Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>On 12 August, the South Korean government finally gave a presidential pardon to Samsung's heir Lee Jae-Yong.</li>
<li>With Lee Jae-Yong given the presidential pardon, there is an increasing likelihood that the Samsung Group could become more aggressive in making major global M&amp;As in the next several years.</li>
<li>Three major M&amp;As that Samsung could make in the next several years include ARM, Infineon, and NXP Semiconductor. </li>
</ul>


On 12 August, the South Korean government finally gave a presidential pardon to Samsung's heir Lee Jae-Yong.
With Lee Jae-Yong given the presidential pardon, there is an increasing likelihood that the Samsung Group could become more aggressive in making major global M&amp;As in the next several years.
Three major M&amp;As that Samsung could make in the next several years include ARM, Infineon, and NXP Semiconductor. 


Samsung's Lee Jae-Yong Receives Pardon & Get Out of Jail Card: A Signal of Major M&As by Samsung?

<ul>
<li>Phu Nhuan Jewelry Jsc (PNJ VN) is the number one jewelry company in Vietnam. </li>
<li>The company is benefiting from several key catalysts including reduced social distancing measures resulting in higher store visits and sales, hedge against rising inflation, and pent up demand for jewelry. </li>
<li>The combination of higher expected earnings this year along with stable recent prices have resulted in more attractive valuations for the company.</li>
</ul>


Phu Nhuan Jewelry Jsc (PNJ VN) is the number one jewelry company in Vietnam. 
The company is benefiting from several key catalysts including reduced social distancing measures resulting in higher store visits and sales, hedge against rising inflation, and pent up demand for jewelry. 
The combination of higher expected earnings this year along with stable recent prices have resulted in more attractive valuations for the company.


Vietnam Consumer Discretionary - Phu Nhuan Jewelry: Hedge Against Rising Inflation Rates

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On 4 August (after market close), it was reported that Foosung Co plans to IPO its subsidiary Foosung Global. The timing is to complete the IPO in 2023. </li>
<li>After this news came out, Foosung's share price has declined by 17%. Since its share price peak in May 2022, its share price has declined by 42%. </li>
<li>Recent share price decline has presented a more attractive investment opportunity.  Foosung is currently trading at EV/EBITDA multiple of 7.7x in 2022, which is much lower than 20.9x in 2021.</li>
</ul>


On 4 August (after market close), it was reported that Foosung Co plans to IPO its subsidiary Foosung Global. The timing is to complete the IPO in 2023. 
After this news came out, Foosung's share price has declined by 17%. Since its share price peak in May 2022, its share price has declined by 42%. 
Recent share price decline has presented a more attractive investment opportunity.  Foosung is currently trading at EV/EBITDA multiple of 7.7x in 2022, which is much lower than 20.9x in 2021.


Foosung: Excessive Decline in Share Price Due to Spin-Off & IPO of Its Foosung Global Subsidiary

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Over the past decade, Cyclical sectors have traded places with Sensitive sectors as the largest allocation among active Asia Ex-Japan investors. </li>
<li>The last cycle started in early 2019 and saw Sensitive overtake Cyclicals and move to a key overweight, but this peaked in mid-2021 and has started to reverse.</li>
<li>The major rotation on the year so far has been a scaling back of Technology and Communication Services allocations in favour of Financials and Consumer Discretionary/Staples</li>
</ul>


Over the past decade, Cyclical sectors have traded places with Sensitive sectors as the largest allocation among active Asia Ex-Japan investors. 
The last cycle started in early 2019 and saw Sensitive overtake Cyclicals and move to a key overweight, but this peaked in mid-2021 and has started to reverse.
The major rotation on the year so far has been a scaling back of Technology and Communication Services allocations in favour of Financials and Consumer Discretionary/Staples


Asia Ex-Japan:  Tech to Financials Rotation

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

<ul>
<li>If short-selling accounts for more than 30% of total daily trade volume, it will be newly designated as an overheated short-selling stock, resulting in a one-day short-selling ban.</li>
<li>If the stock price falls by more than 5% on the day of the short-selling restriction, the restriction period is automatically extended by one more day.</li>
<li>We should pay attention to a possible increase in the trading volume of single-stock futures (SSF) due to short-selling bans, which can result in a more significant basis distortion.</li>
</ul>


If short-selling accounts for more than 30% of total daily trade volume, it will be newly designated as an overheated short-selling stock, resulting in a one-day short-selling ban.
If the stock price falls by more than 5% on the day of the short-selling restriction, the restriction period is automatically extended by one more day.
We should pay attention to a possible increase in the trading volume of single-stock futures (SSF) due to short-selling bans, which can result in a more significant basis distortion.


Revised Rules on Short Selling Restriction in Korea: Effective 3Q This Year

South Korea

Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd. manufactures a wide range of consumer and industrial electronic equipment and products such as semiconductors, personal computers, peripherals, monitors, televisions, and home appliances including air conditioners and microwave ovens. The Company also produces Internet access network systems and telecommunications equipment including mobile phones.

Samsung Electronics Pref Shares (005935 KS)

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Samsung Electronics Pref Shares (005935 KS)

Samsung's Lee Jae-Yong Receives Pardon & Get Out of Jail Card: A Signal of Major M&As by Samsung?

With Lee Jae-Yong given the presidential pardon, there is an increasing likelihood that the Samsung Group could become more aggressive in making...

Douglas Kim

Vietnam Consumer Discretionary - Phu Nhuan Jewelry: Hedge Against Rising Inflation Rates

Phu Nhuan Jewelry is the number one jewelry company in Vietnam. The company is benefiting from several key catalysts including pent-up demand for...

Douglas Kim

Asia Ex-Japan: Tech to Financials Rotation

Asia Ex-Japan funds are in the midst of a major rotation out of Technology and Communication Services stocks and in to Financials and Consumer...

Steven Holden

Revised Rules on Short Selling Restriction in Korea: Effective 3Q This Year

This post details the new rules of short-selling restrictions announced today by the Financial Services Commission of Korea.

Sanghyun Park

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Samsung's Lee Jae-Yong Receives Pardon & Get Out of Jail Card: A Signal of Major M&As by Samsung?

With Lee Jae-Yong given the presidential pardon, there is an increasing likelihood that the Samsung Group could become more aggressive in making...

Douglas Kim

Vietnam Consumer Discretionary - Phu Nhuan Jewelry: Hedge Against Rising Inflation Rates

Phu Nhuan Jewelry is the number one jewelry company in Vietnam. The company is benefiting from several key catalysts including pent-up demand for...

Douglas Kim

Foosung: Excessive Decline in Share Price Due to Spin-Off & IPO of Its Foosung Global Subsidiary

On 4 August (after market close), it was reported that Foosung Co plans to IPO its subsidiary Foosung Global. Recent share price decline has...

Douglas Kim

Asia Ex-Japan: Tech to Financials Rotation

Asia Ex-Japan funds are in the midst of a major rotation out of Technology and Communication Services stocks and in to Financials and Consumer...

Steven Holden

Revised Rules on Short Selling Restriction in Korea: Effective 3Q This Year

This post details the new rules of short-selling restrictions announced today by the Financial Services Commission of Korea.

Sanghyun Park