Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist, Objective Analysis

Jim Handy

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist

Objective Analysis

Objective Analysis offers third-party independent market research and data for the semiconductor industry and investors in the semiconductor industry.

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Nvidia gave guidance for significantly slower Q/Q growth in Q2</li>
<li>Nvidia and its HBM suppliers have told of shortages, driving hyperscale datacenters to build excess inventory</li>
<li>At the first sign of softness, Nvidia's customers are likely to enter a digestion phase, drastically reducing orders</li>
</ul>


Nvidia gave guidance for significantly slower Q/Q growth in Q2
Nvidia and its HBM suppliers have told of shortages, driving hyperscale datacenters to build excess inventory
At the first sign of softness, Nvidia's customers are likely to enter a digestion phase, drastically reducing orders


Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Jul 19th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD5.8bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Doosan Enerbility (034020 KS).</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Jul 19th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD5.8bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Doosan Enerbility (034020 KS).


KRX Short Interest Weekly (Jul 19th): Doosan Enerbility

Equity Long-Short, Semiconductors, Fabricated Knowledge

Douglas O'Laughlin

Equity Long-Short, Semiconductors

Fabricated Knowledge

Learn more about the world's most important manufactured product. Meaningful insight, timely analysis, and an occasional investment idea.

<ul>
<li>
Aehr had a messy print, with the core business actually weaker than expected as they incorporated their recent acquisition. It’s hard to stay bearish, as they have a lot of potential product launches coming.
</li>
<li>
TSMC beat gross margins despite everything because of higher utilization. The logic cycle is starting to kick off in earnest. I believe WFE Capex will be much higher next year.
</li>
<li>
ASML talked up high-NA DRAM insertion on 25/26. Only Samsung could do it. Good luck, Samsung!

</li>
</ul>



Aehr had a messy print, with the core business actually weaker than expected as they incorporated their recent acquisition. It’s hard to stay bearish, as they have a lot of potential product launches coming.


TSMC beat gross margins despite everything because of higher utilization. The logic cycle is starting to kick off in earnest. I believe WFE Capex will be much higher next year.


ASML talked up high-NA DRAM insertion on 25/26. Only Samsung could do it. Good luck, Samsung!




Earnings: TSMC, AEHR, ASML, VAT Group, Export Restrictions

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Xiaomi’s global market increased to 15% in 2Q24 compared with 13% in 2Q23.</li>
<li>GAC Aion began to be produced in Thailand to bypass the new tariff barriers from the US and the European Union.</li>
<li>Cotti Coffee plans to extend its “RMB9.90” sales to three years.</li>
</ul>


Xiaomi’s global market increased to 15% in 2Q24 compared with 13% in 2Q23.
GAC Aion began to be produced in Thailand to bypass the new tariff barriers from the US and the European Union.
Cotti Coffee plans to extend its “RMB9.90” sales to three years.


China Consumption Weekly (2024 Jul 22): Xiaomi, Guangzhou Automobile, NIO, AAPL, Starbucks

<ul>
<li>Xiaomi (XM)’s shipments increased by 29% YoY in 2Q24, which is the most rapid growth among the global top five.</li>
<li>Xiaomi is the only clear gainer of market share among the global top five.</li>
<li>We believe the stock has an upside of 35% and the target price is HK$22.30 for the end of 2024.</li>
</ul>


Xiaomi (XM)’s shipments increased by 29% YoY in 2Q24, which is the most rapid growth among the global top five.
Xiaomi is the only clear gainer of market share among the global top five.
We believe the stock has an upside of 35% and the target price is HK$22.30 for the end of 2024.


Xiaomi (1810 HK): 2Q24 Shipments – High Growth and High Market Share

South Korea

Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd. manufactures a wide range of consumer and industrial electronic equipment and products such as semiconductors, personal computers, peripherals, monitors, televisions, and home appliances including air conditioners and microwave ovens. The Company also produces Internet access network systems and telecommunications equipment including mobile phones.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)

Is the AI Boom Over?

Nvidia's slower Q2 growth guidance and shortages in GPU and HBM supply could lead to excess inventory and reduced orders from customers, causing...

Jim Handy

KRX Short Interest Weekly (Jul 19th): Doosan Enerbility

We analyzed KRX short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Doosan Enerbility (034020 KS).

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Earnings: TSMC, AEHR, ASML, VAT Group, Export Restrictions

The first week of earnings lends us confirmation bias, and additional fears of export restrictions. Let’s start with the actual earnings order,...

Fabricated Knowledge

China Consumption Weekly (2024 Jul 22): Xiaomi, Guangzhou Automobile, NIO, AAPL, Starbucks

Xiaomi’s global market share increased to 15% in 2Q24 from 13% in 2Q23. GAC Aion began to produce in Thailand. Cotti Coffee extended its sales to...

Ming Lu

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Is the AI Boom Over?

​Nvidia's slower Q2 growth guidance and shortages in GPU and HBM supply could lead to excess inventory and reduced orders from customers, causing...

Jim Handy

KRX Short Interest Weekly (Jul 19th): Doosan Enerbility

We analyzed KRX short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Doosan Enerbility (034020 KS).

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Earnings: TSMC, AEHR, ASML, VAT Group, Export Restrictions

The first week of earnings lends us confirmation bias, and additional fears of export restrictions. Let’s start with the actual earnings order,...

Fabricated Knowledge

China Consumption Weekly (2024 Jul 22): Xiaomi, Guangzhou Automobile, NIO, AAPL, Starbucks

Xiaomi’s global market share increased to 15% in 2Q24 from 13% in 2Q23. GAC Aion began to produce in Thailand. Cotti Coffee extended its sales to...

Ming Lu

Xiaomi (1810 HK): 2Q24 Shipments – High Growth and High Market Share

Xiaomi (XM)’s shipments increased by 29% YoY in 2Q24. Xiaomi is the only clear gainer of market share. We believe the stock has an upside 35% for...

Ming Lu

Nvidia's slower Q2 growth guidance and shortages in GPU and HBM supply could lead to excess inventory and reduced orders from customers, causing...