy

Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly (March 24 – 28): Earnings Wrap as Breadth Deteriorates

​Weekly recap: Option metrics show declining breadth amid global challenges. Prices and implied volatility down, most stocks still well below 52...

John Ley

A-H Premium Weekly (Mar 28th): Great Wall Motor, China Oilfield Services, Tsingtao Brewery, Cmoc

We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Great Wall Motor, China Oilfield Services, Tsingtao Brewery, Cmoc, Xinhua Winshare Publishing And...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Mar 28th): Xiaomi, CMB, Meituan, Ke, Li Auto, Tencent, BYD Electronic, SMIC

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Xiaomi, CMB, Meituan, Ke, Li Auto, Tencent, BYD...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HSCEI Index Rebalance: Zijin Mining In; Xinyi Solar Out; SenseTime Survives (For Now)

Zijin Mining will replace Xinyi Glass in the HSCEI at the close on 7 June. Zijin Mining has jumped over the last few months but still trades...

Brian Freitas

Weekly recap: Option metrics show declining breadth amid global challenges. Prices and implied volatility down, most stocks still well below 52...