Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>As the ex-dividend date in Korea has been before the dividend is determined, SSFs trade at a discount based on the anticipated dividend rather than adjusting dividend settlement proceeds explicitly.</li>
<li>The current dividend arbitrage yield for the financial companies can be seen as reflecting the postponement of the ex-dividend date to the next year.</li>
<li>We should pay attention to those with a significant dividend arbitrage yield but that did not amend their articles of incorporation earlier this year.</li>
</ul>


As the ex-dividend date in Korea has been before the dividend is determined, SSFs trade at a discount based on the anticipated dividend rather than adjusting dividend settlement proceeds explicitly.
The current dividend arbitrage yield for the financial companies can be seen as reflecting the postponement of the ex-dividend date to the next year.
We should pay attention to those with a significant dividend arbitrage yield but that did not amend their articles of incorporation earlier this year.


Understanding & Assessing Yearend Dividend Arbitrage Structure Using Futures in Korea

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX Stocks as of Nov 17th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD11.9bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Celltrion, Celltrion Health, Amorepacific.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX Stocks as of Nov 17th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD11.9bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Celltrion, Celltrion Health, Amorepacific.


KRX Short Interest Weekly (Nov 17th): Short Covers for Celltrion, Celltrion Health, Amorepacific

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Q323 DRAM revenues amounted to $13.210 billion, up a robust 19.25% QoQ, but still down 27% from the year-ago period.</li>
<li>In the case of NAND, Q323 revenues amounted to $9.3 billion, up 4% QoQ but down 31.7% YoY.</li>
<li>All memory players remain loss making. We don't anticipate a return to black until Q224.</li>
</ul>


Q323 DRAM revenues amounted to $13.210 billion, up a robust 19.25% QoQ, but still down 27% from the year-ago period.
In the case of NAND, Q323 revenues amounted to $9.3 billion, up 4% QoQ but down 31.7% YoY.
All memory players remain loss making. We don't anticipate a return to black until Q224.


Asia and Global Semiconductor and Tech Research

Andrew Lu

<ul>
<li>Takeaways: 1. Semi equipment vendors beat 4Q23E; 2. China and DRAM customers stronger ; 3. Margin stable due to lack of depreciation; 4. Top four controls over 90% of shares;</li>
<li>More takeaways: 5. Semi equipment companies' share price performance should lag behind foundries, foundries should lag behind fabless customers; 6. China semi equipment vendors outperforming global peers on local replacement;</li>
<li>Estimating a flattish global semiconductor equipment sales growth for 2023 and 2024 but expecting a double digit y/y sales growth of 17% for 2025 and 10% for 2026. </li>
</ul>


Takeaways: 1. Semi equipment vendors beat 4Q23E; 2. China and DRAM customers stronger ; 3. Margin stable due to lack of depreciation; 4. Top four controls over 90% of shares;
More takeaways: 5. Semi equipment companies' share price performance should lag behind foundries, foundries should lag behind fabless customers; 6. China semi equipment vendors outperforming global peers on local replacement;
Estimating a flattish global semiconductor equipment sales growth for 2023 and 2024 but expecting a double digit y/y sales growth of 17% for 2025 and 10% for 2026. 


Takeaways After Global Semi Equipment Model Updated and Our View on 2024/2025

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

Equity Capital Markets

EcoPro Materials / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ecopro-materials" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36806:1" rel="noopener">EcoPro Materials (ECO123 KS)</a> raised around US$320m, after downsizing the deal and pricing its IPO at the low end of the range at KRW36,200/share.</li>
<li>Ecopro Materials (EPM) manufactures and sells high-nickel precursors, one of the key materials for high-nickel cathode materials for secondary (rechargeable) batteries.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the demand for the deal and other trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



EcoPro Materials (ECO123 KS) raised around US$320m, after downsizing the deal and pricing its IPO at the low end of the range at KRW36,200/share.
Ecopro Materials (EPM) manufactures and sells high-nickel precursors, one of the key materials for high-nickel cathode materials for secondary (rechargeable) batteries.
In this note, we will talk about the demand for the deal and other trading dynamics.


Ecopro Materials IPO Trading - One of the Weakest Subscription Rates of the Year

South Korea

Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd. manufactures a wide range of consumer and industrial electronic equipment and products such as semiconductors, personal computers, peripherals, monitors, televisions, and home appliances including air conditioners and microwave ovens. The Company also produces Internet access network systems and telecommunications equipment including mobile phones.

Samsung Electronics Pref Shares (005935 KS)

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Samsung Electronics Pref Shares (005935 KS)

Understanding & Assessing Yearend Dividend Arbitrage Structure Using Futures in Korea

This post offers insights into the framework of yearend dividend arbitrage trading using futures in the Korean market and assesses the current...

Sanghyun Park

KRX Short Interest Weekly (Nov 17th): Short Covers for Celltrion, Celltrion Health, Amorepacific

We analyzed KRX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Celltrion, Celltrion Health, Amorepacific.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Q323 Memory Segment Review, Outlook

Q323 DRAM revenue $13.2 billion, +19.25% QoQ, but -27% YoY. Q323 NAND revenues $9.3 billion, +4% QoQ but -31.7% YoY. All memory players remain loss...

William Keating

Takeaways After Global Semi Equipment Model Updated and Our View on 2024/2025

Takeaways After Global Semi Equipment Model Updated and Our View on 2024/2025; We are providing six takeaways and sales growth estimates for 2024-2026

Andrew Lu

Ecopro Materials IPO Trading - One of the Weakest Subscription Rates of the Year

EcoPro Materials (ECO123 KS) raised around US$320m, after downsizing the deal and pricing its IPO at the low end of the range at KRW36,200/share.

Ethan Aw

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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