IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

LG Energy Solution / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/lg-energy-solution-ipo-initiation-amp-my-ride" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:62402" rel="noopener">LG Energy Solution IPO Initiation: Amp My Ride</a>, we stated that LGES has attractive fundamentals with a strong backlog, healthy revenue growth and improving margins (recall provisions have peaked). </li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/lg-energy-solution-vs-catl-vs-samsung-sdi-vs-sk-innovation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:62445" rel="noopener">LG Energy Solution Vs CATL Vs Samsung SDI Vs SK Innovation</a>, we benchmarked LGES and its listed battery peers across key financial metrics. </li>
<li>In this note, we look at the syndicate's valuation methodology and present our valuation methodology. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is attractive. </li>
</ul>


In LG Energy Solution IPO Initiation: Amp My Ride, we stated that LGES has attractive fundamentals with a strong backlog, healthy revenue growth and improving margins (recall provisions have peaked). 
In LG Energy Solution Vs CATL Vs Samsung SDI Vs SK Innovation, we benchmarked LGES and its listed battery peers across key financial metrics. 
In this note, we look at the syndicate's valuation methodology and present our valuation methodology. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is attractive. 


LG Energy Solution IPO: Valuation Insights

Equity Long-Short Analyst

Pyari Menon

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The companies that are best positioned to take advantage of the 5G growth are a mix of equipment vendors, chipset companies, device makers, and enterprise solution providers. </li>
<li>The top ten companies to benefit from 5G rollout based on innovation and citation count are Samsung Electronics, Qualcomm, LG Electronics, AT&amp;T, Huawei, Intel, Google, Ericsson, Apple, and Nokia 
</li>
<li>A stand-out in 5G technology rankings is <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-electronics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8814:1" rel="noopener">LG Electronics (066570 KS)</a> which is punching well above its current market share in the industry. </li>
</ul>


The companies that are best positioned to take advantage of the 5G growth are a mix of equipment vendors, chipset companies, device makers, and enterprise solution providers. 
The top ten companies to benefit from 5G rollout based on innovation and citation count are Samsung Electronics, Qualcomm, LG Electronics, AT&amp;T, Huawei, Intel, Google, Ericsson, Apple, and Nokia 

A stand-out in 5G technology rankings is LG Electronics (066570 KS) which is punching well above its current market share in the industry. 


Stock Ideas from Data Mining Technical Publications: A Look at 5G

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

<ul>
<li>We expect more supportive measures to be rolled out on hydrogen energy development in 2022, and the recently announced MIIT Plan already showed an escalation of its industrial use. </li>
<li>Hydrogen may potentially account for 5% of final energy consumption in 2030 and 20% in 2060. Industrial use may represent 60% of total, driving tremendous opportunities for the players.</li>
<li>We think <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dongfang-electric-corporation-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1251:1" rel="noopener">Dongfang Electric (1072 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cimc-enric-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:47:1" rel="noopener">Cimc Enric Holdings (3899 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/weichai-power-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12508:1" rel="noopener">Weichai Power Co Ltd H (2338 HK)</a> are the prime beneficiaries and they have made good progress lately.</li>
</ul>


We expect more supportive measures to be rolled out on hydrogen energy development in 2022, and the recently announced MIIT Plan already showed an escalation of its industrial use. 
Hydrogen may potentially account for 5% of final energy consumption in 2030 and 20% in 2060. Industrial use may represent 60% of total, driving tremendous opportunities for the players.
We think Dongfang Electric (1072 HK), Cimc Enric Holdings (3899 HK) and Weichai Power Co Ltd H (2338 HK) are the prime beneficiaries and they have made good progress lately.


China's Hydrogen Economy: More Excitements into 2022

In this report, we have crawled through over ten years of technical publications to analyze the Fuel Cell space. The top five companies we screen from a technology perspective are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyota-motor-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:73:1" rel="noopener">Toyota Motor (7203 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/honda-motor-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:154:1" rel="noopener">Honda Motor (7267 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-motor-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:155:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Motor Co (005380 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/general-motors-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18811:1" rel="noopener">General Motors Co (GM US)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bloom-energy-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34062:1" rel="noopener">Bloom Energy Corp (BE US)</a> Technologically automakers (Japanese in particular) dominate the fuel cell sector. Among pure plays, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bloom-energy-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34062:1" rel="noopener">Bloom Energy Corp (BE US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ballard-power-systems-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25813:1" rel="noopener">Ballard Power Systems (BLDP CN)</a> are best positioned and perhaps the only ones who come somewhat close to the auto OEMs from a technology perspective. Some lesser-known private players that have gained traction in technological terms over the last five years are Dioxide Materials, 24M Technologies, and Bayotech.Currently, batteries have a decisive advantage over fuel cells, and as a business proposition, fuel cells have so far mostly failed to live up to their technological promise. However, fuel cells using hydrogen generated from renewables offer a much lower environmental impact across their lifecycle. This sustains investor interest in the hope that system price declines, economies of scale, lower cost of renewable energy generation, and maturation as a business could make FC competitive longer term.

In this report, we have crawled through over ten years of technical publications to analyze the Fuel Cell space. The top five companies we screen from a technology perspective are Toyota Motor (7203 JP), Honda Motor (7267 JP), Hyundai Motor Co (005380 KS), General Motors Co (GM US), and Bloom Energy Corp (BE US) Technologically automakers (Japanese in particular) dominate the fuel cell sector. Among pure plays, Bloom Energy Corp (BE US) and Ballard Power Systems (BLDP CN) are best positioned and perhaps the only ones who come somewhat close to the auto OEMs from a technology perspective. Some lesser-known private players that have gained traction in technological terms over the last five years are Dioxide Materials, 24M Technologies, and Bayotech.Currently, batteries have a decisive advantage over fuel cells, and as a business proposition, fuel cells have so far mostly failed to live up to their technological promise. However, fuel cells using hydrogen generated from renewables offer a much lower environmental impact across their lifecycle. This sustains investor interest in the hope that system price declines, economies of scale, lower cost of renewable energy generation, and maturation as a business could make FC competitive longer term.

Stock Ideas From Data Mining Technical Publications: A Look into Fuel Cells

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Among active Global managers, Japan Consumer Discretionary stocks are the 3rd largest country/sector holding in the Asia region.  Average fund weights sit behind Taiwan Tech and Japan Industrials at 1.07%, with 57.1% of the 380 funds in our analysis invested in the sector with combined AUM of $9.18bn.Measured against other Asian country/sectors, changes in fund ownership have been positive and among the highest across all measures over the last 6-months.  Against a backdrop of plummeting exposure in China Consumer Discretionary stocks, average weights, funds invested, cash flows and the balance of buyers vs sellers were all positive for Japan Consumer Discretionary stocks.  Infact, across most ownership metrics, Japan Consumer Discretionary stocks have overtaken, or at least closed to gap to China Consumer Discretionary stocks since the 'Tech Crackdown' in October of 2020.  We can see evidence of this rotation on a fund level, with Aberdeen's Global Unconstrained Fund, LBPAM's Actions Monde and BNY Mellon's Global Opportunities Fund examples of managers rotating from China Consumer Discretionary and into Japan since October 2020.Analysis taken from our Global research, covering 380 active Global strategies with combined AUM of $1.1bn

Among active Global managers, Japan Consumer Discretionary stocks are the 3rd largest country/sector holding in the Asia region.  Average fund weights sit behind Taiwan Tech and Japan Industrials at 1.07%, with 57.1% of the 380 funds in our analysis invested in the sector with combined AUM of $9.18bn.Measured against other Asian country/sectors, changes in fund ownership have been positive and among the highest across all measures over the last 6-months.  Against a backdrop of plummeting exposure in China Consumer Discretionary stocks, average weights, funds invested, cash flows and the balance of buyers vs sellers were all positive for Japan Consumer Discretionary stocks.  Infact, across most ownership metrics, Japan Consumer Discretionary stocks have overtaken, or at least closed to gap to China Consumer Discretionary stocks since the 'Tech Crackdown' in October of 2020.  We can see evidence of this rotation on a fund level, with Aberdeen's Global Unconstrained Fund, LBPAM's Actions Monde and BNY Mellon's Global Opportunities Fund examples of managers rotating from China Consumer Discretionary and into Japan since October 2020.Analysis taken from our Global research, covering 380 active Global strategies with combined AUM of $1.1bn

Japan Consumer Discretionary:  Benefiting from China's Downfall

Japan

Panasonic Corporation manufactures electric and electronic products. The Company produces home appliances, car navigation systems, digital devices, computer peripherals, telecommunications, industrial equipment, and electronic parts. Panasonic has associated companies around the world.

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Panasonic Corp (6752 JP)

LG Energy Solution IPO: Valuation Insights

Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is attractive. Pre-marketing closes on 17 Dec and the international roadshow will run...

Arun George

Stock Ideas from Data Mining Technical Publications: A Look at 5G

5G connectivity is expected to spawn new business and services across sectors. We review the technological positioning of companies competing in...

Pyari Menon

China's Hydrogen Economy: More Excitements into 2022

China's push for hydrogen energy use is likely to further escalate in 2022, following a soon-to-be announcement of top-level design plan for the...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Stock Ideas From Data Mining Technical Publications: A Look into Fuel Cells

Fuel cells have a place in the green energy market but with poor economics, they have a problem finding where that is. Japanese automakers...

Pyari Menon

Japan Consumer Discretionary: Benefiting from China's Downfall

Against a backdrop of plummeting exposure in China Consumer Discretionary stocks, active Global managers have pivoted towards the Japan Consumer...

Steven Holden

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