Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Luxshare Precision Industry / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts with which to play.</li>
<li>Last week saw NORTHBOUND net BUY RMB +15.9bn of A-shares. NORTHBOUND bought Financials, Industry, Infotech, etc. They sold Communications (which was a HUGE SOUTHBOUND buy) and Pharma/Healthcare.</li>
<li>It is notable that net flows as a percentage of value traded are clearly "short gamma", which is to say, sector underperformers are being sold, sector outperformers being bought.</li>
</ul>


The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts with which to play.
Last week saw NORTHBOUND net BUY RMB +15.9bn of A-shares. NORTHBOUND bought Financials, Industry, Infotech, etc. They sold Communications (which was a HUGE SOUTHBOUND buy) and Pharma/Healthcare.
It is notable that net flows as a percentage of value traded are clearly "short gamma", which is to say, sector underperformers are being sold, sector outperformers being bought.


Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 12 July 2024): Finance, Industry, Infotech Bought

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>300750 SZ: CATL launches new commercial battery brand Tianxing to accelerate truck electrification and defend market share.（/）</li>
<li>9992 HK: Pop Mart's first LABUBU theme store opens in Bangkok with over RMB10 million in sales on the first day(+)</li>
<li>1810 HK : Huawei to launch three-hinge/ fold smartphone. (/)</li>
</ul>


300750 SZ: CATL launches new commercial battery brand Tianxing to accelerate truck electrification and defend market share.（/）
9992 HK: Pop Mart's first LABUBU theme store opens in Bangkok with over RMB10 million in sales on the first day(+)
1810 HK : Huawei to launch three-hinge/ fold smartphone. (/)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:300750 SZ/9992 HK/1810 HK/1519 HK/ZTO US/SE US/ATAT US/981 HK/000977 CH

<ul>
<li>The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts with which to play.</li>
<li>Last week saw NORTHBOUND net SELL RMB 13.9bn of A-shares. NORTHBOUND bought utilities and raw materials and sold everything else, especially consumer names. Appliances remain on the sell side.</li>
<li>It is notable that net flows as a percentage of value traded are clearly "short gamma", which is to say, sector underperformers are being sold, not bought.</li>
</ul>


The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts with which to play.
Last week saw NORTHBOUND net SELL RMB 13.9bn of A-shares. NORTHBOUND bought utilities and raw materials and sold everything else, especially consumer names. Appliances remain on the sell side.
It is notable that net flows as a percentage of value traded are clearly "short gamma", which is to say, sector underperformers are being sold, not bought.


Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 5 July 2024): Finance, Consumer, IT Sold, Utilities Bought

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 5th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$1,769.7 million, led by information technology, materials, industrials, and offset by communication services, real estate, utilities.</li>
<li>We note that outflows have been consecutive for four weeks and highlight outflows for CATL (300750 CH).</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 5th.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$1,769.7 million, led by information technology, materials, industrials, and offset by communication services, real estate, utilities.
We note that outflows have been consecutive for four weeks and highlight outflows for CATL (300750 CH).


Northbound Flows (Jul 5th): 4 Weeks of Outflows

<ul>
<li>One year after June 30, 2023, only 18% more of total battery capacities were added in US, below EU's 26% more added over the same period;</li>
<li>Chinese companies have largely shunned away from US investments, contributing only 8.7% of total. Most Chinese investments are in the mineral, instead of cell and package segments;</li>
<li>Envision/AESC alone contributed 2/3 of Chinese investments in US and is the only Chinese company investing in the cell segment.None invests in the package segment.</li>
</ul>


One year after June 30, 2023, only 18% more of total battery capacities were added in US, below EU's 26% more added over the same period;
Chinese companies have largely shunned away from US investments, contributing only 8.7% of total. Most Chinese investments are in the mineral, instead of cell and package segments;
Envision/AESC alone contributed 2/3 of Chinese investments in US and is the only Chinese company investing in the cell segment.None invests in the package segment.


US Battery and Solar Investments, One Year After, Part I

China

Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited. operates as a battery products manufacturing company. The Company produces and sells power battery materials, energy storage batteries energy storage battery cells, systems, and other products. Contemporary Amperex Technology also provides batteries recycling services.

Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) (300750 CH)

Price Gauge
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Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) (300750 CH)

Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 12 July 2024): Finance, Industry, Infotech Bought

NORTHBOUND saw net buying. Significant volume spread across a LOT of names, not index-weighted. The weights indicate some short-covering ahead of...

Travis Lundy

[Blue Lotus Daily]:300750 SZ/9992 HK/1810 HK/1519 HK/ZTO US/SE US/ATAT US/981 HK/000977 CH

CATL launches new commercial battery brand Tianxing to drive truck electrification and protect market share. Pop Mart's LABUBU theme store in...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 5 July 2024): Finance, Consumer, IT Sold, Utilities Bought

NORTHBOUND Flows were quite low this week on a gross basis. On a net basis, they were still a net sell and consumer names and finance names were...

Travis Lundy

Northbound Flows (Jul 5th): 4 Weeks of Outflows

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week. We estimate the outflows to be USD1.8bn and highlight flows for CATL.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

US Battery and Solar Investments, One Year After, Part I

We view the US having a vigorous and healthy battery reshoring initiative. contributed by battery's relatively flat supply chain and the technology...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 12 July 2024): Finance, Industry, Infotech Bought

NORTHBOUND saw net buying. Significant volume spread across a LOT of names, not index-weighted. The weights indicate some short-covering ahead of...

Travis Lundy

[Blue Lotus Daily]:300750 SZ/9992 HK/1810 HK/1519 HK/ZTO US/SE US/ATAT US/981 HK/000977 CH

​CATL launches new commercial battery brand Tianxing to drive truck electrification and protect market share. Pop Mart's LABUBU theme store in...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 5 July 2024): Finance, Consumer, IT Sold, Utilities Bought

NORTHBOUND Flows were quite low this week on a gross basis. On a net basis, they were still a net sell and consumer names and finance names were...

Travis Lundy

Northbound Flows (Jul 5th): 4 Weeks of Outflows

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week. We estimate the outflows to be USD1.8bn and highlight flows for CATL.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

US Battery and Solar Investments, One Year After, Part I

We view the US having a vigorous and healthy battery reshoring initiative. contributed by battery's relatively flat supply chain and the technology...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

CATL launches new commercial battery brand Tianxing to drive truck electrification and protect market share. Pop Mart's LABUBU theme store in...