Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist, Objective Analysis

Jim Handy

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist

Objective Analysis

Objective Analysis offers third-party independent market research and data for the semiconductor industry and investors in the semiconductor industry.

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>October semiconductor revenues have been released setting a new record</li>
<li>The semiconductor market, whose revenues have been following a trend since 1996, are currently well above that trend</li>
<li>The ingredients for a collapse are not developing.  The current trend seems destined to continue for at least another couple of quarters, but probably longer.</li>
</ul>


October semiconductor revenues have been released setting a new record
The semiconductor market, whose revenues have been following a trend since 1996, are currently well above that trend
The ingredients for a collapse are not developing.  The current trend seems destined to continue for at least another couple of quarters, but probably longer.


October Semi Revenues Released: Even Farther Above Trend

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst, Obex Capital Research

Aaron Gabin

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research

Obex Capital Research

“Obex” is Latin for Barriers to Entry. Obex Capital Management’s investment philosophy is driven by an intense focus on which business model’s Barriers to Entry are able to withstand the ever increasing competitive disruption in the TMT and Consumer Sectors.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Intel announced it will spin its Mobileye division in 2022, reportedly at a $50 B valuation.</li>
<li>This should allow Intel to raise $10B, which helps out on the accelerated capex plans to transition to a foundry strategy without further cutting into buybacks or the dividend.</li>
<li>Non-Needle mover on the rest of the business, where Intel will continue to see margin pressures due to share losses and lack of pricing power on its PC/Server chips.</li>
</ul>


Intel announced it will spin its Mobileye division in 2022, reportedly at a $50 B valuation.
This should allow Intel to raise $10B, which helps out on the accelerated capex plans to transition to a foundry strategy without further cutting into buybacks or the dividend.
Non-Needle mover on the rest of the business, where Intel will continue to see margin pressures due to share losses and lack of pricing power on its PC/Server chips.


<ul>
<li>WSTS released a forecast for 26% growth in 2021 and 9% in 2022 </li>
<li>Prior WSTS forecasts have been overheated in up years and too modest in down years</li>
<li>If today's demand bubble continues, sub-10% 2022 growth is likely.  Otherwise, there could be a collapse.</li>
</ul>


WSTS released a forecast for 26% growth in 2021 and 9% in 2022 
Prior WSTS forecasts have been overheated in up years and too modest in down years
If today's demand bubble continues, sub-10% 2022 growth is likely.  Otherwise, there could be a collapse.


WSTS Semi Forecast Very Bullish for 2021-22, but Is It Realistic?

<ul>
<li>Privately-Held Kioxia is ripe for an IPO, but there's been no announcement</li>
<li>Meanwhile, the company's end market, NAND flash chips, is setting new revenue records</li>
<li>Bain &amp; Company may miss an important window by waiting too long to go public</li>
</ul>


Privately-Held Kioxia is ripe for an IPO, but there's been no announcement
Meanwhile, the company's end market, NAND flash chips, is setting new revenue records
Bain &amp; Company may miss an important window by waiting too long to go public


<ul>
<li>The 2021 memory market is poised to reach/exceed $160 billion US this year</li>
<li>NAND flash has broken its record, and DRAM is approaching its 2018 highs</li>
<li>Small market share shifts favor NAND companies outside of the US, particularly Samsung</li>
</ul>


The 2021 memory market is poised to reach/exceed $160 billion US this year
NAND flash has broken its record, and DRAM is approaching its 2018 highs
Small market share shifts favor NAND companies outside of the US, particularly Samsung


United States

Intel Corporation designs, manufactures, and sells computer components and related products.  The Company's major products include microprocessors, chipsets, embedded processors and microcontrollers, flash memory products, graphics products, network and communications products, systems management software, conferencing products, and digital imaging products.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Intel Corp (INTC US)

October Semi Revenues Released: Even Farther Above Trend

October semiconductor revenues set a record once again, making the 2021 semiconductor market one to remember. A collapse appears unlikely in the...

Jim Handy

Intel's Mobileye Spin

The capital raise doesn’t matter in the context of the 90% of Intel’s business which is losing share in PCs and Servers to AMD/Nvidia. FCF will...

Aaron Gabin

WSTS Semi Forecast Very Bullish for 2021-22, but Is It Realistic?

The semiconductor market is on a tear, and WSTS forecasts that next year will see solid growth. This Insight examines the likelihood that 2022...

Jim Handy

Will Kioxia IPO Miss Its Window?

Privately-held Kioxia has been hinting at an IPO for a year, and its end market has just set a record. Can the company afford to delay any longer,...

Jim Handy

Memory Chip Market Setting Records

The memory markets: DRAM and NAND flash, are repeating their 2018 performance, with Samsung taking market share gains. Investors should have a look.

Jim Handy

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)