IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Under the revised scheme consideration, each <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ara-logos-logistics-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:937:1" rel="noopener">ARA LOGOS (ALLT SP)</a> unitholder will receive S$0.097 in cash and 1.7729 new <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/esr-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10934:1" rel="noopener">ESR-REIT (EREIT SP)</a> units at an issue price of S$0.4924.</li>
<li>The IFA considers the revised scheme consideration to be fair. We think that IFA’s valuation approach is broadly sound with some areas for improvement. </li>
<li>We think that the revised offer is reasonable. For a 28 April payment date, the gross and annualised spread is 2.9% and 18.2%, respectively. </li>
</ul>


Under the revised scheme consideration, each ARA LOGOS (ALLT SP) unitholder will receive S$0.097 in cash and 1.7729 new ESR-REIT (EREIT SP) units at an issue price of S$0.4924.
The IFA considers the revised scheme consideration to be fair. We think that IFA’s valuation approach is broadly sound with some areas for improvement. 
We think that the revised offer is reasonable. For a 28 April payment date, the gross and annualised spread is 2.9% and 18.2%, respectively. 


ARA LOGOS/ESR-REIT Scheme Meeting on 21 March, IFA Opinion

Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia), SCCM Asia Research

SCCM Asia Research

Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia)

Headquartered in Singapore, SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia) is an investment bank focusing on emerging growth companies across Asia, providing a full suite of investment banking services, including corporate finance, mergers and acquisitions advisory, equity capital markets, institutional equities sales and trading and equities research.

SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia)

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/frasers-logistics-commercial-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22748" rel="noopener">Frasers Logistics &amp; Commercial Trust (FLT SP)</a> 1Q22 Business Updates – Improvements in reversions driven by AUS sub-markets</li><li>Strata office and retail space to see continued demand in 2022</li><li>GIC in final talks to acquire Seibu's Japan properties for S$1.75bn</li></ul>

Frasers Logistics &amp; Commercial Trust (FLT SP) 1Q22 Business Updates – Improvements in reversions driven by AUS sub-marketsStrata office and retail space to see continued demand in 2022GIC in final talks to acquire Seibu's Japan properties for S$1.75bn

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (8Feb22) - FLT Improvements in AUS Reversions

<ul><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keppel-dc-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:85" rel="noopener">Keppel DC REIT (KDCREIT SP)</a> 2H21 DPU +2.8% YoY; Rising portfolio valuations as Cap rates tighten in APAC</li><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/parkway-life-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13422" rel="noopener">Parkway Life REIT (PREIT SP)</a> Parkway Life REIT (PREIT SP) 4Q21 DPU came in flat; Consistently expensive but delivering stable results</li><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/capitaland-integrated-commercial-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:105" rel="noopener">Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust (CICT SP)</a> CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (CICT SP) to sell JCube at &lt;4% yield; Received a 10yrs ROFR on the potential redevelopment of the site  </li></ul>

Keppel DC REIT (KDCREIT SP) 2H21 DPU +2.8% YoY; Rising portfolio valuations as Cap rates tighten in APACParkway Life REIT (PREIT SP) Parkway Life REIT (PREIT SP) 4Q21 DPU came in flat; Consistently expensive but delivering stable resultsCapitaland Integrated Commercial Trust (CICT SP) CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (CICT SP) to sell JCube at &lt;4% yield; Received a 10yrs ROFR on the potential redevelopment of the site  

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (25Jan22) - KDCREIT Rising Portfolio Valuations

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

Equity Bottom-Up

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 <img src='https://api2.sgx.com/sites/default/files/2022-01/Capture_8.PNG' alt='Timeline of SREIT proposed and completed M&As since 2018' />
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 <div class='content-caption'>Timeline of SREIT proposed and completed M&As since 2018</div>
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For S-Reits, listing on the exchange is the beginning of a journey. Twenty-four S-Reits had announced asset acquisitions valued at over S$15.3 billion and exceeding S$12.7 billion in total purchase consideration in 2021.

Aside from asset acquisitions, S-Reits have also been active in terms of mergers and acquisition (M&amp;A) opportunities. They have seen at least 5 consolidations since 2018 and could be seeing 2 more this year.

The 5 consolidated S-Reits since 2018 are CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (by CapitaLand Mall Trust and CapitaLand Commercial Trust), Frasers Logistics &amp; Commercial Trust (by Frasers Commercial Trust and Frasers Logistics &amp; Industrial Trust), Ascott Residence Trust (by Ascott Residence Trust and Ascendas Hospitality Trust), OUE Commercial REIT (OUE Commercial REIT and OUE Hospitality Trust), and ESR-REIT (by ESR-REIT and Viva Industrial Trust). 
Most recently announced on Dec 31, 2021 is the proposed merger between Mapletree Commercial Trust (MCT) and Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MNACT) to form Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust (MPACT). 
The proposed merger is expected to propel the combined entity to be the seventh largest REIT listed in Asia with a market capitalisation of approximately S$10.5 billion. 
The combined portfolio will consist of 18 commercial assets diversified across Singapore, China, Hong Kong, Japan and South Korea with assets under management (AUM) of approximately S$17.1 billion (per MCT’s AUM as of 30 September 2021 and MNACT’s AUM as of 31 October 2021). 
The proposed merger is expected to be effected by a trust scheme of arrangement with MCT acquiring all MNACT Units in exchange for new units in MCT or a combination of cash and MCT Units.

Reit managers of MCT and MNACT view the merger as an opportunity to bring together 2 leading commercial Reits with highly complementary qualities and see the combined portfolio in providing higher financial flexibility and debt headroom to accelerate its growth and acquisitions.

The new entity is also expected to benefit from the increased representation in key indices and potentially attract a wider investor base and improved trading liquidity.

Another proposed merger in progress is by ESR-Reit and Ara Logos Logistics Trust (ALOG) to form ESR-LOGOS REIT (E-LOG), with a core focus on new economy real estate. 
The combined entity, E-LOG, will hold a diversified portfolio of 87 properties consisting of logistics/warehouse, high-specifications industrial properties, business parks and general industrial properties with total assets of approximately S$5.4 billion across Singapore and Australia (as of 30 June 2021). 
Similarly, via a trust scheme, the proposed merger will see ESR-Reit acquire all units in ALOG in exchange for a combination of cash and new units in ESR-Reit.

Reit managers of ESR-Reit and ALOG have noted that the proposed merger will enhance E-LOG's growth trajectory backed by its sponsor, ESR Group, by providing access to the sponsor's new economy pipeline properties in Asia-Pacific worth over US$50 billion.  REIT Watch is a weekly column on The Business Times, <a href="https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/real-estate/s-reits-bigger-and-bolder-over-the-years">read </a>the original version.
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    Timeline of SREIT proposed and completed M&As since 2018


For S-Reits, listing on the exchange is the beginning of a journey. Twenty-four S-Reits had announced asset acquisitions valued at over S$15.3 billion and exceeding S$12.7 billion in total purchase consideration in 2021.

Aside from asset acquisitions, S-Reits have also been active in terms of mergers and acquisition (M&amp;A) opportunities. They have seen at least 5 consolidations since 2018 and could be seeing 2 more this year.

The 5 consolidated S-Reits since 2018 are CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (by CapitaLand Mall Trust and CapitaLand Commercial Trust), Frasers Logistics &amp; Commercial Trust (by Frasers Commercial Trust and Frasers Logistics &amp; Industrial Trust), Ascott Residence Trust (by Ascott Residence Trust and Ascendas Hospitality Trust), OUE Commercial REIT (OUE Commercial REIT and OUE Hospitality Trust), and ESR-REIT (by ESR-REIT and Viva Industrial Trust).  
Most recently announced on Dec 31, 2021 is the proposed merger between Mapletree Commercial Trust (MCT) and Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MNACT) to form Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust (MPACT).  
The proposed merger is expected to propel the combined entity to be the seventh largest REIT listed in Asia with a market capitalisation of approximately S$10.5 billion.  
The combined portfolio will consist of 18 commercial assets diversified across Singapore, China, Hong Kong, Japan and South Korea with assets under management (AUM) of approximately S$17.1 billion (per MCT’s AUM as of 30 September 2021 and MNACT’s AUM as of 31 October 2021).  
The proposed merger is expected to be effected by a trust scheme of arrangement with MCT acquiring all MNACT Units in exchange for new units in MCT or a combination of cash and MCT Units.

Reit managers of MCT and MNACT view the merger as an opportunity to bring together 2 leading commercial Reits with highly complementary qualities and see the combined portfolio in providing higher financial flexibility and debt headroom to accelerate its growth and acquisitions.

The new entity is also expected to benefit from the increased representation in key indices and potentially attract a wider investor base and improved trading liquidity.

Another proposed merger in progress is by ESR-Reit and Ara Logos Logistics Trust (ALOG) to form ESR-LOGOS REIT (E-LOG), with a core focus on new economy real estate.  
The combined entity, E-LOG, will hold a diversified portfolio of 87 properties consisting of logistics/warehouse, high-specifications industrial properties, business parks and general industrial properties with total assets of approximately S$5.4 billion across Singapore and Australia (as of 30 June 2021).  
Similarly, via a trust scheme, the proposed merger will see ESR-Reit acquire all units in ALOG in exchange for a combination of cash and new units in ESR-Reit.

Reit managers of ESR-Reit and ALOG have noted that the proposed merger will enhance E-LOG's growth trajectory backed by its sponsor, ESR Group, by providing access to the sponsor's new economy pipeline properties in Asia-Pacific worth over US$50 billion.   REIT Watch is a weekly column on The Business Times, read the original version.



REIT Watch - S-Reits: Bigger and bolder over the years

<ul><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/capitaland-integrated-commercial-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:105" rel="noopener">Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust (CICT SP)</a> marks foray into Sydney office market with A$330.7m acquisition; +3.1% DPU accretive</li><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/far-east-hospitality-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19061" rel="noopener">Far East Hospitality Trust (FEHT SP)</a> divests Central Square to City Developments (CIT SP); Realizing its 0.73x P/B potential</li><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/frasers-logistics-commercial-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22748" rel="noopener">Frasers Logistics &amp; Commercial Trust (FLT SP)</a> to divest industrial buildings in Port Melbourne for A$42.5m</li></ul>

Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust (CICT SP) marks foray into Sydney office market with A$330.7m acquisition; +3.1% DPU accretiveFar East Hospitality Trust (FEHT SP) divests Central Square to City Developments (CIT SP); Realizing its 0.73x P/B potentialFrasers Logistics &amp; Commercial Trust (FLT SP) to divest industrial buildings in Port Melbourne for A$42.5m

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (3Dec21) - CICT Enters Sydney Office Market

Singapore

FLT offers investors an opportunity to invest in logistics and industrial real estate assets strategically located within major logistics and industrial markets of Australia, Germany and the Netherlands.

Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust (FLT SP)

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Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust (FLT SP)

ARA LOGOS/ESR-REIT Scheme Meeting on 21 March, IFA Opinion

ARA Logos and ESR-REIT merger scheme meeting is set for 21 March. The IFA considers the revised scheme consideration to be fair. For a 28 April...

Arun George

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (8Feb22) - FLT Improvements in AUS Reversions

Strata office/retail gaining steam; GIC looks to buy Seibu hotels; ALLHC buys Batangas facility; Phils cold storage demand robust; IBN Corp expands...

SCCM Asia Research

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (25Jan22) - KDCREIT Rising Portfolio Valuations

PREIT consistently pricey as results stable; CICT sells JCube at <4% yield; FLT divests CSE at ~2.5% yield; YLLG sells out Shanghai project; SPALI...

SCCM Asia Research

REIT Watch - S-Reits: Bigger and bolder over the years

For S-Reits, listing on the exchange is the beginning of a journey. Twenty-four S-Reits had announced asset acquisitions valued...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (3Dec21) - CICT Enters Sydney Office Market

FEHT realizing its 0.73x P/B potential; FLT divests Melbourne industrials; LPKR divests 11% LMRT stake at 45% above last price; SLB consortium buys...

SCCM Asia Research

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