Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/newmont-mining-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14503:1" rel="noopener">Newmont Mining (NEM US)</a> has made an indicative, non-binding and conditional proposal to acquire <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/newcrest-mining-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:691:1" rel="noopener">Newcrest Mining (NCM AU)</a>. The exchange ratio is 0.38 Newmont shares for each Newcrest share.</li>
<li>At <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/newmont-mining-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14503:1" rel="noopener">Newmont Mining (NEM US)</a>'s last close, this values <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/newcrest-mining-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:691:1" rel="noopener">Newcrest Mining (NCM AU)</a> at A$27.4/share and at an equity value of A$17.3bn, a 22% premium to the last close.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/newmont-mining-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14503:1" rel="noopener">Newmont Mining (NEM US)</a> intends to list CDIs on the ASX following the acquisition and that will have implications for changes in the S&amp;P/ASX family of indices.</li>
</ul>



Newmont Mining (NEM US) has made an indicative, non-binding and conditional proposal to acquire Newcrest Mining (NCM AU). The exchange ratio is 0.38 Newmont shares for each Newcrest share.
At Newmont Mining (NEM US)'s last close, this values Newcrest Mining (NCM AU) at A$27.4/share and at an equity value of A$17.3bn, a 22% premium to the last close.

Newmont Mining (NEM US) intends to list CDIs on the ASX following the acquisition and that will have implications for changes in the S&amp;P/ASX family of indices.


Newmont's Indicative Offer for Newcrest Mining (NCM AU)

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Jan 27th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD16.9bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Anz Group Holding, Westpac Banking, Metcash, Seek, Idp Education, Perpetual, Pilbara Minerals, Qbe Insurance, Nickel Industries.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Jan 27th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD16.9bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Anz Group Holding, Westpac Banking, Metcash, Seek, Idp Education, Perpetual, Pilbara Minerals, Qbe Insurance, Nickel Industries.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jan 27th): Anz, Metcash, Seek, Perpetual

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Jan 6th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD16.0bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Anz, Bhp, Yancoal Australia, Brambles.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Jan 6th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD16.0bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Anz, Bhp, Yancoal Australia, Brambles.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jan 6th): ANZ, Bhp, Yancoal Australi, Brambles

<ul>
<li>As expected, there are no adds or deletes for the MVIS Global Rare Earth/Strategic Metals Index at the December rebalance.</li>
<li>There are free float and capping changes that will be implemented at the close on 16 December.</li>
<li>One way turnover is estimated at 4.26% and will result in a one-way trade of US$31.5m.</li>
</ul>


As expected, there are no adds or deletes for the MVIS Global Rare Earth/Strategic Metals Index at the December rebalance.
There are free float and capping changes that will be implemented at the close on 16 December.
One way turnover is estimated at 4.26% and will result in a one-way trade of US$31.5m.


MVIS Global Rare Earth/​​Strategic Metals Index Rebalance: Float & Capping Changes

<ul>
<li>A Brookfield/MidOcean consortium has made a conditional, non-binding, indicative proposal to acquire 100% of the shares in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/origin-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:797:1" rel="noopener">Origin Energy (ORG AU)</a> at A$9/share in cash.</li>
<li>The offer values <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/origin-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:797:1" rel="noopener">Origin Energy (ORG AU)</a>'s equity at A$15.5bn and is a 54.9% premium to the last close. The premium is over 50% even using longer term VWAPs.</li>
<li>There will be changes to the S&amp;P/ASX family of indices to maintain the number of index members. We will know more once an indicative timeline is published.</li>
</ul>


A Brookfield/MidOcean consortium has made a conditional, non-binding, indicative proposal to acquire 100% of the shares in Origin Energy (ORG AU) at A$9/share in cash.
The offer values Origin Energy (ORG AU)'s equity at A$15.5bn and is a 54.9% premium to the last close. The premium is over 50% even using longer term VWAPs.
There will be changes to the S&amp;P/ASX family of indices to maintain the number of index members. We will know more once an indicative timeline is published.


Origin Energy (ORG AU): Indicative Proposal from Brookfield & MidOcean; Index Implications

Australia

Liontown Resources Ltd. explores for and mines base metals.

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Liontown Resources (LTR AU)

Newmont's Indicative Offer for Newcrest Mining (NCM AU)

Newmont is looking to acquire Newcrest Mining at an exchange ratio of 0.38 NEM shares per NCM share. That is a 22% premium for NCM. NEM intends to...

Brian Freitas

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jan 27th): Anz, Metcash, Seek, Perpetual

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Anz Group Holdin, Westpac Banking, Metcash, Seek,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jan 6th): ANZ, Bhp, Yancoal Australi, Brambles

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Anz, Bhp, Yancoal Australi, Brambles.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

MVIS Global Rare Earth/Strategic Metals Index Rebalance: Float & Capping Changes

No adds/deletes for REMX in December. Free float and capping changes will be implemented at the close on 16 December resulting in one-way turnover...

Brian Freitas

Origin Energy (ORG AU): Indicative Proposal from Brookfield & MidOcean; Index Implications

A Brookfield/MidOcean consortium has made an NBIO for Origin at A$9/share, a 54.9% premium to last. There is a high probability of this going...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Newmont's Indicative Offer for Newcrest Mining (NCM AU)

Newmont is looking to acquire Newcrest Mining at an exchange ratio of 0.38 NEM shares per NCM share. That is a 22% premium for NCM. NEM intends to...

Brian Freitas

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jan 27th): Anz, Metcash, Seek, Perpetual

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Anz Group Holdin, Westpac Banking, Metcash, Seek,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jan 6th): ANZ, Bhp, Yancoal Australi, Brambles

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Anz, Bhp, Yancoal Australi, Brambles.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

MVIS Global Rare Earth/​​Strategic Metals Index Rebalance: Float & Capping Changes

No adds/deletes for REMX in December. Free float and capping changes will be implemented at the close on 16 December resulting in one-way turnover...

Brian Freitas

Origin Energy (ORG AU): Indicative Proposal from Brookfield & MidOcean; Index Implications

A Brookfield/MidOcean consortium has made an NBIO for Origin at A$9/share, a 54.9% premium to last. There is a high probability of this going...

Brian Freitas

MVIS Global Rare Earth/Strategic Metals Index Rebalance: Float & Capping Changes