Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The screening period for the upcoming rebalancing is May 3-31. LG Energy satisfies the 3-month minimum listing requirement, so it becomes eligible to join the Index in this rebalancing.</li>
<li>LG Energy will likely receive an inflow of ₩44.6B, 0.04% of SO. Considering its tight real-world float (less than 6%), it would still be something we don't want to overlook.</li>
<li>What is critical is an estimated outflow size of Celltrion. It would be about the same amount, but relative to its ADTV, it will be -0.26x.</li>
</ul>


The screening period for the upcoming rebalancing is May 3-31. LG Energy satisfies the 3-month minimum listing requirement, so it becomes eligible to join the Index in this rebalancing.
LG Energy will likely receive an inflow of ₩44.6B, 0.04% of SO. Considering its tight real-world float (less than 6%), it would still be something we don't want to overlook.
What is critical is an estimated outflow size of Celltrion. It would be about the same amount, but relative to its ADTV, it will be -0.26x.


FnGuide TIGER Top 10 Rebalancing: LG Energy IN & Celltrion OUT

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

<ul>
<li>Overall, we have a positive view of SK Hynix's new dividends and total shareholder return policy. </li>
<li>We estimate SK Hynix's dividend yield could be 1.3% in 2022 and 1.5% in 2023. We estimate its total shareholder returns could be 3.3% in 2022 and 5.4% in 2023. </li>
<li>However, this is based on the consensus free cash flow estimates and also there is uncertainty in the timing of potential share buybacks from 2022 to 2024. </li>
</ul>


Overall, we have a positive view of SK Hynix's new dividends and total shareholder return policy. 
We estimate SK Hynix's dividend yield could be 1.3% in 2022 and 1.5% in 2023. We estimate its total shareholder returns could be 3.3% in 2022 and 5.4% in 2023. 
However, this is based on the consensus free cash flow estimates and also there is uncertainty in the timing of potential share buybacks from 2022 to 2024. 


SK Hynix: New Total Shareholder Return Policy

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist, Objective Analysis

Jim Handy

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist

Objective Analysis

Objective Analysis offers third-party independent market research and data for the semiconductor industry and investors in the semiconductor industry.

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>November semiconductor revenues set a record for the highest shipment month in the history of the industry</li>
<li>Year-To-Date revenues and unit shipments, excluding December, are still higher than any full year in the industry's history</li>
<li>There is plenty of room for this to continue, barring a global economic meltdown</li>
</ul>


November semiconductor revenues set a record for the highest shipment month in the history of the industry
Year-To-Date revenues and unit shipments, excluding December, are still higher than any full year in the industry's history
There is plenty of room for this to continue, barring a global economic meltdown


November Semiconductors Once Again Set Records

<ul>
<li>2022 is likely to be a very good year for semiconductors, with 6% revenue growth following outstanding 2021 growth of ~22%.</li>
<li>Demand is solid, and shortages are driving prices higher.  Since revenues are demand times price, all signs are positive.</li>
<li>The factors that caused the last collapse, in 2019, are not in place this time, indicating that a downturn is very unlikely.</li>
</ul>


2022 is likely to be a very good year for semiconductors, with 6% revenue growth following outstanding 2021 growth of ~22%.
Demand is solid, and shortages are driving prices higher.  Since revenues are demand times price, all signs are positive.
The factors that caused the last collapse, in 2019, are not in place this time, indicating that a downturn is very unlikely.


2022 High Conviction - Modest Semiconductor Growth

<ul>
<li>2021 has been a leapfrog year in terms of both major outbound and inbound M&amp;As in Korea.</li>
<li>Two of the biggest M&amp;A deals in 2021 include SK Hynix's acquisition of Intel's flash NAND and SSD business and Emart's purchase of Ebay Korea for $3 billion. </li>
<li>Some of the largest M&amp;A deals which could get completed in 2022 include Hanon Systems, Bodyfriend, Modern House, Hyundai LNG Shipping, and EMK.  </li>
</ul>


2021 has been a leapfrog year in terms of both major outbound and inbound M&amp;As in Korea.
Two of the biggest M&amp;A deals in 2021 include SK Hynix's acquisition of Intel's flash NAND and SSD business and Emart's purchase of Ebay Korea for $3 billion. 
Some of the largest M&amp;A deals which could get completed in 2022 include Hanon Systems, Bodyfriend, Modern House, Hyundai LNG Shipping, and EMK.  


Korea M&A Recap in 2021 - A Leapfrog Year

South Korea

SK Hynix Inc. provides products and services for the electronic components industry. The Company manufactures semiconductors, such as dynamic random access memory (DRAM), NAND flash memory, and static random access memory (SRAM) chips.

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SK Hynix (000660 KS)

FnGuide TIGER Top 10 Rebalancing: LG Energy IN & Celltrion OUT

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Sanghyun Park

SK Hynix: New Total Shareholder Return Policy

On 28 January, SK Hynix announced a new total shareholder return policy for 2022 to 2024. Overall, we have a positive view of SK Hynix's new...

Douglas Kim

November Semiconductors Once Again Set Records

The semiconductor market once again set records in November, with 2021 revenues and unit shipments out-stripping all prior record years in its...

Jim Handy

2022 High Conviction - Modest Semiconductor Growth

Can today's semiconductor revenue growth continue, or will the market undergo another collapse? Objective Analysis calls for 6% growth, and shows...

Jim Handy

Korea M&A Recap in 2021 - A Leapfrog Year

2021 has been a leapfrog year in terms of major M&As in Korea. Some of the largest M&A deals in 2022 could include Hanon Systems, Bodyfriend,...

Douglas Kim

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