Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

Advanced Micro Devices / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) reported robust financial results for the second quarter of 2024, delivering a noteworthy performance across several key segments.</li><li>As highlighted in the earnings report, AMD achieved a year-over-year revenue increase of 9%, totaling $5.8 billion.</li><li>This growth was driven chiefly by strong sales in the Data Center and Client segments, which compensated for the declines in Gaming and Embedded segment revenues.</li></ul>

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) reported robust financial results for the second quarter of 2024, delivering a noteworthy performance across several key segments.As highlighted in the earnings report, AMD achieved a year-over-year revenue increase of 9%, totaling $5.8 billion.This growth was driven chiefly by strong sales in the Data Center and Client segments, which compensated for the declines in Gaming and Embedded segment revenues.

Advanced Micro Devices: Why We Are More Optimistic About AMD As Compared To Rivals! - Major Drivers

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

<ul>
<li>Q224 revenues of $5.8 billion, +5.5% QoQ, +9% YoY and $100 million above the guided midpoint</li>
<li>AMD forecasted current quarter revenues of $6.7 billion at the midpoint, up 15% QoQ and about the same YoY.</li>
<li>AMD shares are up 9% in premarket trading, hardly the response one expected from a good but not amazing report. But why?</li>
</ul>


Q224 revenues of $5.8 billion, +5.5% QoQ, +9% YoY and $100 million above the guided midpoint
AMD forecasted current quarter revenues of $6.7 billion at the midpoint, up 15% QoQ and about the same YoY.
AMD shares are up 9% in premarket trading, hardly the response one expected from a good but not amazing report. But why?


Technology / Semiconductor / Internet Research

Nicolas Baratte

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The Semiconductor industry associations report re-accelerating Semi sales, and increase 2024-25 forecasts. This is due to higher AI / Accelerators, HBM Memory but the rest of the market remains sluggish</li>
<li>TSMC remains on its high growth plateau at 34% YoY, driven by AI and 3nm. UMC remains on a sluggish recovery at 7% YoY.</li>
<li>AMD, Nvidia, SK Hynix, TSMC: stocks are not expensive on PE relative to earnings growth. Non-Consensus: we think AMD and SK Hynix are worth a serious look.</li>
</ul>


The Semiconductor industry associations report re-accelerating Semi sales, and increase 2024-25 forecasts. This is due to higher AI / Accelerators, HBM Memory but the rest of the market remains sluggish
TSMC remains on its high growth plateau at 34% YoY, driven by AI and 3nm. UMC remains on a sluggish recovery at 7% YoY.
AMD, Nvidia, SK Hynix, TSMC: stocks are not expensive on PE relative to earnings growth. Non-Consensus: we think AMD and SK Hynix are worth a serious look.


Semiconductor Sales Reaccelerating, AI Accelerators Accelerating:  AMD, AVGO, NVDA, SK Hynix, TSMC

<ul>
<li>Q224 revenues of $12.8 billion, in line with their updated May outlook, ~flat QoQ and down 1% YoY.</li>
<li>Gross margin (non-GAAP) was 38.7%, down 1.1 points YoY but down a whopping 4.8 points from the April outlook.</li>
<li>Shares tanked &gt;24% in after hours trading. What's really going on at Intel? </li>
</ul>


Q224 revenues of $12.8 billion, in line with their updated May outlook, ~flat QoQ and down 1% YoY.
Gross margin (non-GAAP) was 38.7%, down 1.1 points YoY but down a whopping 4.8 points from the April outlook.
Shares tanked &gt;24% in after hours trading. What's really going on at Intel? 


Intel Q224 Meltdown. Don't Say We Didn't Warn You...

Asia and Global Semiconductor and Tech Research

Andrew Lu

<ul>
<li>TSMC reiterates 2024 sales y/y growth of 20-25% but revises down 2024 global semiconductor y/y sales from over 10% to 10% and global foundry sales growth from 20% to 15-19%.</li>
<li>
<strong>No more Moore's Law</strong>: After 3 years ramp up gap between N5-N3, TSMC confirms 10-11 quarters of ramp up gap between N3 and N2 due to longer production cycle.</li>
<li>Driven by stronger digital consumer (33% q/q), HPC (3% q/q), IoT (5% q/q) sales but weaker smartphone IC (-16% q/q), TSMC reports 1Q24 sales decline of only 5% q/q.</li>
</ul>


TSMC reiterates 2024 sales y/y growth of 20-25% but revises down 2024 global semiconductor y/y sales from over 10% to 10% and global foundry sales growth from 20% to 15-19%.

No more Moore's Law: After 3 years ramp up gap between N5-N3, TSMC confirms 10-11 quarters of ramp up gap between N3 and N2 due to longer production cycle.
Driven by stronger digital consumer (33% q/q), HPC (3% q/q), IoT (5% q/q) sales but weaker smartphone IC (-16% q/q), TSMC reports 1Q24 sales decline of only 5% q/q.


What Is TSMC Telling Us About Semi Supply Chain Stories at Its Investor Conference?

United States

Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD) produces semiconductor products and devices. The Company offers products such as microprocessors, embedded microprocessors, chipsets, graphics, video and multimedia products and supplies it to third-party foundries, as well as provides assembling, testing, and packaging services. AMD serves customers worldwide.

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Advanced Micro Devices (AMD US)

Advanced Micro Devices: Why We Are More Optimistic About AMD As Compared To Rivals! - Major Drivers

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) reported robust financial results for the second quarter of 2024, delivering a noteworthy performance across several...

Baptista Research

AMD. Playing The Long Game

Q224 revenue $5.8 billion, +5.5% QoQ, +9% YoY & $100 million above guidance. Q324 guidance $6.7 billion, +15% QoQ & YoY. Good but not amazing...

William Keating

Semiconductor Sales Reaccelerating, AI Accelerators Accelerating: AMD, AVGO, NVDA, SK Hynix, TSMC

Semiconductor sales are re-accelerating due to AI Accelerators and related HBM memory. AMD and SK Hynix stocks are out of favor and worth...

Nicolas Baratte

Intel Q224 Meltdown. Don't Say We Didn't Warn You...

Q224 revenues $12.8 billion, in line, ~flat QoQ & down 1% YoY. GM of 38.7%, -1.1 points YoY but 4.8 points below forecast. >15% of workforce cut...

William Keating

What Is TSMC Telling Us About Semi Supply Chain Stories at Its Investor Conference?

What Is TSMC Telling Us About Semi Supply Chain Stories at Its Investor Conference? TSMC revises down 2024 global semi y/y sales from over 10% to...

Andrew Lu

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Advanced Micro Devices: Why We Are More Optimistic About AMD As Compared To Rivals! - Major Drivers

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) reported robust financial results for the second quarter of 2024, delivering a noteworthy performance across several...

Baptista Research

AMD. Playing The Long Game

Q224 revenue $5.8 billion, +5.5% QoQ, +9% YoY & $100 million above guidance. Q324 guidance $6.7 billion, +15% QoQ & YoY. Good but not amazing...

William Keating

Semiconductor Sales Reaccelerating, AI Accelerators Accelerating: AMD, AVGO, NVDA, SK Hynix, TSMC

​Semiconductor sales are re-accelerating due to AI Accelerators and related HBM memory. AMD and SK Hynix stocks are out of favor and worth...

Nicolas Baratte

Intel Q224 Meltdown. Don't Say We Didn't Warn You...

Q224 revenues $12.8 billion, in line, ~flat QoQ & down 1% YoY. GM of 38.7%, -1.1 points YoY but 4.8 points below forecast. >15% of workforce cut...

William Keating

What Is TSMC Telling Us About Semi Supply Chain Stories at Its Investor Conference?

What Is TSMC Telling Us About Semi Supply Chain Stories at Its Investor Conference? TSMC revises down 2024 global semi y/y sales from over 10% to...

Andrew Lu

Semiconductor sales are re-accelerating due to AI Accelerators and related HBM memory. AMD and SK Hynix stocks are out of favor and worth...