IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/grabtaxi-holdings-pte-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26950:1" rel="noopener">Grab (0967655D SP)</a> is Southeast Asia’s leading super-app and the largest online delivery platform, ride-hailing platform and digital wallet payments platform in Southeast Asia, according to Euromonitor. Grab intends to go public in the US through a SPAC merger with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/altimeter-growth-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33007:1" rel="noopener">Altimeter Growth Corp (AGC US)</a>.</p><p>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/grab-spac-deal-delivering-the-goods" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:50305" rel="noopener">Grab SPAC Deal: Delivering the Goods</a>, we looked at Grab's fundamentals and management forecasts. We noted that Grab is using its super-app status to deliver high-growth with declining loss margin and cash burn. While certain management forecasts seem bullish, the overall forecasts are not outlandish.  </p><p>In this note, we look at the valuation. As a reminder, the deal values Grab at a post-money market cap of $39.6 billion and post-money EV of $31.3 billion. The deal implies 9.6x 2022 EV/Sales based on Grab’s forecasted adjusted net revenue.</p><div class="content-highlight">
<p>At first glance, Grab's implied multiples are eye-watering in comparison to global peers related to its delivery and mobility businesses. However, we think that judging Grab's multiples based on such peers is missing the point. Grab's key competitive advantage and investor pitch is that it can be credibly billed as a super-app rather than just a leading app in a narrow market category.</p>
<p>Super-apps tend to be rare and investors are starved of publicly listed opportunities. With the regulatory heat turned up on the Chinese super-apps, alternative super-app plays in Asia are likely to be in demand. When judged against global super-apps, Grab's implied multiples seems more justifiable for its forecast growth.  </p>
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Grab (0967655D SP) is Southeast Asia’s leading super-app and the largest online delivery platform, ride-hailing platform and digital wallet payments platform in Southeast Asia, according to Euromonitor. Grab intends to go public in the US through a SPAC merger with Altimeter Growth Corp (AGC US).In Grab SPAC Deal: Delivering the Goods, we looked at Grab's fundamentals and management forecasts. We noted that Grab is using its super-app status to deliver high-growth with declining loss margin and cash burn. While certain management forecasts seem bullish, the overall forecasts are not outlandish.  In this note, we look at the valuation. As a reminder, the deal values Grab at a post-money market cap of $39.6 billion and post-money EV of $31.3 billion. The deal implies 9.6x 2022 EV/Sales based on Grab’s forecasted adjusted net revenue.
At first glance, Grab's implied multiples are eye-watering in comparison to global peers related to its delivery and mobility businesses. However, we think that judging Grab's multiples based on such peers is missing the point. Grab's key competitive advantage and investor pitch is that it can be credibly billed as a super-app rather than just a leading app in a narrow market category.
Super-apps tend to be rare and investors are starved of publicly listed opportunities. With the regulatory heat turned up on the Chinese super-apps, alternative super-app plays in Asia are likely to be in demand. When judged against global super-apps, Grab's implied multiples seems more justifiable for its forecast growth.  


Grab SPAC Deal: A Sensible Super-App Valuation?

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/grabtaxi-holdings-pte-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26950:1" rel="noopener">Grab (0967655D SP)</a> is Southeast Asia’s leading superapp and the largest online delivery platform, ride-hailing platform and digital wallet payments platform in Southeast Asia, according to Euromonitor. Grab is backed by SoftBank Vision Fund (21.7% stake), <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/uber-technologies-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:430:1" rel="noopener">Uber (UBER US)</a> (16.6%), <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/didi-chuxing-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27467:1" rel="noopener">DiDi Chuxing (1284375D CH)</a> (8.7%) and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyota-motor-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:73:1" rel="noopener">Toyota Motor (7203 JP)</a> (6.9%). </p><p>Grab intends to go public in the US through a SPAC merger with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/altimeter-growth-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33007:1" rel="noopener">Altimeter Growth Corp (AGC US)</a>. The deal proceeds include more than $4.0 billion of fully committed PIPE led by $750 million from Altimeter Capital Management. Investors in the PIPE include BlackRock, Morgan Stanley Investment Management, Fidelity International, FMR, Janus Henderson Investors, Mubadala, Nuveen, Permodalan Nasional Berhad and Temasek. Altimeter will commit to a three-year lock-up period for its sponsor promote shares. </p><p>The deal values Grab at a post-money market cap of $39.6 billion and post-money EV of $31.3 billion. The deal implies 9.6x 2022 EV/Sales based on Grab’s forecasted adjusted net revenue. Post-close of the transaction, the existing Grab shareholders will represent 87.7% of outstanding shares. </p><div class="content-highlight"><p>Over the years, Grab has transformed into a superapp that encompasses transactions related to transportation, eating, shopping, and digital payments. The transactions are high-frequency which tend to increase user stickiness. By spanning several categories, Grab has many opportunities to capture a user’s wallet spend. Grab is using its superapp status to deliver high-growth with declining loss margin and cash burn. While certain management forecasts seem bullish, the overall forecasts are not outlandish. We will look at Grab’s valuation in our next note.</p></div>

Grab (0967655D SP) is Southeast Asia’s leading superapp and the largest online delivery platform, ride-hailing platform and digital wallet payments platform in Southeast Asia, according to Euromonitor. Grab is backed by SoftBank Vision Fund (21.7% stake), Uber (UBER US) (16.6%), DiDi Chuxing (1284375D CH) (8.7%) and Toyota Motor (7203 JP) (6.9%). Grab intends to go public in the US through a SPAC merger with Altimeter Growth Corp (AGC US). The deal proceeds include more than $4.0 billion of fully committed PIPE led by $750 million from Altimeter Capital Management. Investors in the PIPE include BlackRock, Morgan Stanley Investment Management, Fidelity International, FMR, Janus Henderson Investors, Mubadala, Nuveen, Permodalan Nasional Berhad and Temasek. Altimeter will commit to a three-year lock-up period for its sponsor promote shares. The deal values Grab at a post-money market cap of $39.6 billion and post-money EV of $31.3 billion. The deal implies 9.6x 2022 EV/Sales based on Grab’s forecasted adjusted net revenue. Post-close of the transaction, the existing Grab shareholders will represent 87.7% of outstanding shares. Over the years, Grab has transformed into a superapp that encompasses transactions related to transportation, eating, shopping, and digital payments. The transactions are high-frequency which tend to increase user stickiness. By spanning several categories, Grab has many opportunities to capture a user’s wallet spend. Grab is using its superapp status to deliver high-growth with declining loss margin and cash burn. While certain management forecasts seem bullish, the overall forecasts are not outlandish. We will look at Grab’s valuation in our next note.

APAC IPOs & Placements

Zhen Zhou, Toh

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Smart Share Global / Equity Capital Markets

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<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/energy-monster" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32217:1" rel="noopener">Smart Share Global (EM US)</a> (SSG), also known as Energy Monster, raised about US$150m at US$8.50 per ADS, below the bottom-end of its initial price range. </p>
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<p>SSG is a consumer tech company that provides mobile device charging service through online and offline networks. The company is the largest mobile device charging service provider in China in terms of 2020 gross revenue.</p>
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<p>In this note, we look at deal dynamics and provide an update on valuation.</p>
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<p>Our previous coverage of the IPO:</p>
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<ul style="list-style-type: disc;">
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/smart-share-global-pre-ipo-growing-fast-and-is-profitable-but-competition-is-picking-up" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:49349" rel="noopener">Smart Share Global (怪兽充电) Pre-IPO - Growing Fast and Is Profitable but Competition Is Picking Up</a> </li>
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<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/smart-share-global-rent-a-power-bank-on-the-ground" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:49438" rel="noopener">Smart Share Global (怪兽充电): Rent A Power Bank on the Ground</a> </li>
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<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/smart-share-global-pre-ipo-pulling-ahead-in-a-highly-competitive-landscape" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:49585" rel="noopener">Smart Share Global (怪兽充电) Pre-IPO - Pulling Ahead in a Highly Competitive Landscape</a> </li>
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<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/smart-share-global-pre-ipo-forecasts-assumptions-and-valuation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:49653" rel="noopener">Smart Share Global (怪兽充电) Pre-IPO - Forecasts, Assumptions, and Valuation</a> </li>
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<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/smart-share-global-ipo-overcharged" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:49807" rel="noopener">Smart Share Global (怪兽充电) IPO - Overcharged</a> </li>
</ul>
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Smart Share Global (EM US) (SSG), also known as Energy Monster, raised about US$150m at US$8.50 per ADS, below the bottom-end of its initial price range. 


SSG is a consumer tech company that provides mobile device charging service through online and offline networks. The company is the largest mobile device charging service provider in China in terms of 2020 gross revenue.


In this note, we look at deal dynamics and provide an update on valuation.


Our previous coverage of the IPO:




Smart Share Global (怪兽充电) Pre-IPO - Growing Fast and Is Profitable but Competition Is Picking Up 

Smart Share Global (怪兽充电): Rent A Power Bank on the Ground 

Smart Share Global (怪兽充电) Pre-IPO - Pulling Ahead in a Highly Competitive Landscape 

Smart Share Global (怪兽充电) Pre-IPO - Forecasts, Assumptions, and Valuation 

Smart Share Global (怪兽充电) IPO - Overcharged 



Smart Share Global (怪兽充电) IPO Trading - Cheaper Now but Still May Not Be Enough

<div><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/energy-monster" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32217:1" rel="noopener">Smart Share Global (EM US)</a> (SSG), also known as Energy Monster, is looking to raise US$300m in its upcoming U.S. IPO.</p></div><div><p>SSG is a consumer tech company that provides mobile device charging service through online and offline networks. The company is the largest mobile device charging service provider in China in terms of 2020 gross revenue.</p></div><div><p>In this note, we will share our forecast, assumptions, and thoughts on valuation. </p></div><div><p>Our previous coverage of the IPO:</p></div><div><ul style="list-style-type: disc;">
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/smart-share-global-pre-ipo-growing-fast-and-is-profitable-but-competition-is-picking-up" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:49349" rel="noopener">Smart Share Global (怪兽充电) Pre-IPO - Growing Fast and Is Profitable but Competition Is Picking Up</a> </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/smart-share-global-rent-a-power-bank-on-the-ground" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:49438" rel="noopener">Smart Share Global (怪兽充电): Rent A Power Bank on the Ground</a> </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/smart-share-global-pre-ipo-pulling-ahead-in-a-highly-competitive-landscape" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:49585" rel="noopener">Smart Share Global (怪兽充电) Pre-IPO - Pulling Ahead in a Highly Competitive Landscape</a> </li>
</ul></div>

Smart Share Global (EM US) (SSG), also known as Energy Monster, is looking to raise US$300m in its upcoming U.S. IPO.SSG is a consumer tech company that provides mobile device charging service through online and offline networks. The company is the largest mobile device charging service provider in China in terms of 2020 gross revenue.In this note, we will share our forecast, assumptions, and thoughts on valuation. Our previous coverage of the IPO:

Smart Share Global (怪兽充电) Pre-IPO - Growing Fast and Is Profitable but Competition Is Picking Up 

Smart Share Global (怪兽充电): Rent A Power Bank on the Ground 

Smart Share Global (怪兽充电) Pre-IPO - Pulling Ahead in a Highly Competitive Landscape 


Smart Share Global (怪兽充电) Pre-IPO - Forecasts, Assumptions, and Valuation

Independent Research, Food Delivery Space, Newmoon Capital

Newmoon Capital

Independent Research, Food Delivery Space

We look for owner-operators in what we believe are either highly defensible assets or soon to be highly defensible assets, trading at a fraction of their future potential.

Private Capital Markets

<p>£8bn at the mid-point… that’s pretty high. That prices the company on a much higher valuation than $DASH on a comparable accounting perspective. Also, existing investors which include Will Shu will be selling OVER £600mn shares.</p>

£8bn at the mid-point… that’s pretty high. That prices the company on a much higher valuation than $DASH on a comparable accounting perspective. Also, existing investors which include Will Shu will be selling OVER £600mn shares.

United States

Lyft, Inc. provides online ridesharing services. The Company offers ride booking, payment processing, and car transportation services. Lyft serves customers in the United States.

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Lyft (LYFT US)

Grab SPAC Deal: A Sensible Super-App Valuation?

Grab's implied multiples are eye-watering in comparison to global peers related to its businesses. When judged against other global super-apps,...

Arun George

Grab SPAC Deal: Delivering the Goods

Grab has announced a SPAC merger with Altimeter Growth Corp which values Grab at a post-money market cap of $39.6 bn. We think that Grab has strong...

Arun George

Deliveroo part 7 - Valuation

£8bn at the mid-point… that’s pretty high. That prices the company on a much higher valuation than $DASH on a comparable accounting perspective

Newmoon Capital

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52-week Range

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Grab SPAC Deal: A Sensible Super-App Valuation?

Grab's implied multiples are eye-watering in comparison to global peers related to its businesses. When judged against other global super-apps,...

Arun George

Grab SPAC Deal: Delivering the Goods

Grab has announced a SPAC merger with Altimeter Growth Corp which values Grab at a post-money market cap of $39.6 bn. We think that Grab has strong...

Arun George

Smart Share Global (怪兽充电) IPO Trading - Cheaper Now but Still May Not Be Enough

Smart Share Global (EM US) (SSG), also known as Energy Monster, raised about US$150m at US$8.50 per ADS, below the bottom-end of its initial price...

Zhen Zhou, Toh

Smart Share Global (怪兽充电) Pre-IPO - Forecasts, Assumptions, and Valuation

Smart Share Global (EM US) (SSG), also known as Energy Monster, is looking to raise US$300m in its upcoming U.S. IPO. In this note, we will share...

Zhen Zhou, Toh

Deliveroo part 7 - Valuation

£8bn at the mid-point… that’s pretty high. That prices the company on a much higher valuation than $DASH on a comparable accounting perspective

Newmoon Capital