ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The spotlight is back on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sea-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8509:1" rel="noopener">Sea Ltd (SE US)</a> after its game <em>FreeFire </em>was named as one of 54 apps of Chinese origin to be banned in India.</li>
<li>The ban on <em>FreeFire</em> comes despite <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sea-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8509:1" rel="noopener">Sea Ltd</a>'s recent move to reduce the influence from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent</a> by scaling back its ownership of voting shares </li>
<li>We see the recent price weakness as an opportunity to accumulate <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sea-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8509:1" rel="noopener">Sea Ltd</a> given the growth story remains intact although investors may not pay the same multiple premium over peers.</li>
</ul>


The spotlight is back on Sea Ltd (SE US) after its game FreeFire was named as one of 54 apps of Chinese origin to be banned in India.
The ban on FreeFire comes despite Sea Ltd's recent move to reduce the influence from Tencent by scaling back its ownership of voting shares 
We see the recent price weakness as an opportunity to accumulate Sea Ltd given the growth story remains intact although investors may not pay the same multiple premium over peers.


Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>An overview (and output) of our machine learning-driven GEM screening model, which seeks to find the best medium-term long ideas within the top100 stocks in the MSCI GEM Index.</li>
<li>The model is based on 1) a quantitative multifactor screening model, enhanced by two AI Technology-based approaches; 2) a Deep Neural Network model, and 3) a Recurrent Neural Network model.</li>
<li>Developed over the past 3 years, and implemented in its current state for 20 months, the model has a solid real-world alpha-generating performance track record, set out in detail below.</li>
</ul>


An overview (and output) of our machine learning-driven GEM screening model, which seeks to find the best medium-term long ideas within the top100 stocks in the MSCI GEM Index.
The model is based on 1) a quantitative multifactor screening model, enhanced by two AI Technology-based approaches; 2) a Deep Neural Network model, and 3) a Recurrent Neural Network model.
Developed over the past 3 years, and implemented in its current state for 20 months, the model has a solid real-world alpha-generating performance track record, set out in detail below.


Research on Tech Companies

Evelyn Zhang

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>It'll take another 3-5 years of further development for VR and AR products to reach the level of user experience and reduction in cost necessary for wide commercial adoption. </li>
<li>The emergence of blockbuster AAA content will aid the large-scale adoption of Metaverse hardware, user generated contents are much lower in development cost,  a trend pioneered by Roblox &amp;Epic Games.</li>
<li>A-Share listed companies mainly focus on hardware value chain. China's video game regulator hasn't approved any new titles since July 2021. Leading Chinese companies are focusing on the commercial application.  </li>
</ul>


It'll take another 3-5 years of further development for VR and AR products to reach the level of user experience and reduction in cost necessary for wide commercial adoption. 
The emergence of blockbuster AAA content will aid the large-scale adoption of Metaverse hardware, user generated contents are much lower in development cost,  a trend pioneered by Roblox &amp;Epic Games.
A-Share listed companies mainly focus on hardware value chain. China's video game regulator hasn't approved any new titles since July 2021. Leading Chinese companies are focusing on the commercial application.  


Virtual Smoke and Mirror—Vision to Reality

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bukalapak" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33575:1" rel="noopener">Bukalapak (BUKA IJ)</a> has had a torrid market debut in Indonesia, falling more than 50% from its IPO price given limited lock ups and poor appreciation of its business model.</li>
<li>The company continues to broaden its product offering for its high-growth Mitra business, entering logistics, property finance, and more recently Buy Now Pay Later helping increase platform stickiness.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bukalapak" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33575:1" rel="noopener">Bukalapak (BUKA IJ) </a>is also developing a return-enhancing Shopify-like approach to its e-commerce business and valuations are starting to look appealing, with an FY22E EV/Gross profit of 14.3x.</li>
</ul>



Bukalapak (BUKA IJ) has had a torrid market debut in Indonesia, falling more than 50% from its IPO price given limited lock ups and poor appreciation of its business model.
The company continues to broaden its product offering for its high-growth Mitra business, entering logistics, property finance, and more recently Buy Now Pay Later helping increase platform stickiness.

Bukalapak (BUKA IJ) is also developing a return-enhancing Shopify-like approach to its e-commerce business and valuations are starting to look appealing, with an FY22E EV/Gross profit of 14.3x.


Bukalapak (BUKA IJ) - Hitting Mitras with More Product

Japan/Asia Long-Short, LightStream Research

Mio Kato

Japan/Asia Long-Short

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

<ul>
<li>With the recent announcement of Tencent’s distribution of its JD.com shares to shareholders its other stakes have come under scrutiny. </li>
<li>We have been speculating for some time about whether a split from Tencent was on the cards for Epic. </li>
<li>In the case of Riot we had not expected a sale but it may not be impossible.</li>
</ul>


With the recent announcement of Tencent’s distribution of its JD.com shares to shareholders its other stakes have come under scrutiny. 
We have been speculating for some time about whether a split from Tencent was on the cards for Epic. 
In the case of Riot we had not expected a sale but it may not be impossible.


Tencent – Do Epic Games and Riot Get Sold?

China

NetEase, Inc. is an Internet technology company that develops applications, services and other Internet technologies in China. The Company's core businesses consist of email service, web portal and online entertainment, including online gaming services. NetEase also offers online advertising, search, mobile applications and e-commerce.

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NetEase Inc (NTES US)

Sea Ltd (SE US) - A Himalayan Saga

We see the recent Sea Ltd price weakness as an opportunity to accumulate the stock, given the growth story remains intact although investors may...

Angus Mackintosh

Screening for GEMs: January 2022

This insight provides an overview of our, machine learning-driven, proprietary GEM screening model, based on a Multifactor model, a Deep Neural...

Wium Malan, CFA

Virtual Smoke and Mirror—Vision to Reality

The recent surge in Metaverse have brought VR & AR back into the focus of the market. So is the Metaverse finally ready for prime time or still a...

Evelyn Zhang

Bukalapak (BUKA IJ) - Hitting Mitras with More Product

Bukalapak continues to develop new products for both its Mitra and e-commerce business, which should help to improve take-rates with valuations now...

Angus Mackintosh

Tencent – Do Epic Games and Riot Get Sold?

With the recent announcement of Tencent’s distribution of its JD.com shares to shareholders we consider the different implications for the industry...

Mio Kato

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