Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

Simcere Pharmaceutical Group / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/simcere-pharmaceutical-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29186:1" rel="noopener">Simcere Pharmaceutical Group (2096 HK)</a> is transitioning to an innovation and R&amp;D-driven pharmaceutical company, with revenue from innovative pharmaceuticals making greater contribution and R&amp;D pipeline of innovative pharmaceuticals advancing rapidly.</li>
<li>During H1 2021, Simcere newly added 5 pivotal registrational trials and phase III clinical trials and 1 phase I clinical trial, and received 7 clinical trial approvals.</li>
<li>Simcere entered into three international partnerships to develop and market innovative drugs in China. The company has also in-licensed an oral COVID-19 drug candidate, which is in pre-clinical stage.</li>
</ul>



Simcere Pharmaceutical Group (2096 HK) is transitioning to an innovation and R&amp;D-driven pharmaceutical company, with revenue from innovative pharmaceuticals making greater contribution and R&amp;D pipeline of innovative pharmaceuticals advancing rapidly.
During H1 2021, Simcere newly added 5 pivotal registrational trials and phase III clinical trials and 1 phase I clinical trial, and received 7 clinical trial approvals.
Simcere entered into three international partnerships to develop and market innovative drugs in China. The company has also in-licensed an oral COVID-19 drug candidate, which is in pre-clinical stage.


Simcere Pharmaceutical (2096 HK): Focus Shifts to Innovative Drug; COVID-19 Oral Drug in Development

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zai-lab-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25877:1" rel="noopener">Zai Lab Ltd (ZLAB US)</a> is famous for its license-in mode, but the biggest highlight is its strong vision and high success rate in the process, forming a distinctive pipeline.</li>
<li>The concerns such as the changes of pattern in license-in mode, attitude of the regulatory authorities, fierce competition and commercialization outlook also deserve attention.</li>
<li>Investing a company is actually investing in its people. We have confidence that Zai Lab would find its way out.</li>
</ul>



Zai Lab Ltd (ZLAB US) is famous for its license-in mode, but the biggest highlight is its strong vision and high success rate in the process, forming a distinctive pipeline.
The concerns such as the changes of pattern in license-in mode, attitude of the regulatory authorities, fierce competition and commercialization outlook also deserve attention.
Investing a company is actually investing in its people. We have confidence that Zai Lab would find its way out.


Zai Lab Ltd (ZLAB.US) - The Strength and the Concerns

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The most important policy for the domestic healthcare industry in the next three years is the DRGs/DIP. We analyzed some important points and the industry outlook brought by this policy.</li>
<li>The aggregate “constraints” imposed by DRGs/DIP will greatly reduce the growth of industry, but A-share market hasn’t fully priced in the impact. Investors are advised to be aware of it.</li>
<li>Recently, Shaanxi province announced the results of centralized procurement of pacemakers.</li>
</ul>


The most important policy for the domestic healthcare industry in the next three years is the DRGs/DIP. We analyzed some important points and the industry outlook brought by this policy.
The aggregate “constraints” imposed by DRGs/DIP will greatly reduce the growth of industry, but A-share market hasn’t fully priced in the impact. Investors are advised to be aware of it.
Recently, Shaanxi province announced the results of centralized procurement of pacemakers.


China Healthcare Weekly (Dec.17)-The Most Important Policy in Next Three Years,Pacemaker VBP Results

<ul>
<li>For development strategy, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alphamab-oncology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28213:1" rel="noopener">Alphamab Co Ltd (9966 HK) </a>may lack the foundation of strategic certainty of expectation. It is also not sure about the commercialization performance of KN035 brought by Simcere.</li>
<li>Although the management’s thinking mode of business operation has improved, it still cannot dispel the doubts about whether the Company can catch up with top-level biopharmaceutical enterprises in the future.</li>
<li>Even with the concerns, it does not rule out that investors can long this stock at an undervalued or a reasonable price to get a good return.</li>
</ul>


For development strategy, Alphamab Co Ltd (9966 HK) may lack the foundation of strategic certainty of expectation. It is also not sure about the commercialization performance of KN035 brought by Simcere.
Although the management’s thinking mode of business operation has improved, it still cannot dispel the doubts about whether the Company can catch up with top-level biopharmaceutical enterprises in the future.
Even with the concerns, it does not rule out that investors can long this stock at an undervalued or a reasonable price to get a good return.


Alphamab Co Ltd (9966.HK) - Some Points Worth the Attention

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

Hang Seng China Enterprises Index / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>With the 2021 futures expiring in 2 weeks, the focus now shifts to the HSCEI dividend futures expiring in 2022 where we see a fair value of 240.76 DIPS.</li>
<li>The current market is trading very close to our fair value for 2022 but there are a lot of potential catalysts that could result in a big move lower.</li>
<li>There are fewer catalysts for the 2022 futures to move higher. The regulatory changes in China plus the HFCAA could lead to the 2023 futures trading cheaper to 2022.</li>
</ul>


With the 2021 futures expiring in 2 weeks, the focus now shifts to the HSCEI dividend futures expiring in 2022 where we see a fair value of 240.76 DIPS.
The current market is trading very close to our fair value for 2022 but there are a lot of potential catalysts that could result in a big move lower.
There are fewer catalysts for the 2022 futures to move higher. The regulatory changes in China plus the HFCAA could lead to the 2023 futures trading cheaper to 2022.


HSCEI Dividend Futures: 2022 Close to Fair; Sell 22/23 Steepener

China

Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group Company Limited operates as a pharmaceutical company. The Company manufactures and sells anti-infectives, anti-neoplastic agents, diabetes drugs, and other products. Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group markets its products throughout China.

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Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group (3692 HK)

Simcere Pharmaceutical (2096 HK): Focus Shifts to Innovative Drug; COVID-19 Oral Drug in Development

Simcere is expected to continue strong performance driven by increasing contribution of innovative drugs. Rich pipeline entails visibility. The...

Tina Banerjee

Zai Lab Ltd (ZLAB.US) - The Strength and the Concerns

This insight analyzes Zai Lab about its distinctive pipeline, the management team, the concerns on license-in mode, regulatory...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (Dec.17)-The Most Important Policy in Next Three Years,Pacemaker VBP Results

This article analyzed the most important policy for China healthcare in the next three years - DRGs/DIP, its potential impact, the outlook of...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Alphamab Co Ltd (9966.HK) - Some Points Worth the Attention

The article analyzed Alphamab Oncology in terms of its conservativeness on business operation and decision making in early stages, the concerns on...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

HSCEI Dividend Futures: 2022 Close to Fair; Sell 22/23 Steepener

The HSCEI 2022 dividend futures are trading close to fair but there are a lot more negative catalysts that will have a bigger impact than positive...

Brian Freitas

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