Forensic Analyst

Jason Yap, CFA

Forensic Accounting

<ul>
<li>China’s favourable policies have been important drivers of the New Energy Vehicle (NEV) market</li>
<li>However, we are starting to see renewed efforts for the NEV sector to wean off policy support while traditional automakers are becoming increasingly competitive in this space</li>
<li>We discuss the latest NEV sector policy changes and its implications </li>
</ul>


China’s favourable policies have been important drivers of the New Energy Vehicle (NEV) market
However, we are starting to see renewed efforts for the NEV sector to wean off policy support while traditional automakers are becoming increasingly competitive in this space
We discuss the latest NEV sector policy changes and its implications 


China's EV Sector Policy Support Wean-Off and Its Implications

Japan/Asia Long-Short, LightStream Research

Mio Kato

Japan/Asia Long-Short

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Capital Markets

LG Energy Solution / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>LG Energy’s IPO prospectus discussed a number of risks to their business on the technological front. </li>
<li>We believe that chief among these is the risk from the rapidly evolving LFP chemistry in China. </li>
<li>The impact on LG Energy’s long term market share is discussed below.</li>
</ul>


LG Energy’s IPO prospectus discussed a number of risks to their business on the technological front. 
We believe that chief among these is the risk from the rapidly evolving LFP chemistry in China. 
The impact on LG Energy’s long term market share is discussed below.


LG Energy IPO – The Technological Risk from LFP

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-energy-solution" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33464:1" rel="noopener">LG Energy Solution (LGENERGY KS)</a> (LGES) is looking to raise up to US$10.8bn in its upcoming South Korea IPO.</li>
<li>LGES is the EV battery unit of LG Chem. It was spun off in December last year. The company is a major supplier to customers including Tesla and General Motors.</li>
<li>LGES will likely continue to be the dominant battery player in the market second to CATL based planned capacity.</li>
</ul>



LG Energy Solution (LGENERGY KS) (LGES) is looking to raise up to US$10.8bn in its upcoming South Korea IPO.
LGES is the EV battery unit of LG Chem. It was spun off in December last year. The company is a major supplier to customers including Tesla and General Motors.
LGES will likely continue to be the dominant battery player in the market second to CATL based planned capacity.


LG Energy Pre-IPO -  Industry and Competitive Landscape - LGES Will Remain a Dominant Player

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/lg-energy-solution-ipo-initiation-amp-my-ride" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:62402" rel="noopener">LG Energy Solution IPO Initiation: Amp My Ride</a>, we stated that LGES has attractive fundamentals with a strong backlog, healthy revenue growth and improving margins (recall provisions have peaked). </li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/lg-energy-solution-vs-catl-vs-samsung-sdi-vs-sk-innovation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:62445" rel="noopener">LG Energy Solution Vs CATL Vs Samsung SDI Vs SK Innovation</a>, we benchmarked LGES and its listed battery peers across key financial metrics. </li>
<li>In this note, we look at the syndicate's valuation methodology and present our valuation methodology. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is attractive. </li>
</ul>


In LG Energy Solution IPO Initiation: Amp My Ride, we stated that LGES has attractive fundamentals with a strong backlog, healthy revenue growth and improving margins (recall provisions have peaked). 
In LG Energy Solution Vs CATL Vs Samsung SDI Vs SK Innovation, we benchmarked LGES and its listed battery peers across key financial metrics. 
In this note, we look at the syndicate's valuation methodology and present our valuation methodology. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is attractive. 


LG Energy Solution IPO: Valuation Insights

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Toyota upped the aggression on its EV strategy today taking its 2030 BEV/FCV target up from 2.0m to 3.5m vehicles. </li>
<li>It announced ¥4trn in investments by 2030 and the launch of 15 new BEVs across the Toyota and Lexus brands within the next few years. </li>
<li>The breadth of models is impressive and could perhaps be benefitting from its battery partnership with BYD.</li>
</ul>


Toyota upped the aggression on its EV strategy today taking its 2030 BEV/FCV target up from 2.0m to 3.5m vehicles. 
It announced ¥4trn in investments by 2030 and the launch of 15 new BEVs across the Toyota and Lexus brands within the next few years. 
The breadth of models is impressive and could perhaps be benefitting from its battery partnership with BYD.


China

BYD Company Limited, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells automobiles. The Company also researches, develops, manufactures and sells batteries, which are applied on mobile phones, cordless phones, power tools and other kinds of portable electronic devices.

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BYD (1211 HK)

China's EV Sector Policy Support Wean-Off and Its Implications

China's NEV sector is weaning off policy support while traditional automakers are becoming increasingly competitive. We discuss the latest NEV...

Jason Yap, CFA

LG Energy IPO – The Technological Risk from LFP

LG Energy’s IPO prospectus discussed a number of risks to their business including the risk from the rapidly evolving LFP chemistry in China which...

Mio Kato

LG Energy Pre-IPO - Industry and Competitive Landscape - LGES Will Remain a Dominant Player

LG Energy Solution (LGES) is raising US$10.8bn in its upcoming South Korea IPO. LGES will likely continue to be the dominant battery player in the...

Sumeet Singh

LG Energy Solution IPO: Valuation Insights

Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is attractive. Pre-marketing closes on 17 Dec and the international roadshow will run...

Arun George

Toyota – The BEV Barrage

Toyota upped the aggression on its EV strategy today targeting 3.5m vehicles by 2030 and unveiling 15 new BEVs across the Toyota and Lexus brands...

Mio Kato

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