Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist, Objective Analysis

Jim Handy

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist

Objective Analysis

Objective Analysis offers third-party independent market research and data for the semiconductor industry and investors in the semiconductor industry.

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Nvidia announced another sharp sales increase to $26 billion in quarterly revenues</li>
<li>The company's growth is far greater than hyperscaler CapEx growth, as standard servers yield to AI servers: Bad news for Intel &amp; AMD</li>
<li>Some of this may stem from an inventory build at the hyperscaler, which may lead to another Boom/Bust cycle similar to 2018 and 2022</li>
</ul>


Nvidia announced another sharp sales increase to $26 billion in quarterly revenues
The company's growth is far greater than hyperscaler CapEx growth, as standard servers yield to AI servers: Bad news for Intel &amp; AMD
Some of this may stem from an inventory build at the hyperscaler, which may lead to another Boom/Bust cycle similar to 2018 and 2022


Equity Long-Short, Semiconductors, Fabricated Knowledge

Douglas O'Laughlin

Equity Long-Short, Semiconductors

Fabricated Knowledge

Learn more about the world's most important manufactured product. Meaningful insight, timely analysis, and an occasional investment idea.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li><p>I will start with a AMD section. Shares are down ~6-7% on last week’s result. Let’s talk about the result and why it was so disappointing.</p></li><li>AMD exactly matched EPS, was slightly light on revenue, and guided essentially in line with Q2 guidance.</li><li><p>This also was one of the slightest EPS and revenue beats in recent years. The last time this happened, the PC segment was imploding. This time it’s embedded revenue.</p></li></ul>

I will start with a AMD section. Shares are down ~6-7% on last week’s result. Let’s talk about the result and why it was so disappointing.AMD exactly matched EPS, was slightly light on revenue, and guided essentially in line with Q2 guidance.This also was one of the slightest EPS and revenue beats in recent years. The last time this happened, the PC segment was imploding. This time it’s embedded revenue.

AMD's MI300 Disappointment, Hyperscalers Capex, and FPGAs

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Taiwan Tech Rebounds Sharply Alongside Major Nvidia/U.S. Tech Rebound Last Week. Wave of Major Earnings Releases This Week -- See Our Key Events Section.</li>
<li>Apple's Latest Supplier List Released Last Week -- Nanya Tech, Lotes, and Novatek Dropped. New List Shows Apple Struggling to Diversify from China.</li>
<li>Apple iOS 18 Will Heavily Feature Edge AI Running Locally on the iPhone for User' Privacy and Security -- We Believe This Could Be a Major Driver of Phone Upgrades</li>
</ul>


Taiwan Tech Rebounds Sharply Alongside Major Nvidia/U.S. Tech Rebound Last Week. Wave of Major Earnings Releases This Week -- See Our Key Events Section.
Apple's Latest Supplier List Released Last Week -- Nanya Tech, Lotes, and Novatek Dropped. New List Shows Apple Struggling to Diversify from China.
Apple iOS 18 Will Heavily Feature Edge AI Running Locally on the iPhone for User' Privacy and Security -- We Believe This Could Be a Major Driver of Phone Upgrades


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Major Week of Earnings; Apple's Edge AI Could Make Your Current IPhone Obsolete

Asia and Global Semiconductor and Tech Research

Andrew Lu

<ul>
<li>Intel misses 1H24 market consensus again, post market correction of over 7%. Can shifting focus away from foundry/manufacturing help?</li>
<li>Is the breakdown change for future spin off/IPO of foundry/manufacturing, and non focus businesses like Altera and Mobileye positive?</li>
<li>We disagree Intel foundry to breakeven in two years; we see AI product lagging behind competitors and non AI server CPU being squeezed by AI server GPU and GPU/CPU integration.</li>
</ul>


Intel misses 1H24 market consensus again, post market correction of over 7%. Can shifting focus away from foundry/manufacturing help?
Is the breakdown change for future spin off/IPO of foundry/manufacturing, and non focus businesses like Altera and Mobileye positive?
We disagree Intel foundry to breakeven in two years; we see AI product lagging behind competitors and non AI server CPU being squeezed by AI server GPU and GPU/CPU integration.


Intel Is Shifting Focus to Products, Away from Manufacturing/Foundry; Worth to Follow?

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

<ul>
<li>PC, Smartphone Unit shipments both registering YoY growth in Q124</li>
<li>TSMC will beat guidance &amp; likely guide Q224 up ~5% QoQ. Samsung's pre earnings showed strong recovery in operating profit</li>
<li>Server unit shipments are on a ~17% YoY growth run rate</li>
</ul>


PC, Smartphone Unit shipments both registering YoY growth in Q124
TSMC will beat guidance &amp; likely guide Q224 up ~5% QoQ. Samsung's pre earnings showed strong recovery in operating profit
Server unit shipments are on a ~17% YoY growth run rate


Multiple Positive Catalysts Ahead Of Q124 Earnings Season

United States

Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD) produces semiconductor products and devices. The Company offers products such as microprocessors, embedded microprocessors, chipsets, graphics, video and multimedia products and supplies it to third-party foundries, as well as provides assembling, testing, and packaging services. AMD serves customers worldwide.

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Advanced Micro Devices (AMD US)

Nvidia Up Sharply Again - Can This Last?

Nvidia's quarterly sales of $26 billion, driven by AI server demand, poses a threat to Intel and AMD, but hyperscalers may be building up...

Jim Handy

AMD's MI300 Disappointment, Hyperscalers Capex, and FPGAs

This is my earnings overview for the Hyperscalers, AMD, and thoughts specifically on FPGAs. I will start with a AMD section. Shares are down ~6-7%...

Fabricated Knowledge

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Major Week of Earnings; Apple's Edge AI Could Make Your Current IPhone Obsolete

Taiwan rebounded strongly last week alongside Nvidia and U.S. tech. This week will be another major earnings week. Apple's edge AI for user privacy...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Intel Is Shifting Focus to Products, Away from Manufacturing/Foundry; Worth to Follow?

Intel Is Shifting Focus to Products, Away from Manufacturing/Foundry; Three structural improvement check points to follow

Andrew Lu

Multiple Positive Catalysts Ahead Of Q124 Earnings Season

PC, Smartphone Unit shipments both registering YoY growth in Q124. TSMC will beat guidance. Samsung sees strength in memory, smartphone shipments....

William Keating

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Nvidia Up Sharply Again - Can This Last?

​Nvidia's quarterly sales of $26 billion, driven by AI server demand, poses a threat to Intel and AMD, but hyperscalers may be building up...

Jim Handy

AMD's MI300 Disappointment, Hyperscalers Capex, and FPGAs

This is my earnings overview for the Hyperscalers, AMD, and thoughts specifically on FPGAs. I will start with a AMD section. Shares are down ~6-7%...

Fabricated Knowledge

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Major Week of Earnings; Apple's Edge AI Could Make Your Current IPhone Obsolete

Taiwan rebounded strongly last week alongside Nvidia and U.S. tech. This week will be another major earnings week. Apple's edge AI for user privacy...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Intel Is Shifting Focus to Products, Away from Manufacturing/Foundry; Worth to Follow?

Intel Is Shifting Focus to Products, Away from Manufacturing/Foundry; Three structural improvement check points to follow

Andrew Lu

Multiple Positive Catalysts Ahead Of Q124 Earnings Season

PC, Smartphone Unit shipments both registering YoY growth in Q124. TSMC will beat guidance. Samsung sees strength in memory, smartphone shipments....

William Keating

Nvidia's quarterly sales of $26 billion, driven by AI server demand, poses a threat to Intel and AMD, but hyperscalers may be building up...