Equity Long-Short, Semiconductors, Fabricated Knowledge

Douglas O'Laughlin

Equity Long-Short, Semiconductors

Fabricated Knowledge

Learn more about the world's most important manufactured product. Meaningful insight, timely analysis, and an occasional investment idea.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Intel reported earnings last week. Intel was one of my favorite stocks last year, and I wrote about it here in “Is This the Intel Inflection”, where I successfully called the bottom in the stock.</li>
<li>It’s worked pretty well, even against the SOXX index since then.</li>
<li>I’ll summarize my thesis back then, update you now on what I think about Intel, and write about results and read-throughs.</li>
</ul>


Intel reported earnings last week. Intel was one of my favorite stocks last year, and I wrote about it here in “Is This the Intel Inflection”, where I successfully called the bottom in the stock.
It’s worked pretty well, even against the SOXX index since then.
I’ll summarize my thesis back then, update you now on what I think about Intel, and write about results and read-throughs.


Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

<ul>
<li>Q423 revenues of $15.4 billion, +8.5% QoQ, +10% YoY and $300 million above the guided midpoint</li>
<li>Q124 guided to $12.7 billion, -17.5% QoQ albeit still up 8% YoY.  </li>
<li>Intel's share priced fell 12% on the guide. CEO says this was an overreaction. </li>
</ul>


Q423 revenues of $15.4 billion, +8.5% QoQ, +10% YoY and $300 million above the guided midpoint
Q124 guided to $12.7 billion, -17.5% QoQ albeit still up 8% YoY.  
Intel's share priced fell 12% on the guide. CEO says this was an overreaction. 


Intel Ruins The Rally With Its Gloomy Guide

<ul>
<li>Hello from Kyoto! If there was a single big story from VLSI this year, it had to be Backside Power Delivery (BSPDN). VLSI is one of the premier conferences for semiconductor design and has been held since the 1980s.</li>
<li>Today it’s one of the best places to present cutting-edge research in circuit technology.</li>
<li>The key revolutionary announcement at VLSI this year was BSPDN. Let’s discuss.</li>
</ul>


Hello from Kyoto! If there was a single big story from VLSI this year, it had to be Backside Power Delivery (BSPDN). VLSI is one of the premier conferences for semiconductor design and has been held since the 1980s.
Today it’s one of the best places to present cutting-edge research in circuit technology.
The key revolutionary announcement at VLSI this year was BSPDN. Let’s discuss.


VLSI Japan : It’s Better on the Backside

Top 10 Mega Caps | Artificial Intelligence, Mint Finance

Uttkarsh Kohli

Top 10 Mega Caps | Artificial Intelligence

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>TSMC’s new plants will increase its production capacity for 3-nm chips, aiming to triple output this year. Global market share stands at 18%.</li>
<li>Major tech companies’ increased AI investments are driving demand for TSMC’s advanced semiconductors, crucial for AI and machine learning applications. </li>
<li>TSMC’s automotive solutions output is expected to grow at a 50% CAGR through 2024, addressing global chip shortages in the auto industry.</li>
</ul>


TSMC’s new plants will increase its production capacity for 3-nm chips, aiming to triple output this year. Global market share stands at 18%.
Major tech companies’ increased AI investments are driving demand for TSMC’s advanced semiconductors, crucial for AI and machine learning applications. 
TSMC’s automotive solutions output is expected to grow at a 50% CAGR through 2024, addressing global chip shortages in the auto industry.


TSMC's Expansion Strategy: New Plants and Rising AI Demand Shape Future Growth

Asia and Global Semiconductor and Tech Research

Andrew Lu

<ul>
<li>Intel misses 1H24 market consensus again, post market correction of over 7%. Can shifting focus away from foundry/manufacturing help?</li>
<li>Is the breakdown change for future spin off/IPO of foundry/manufacturing, and non focus businesses like Altera and Mobileye positive?</li>
<li>We disagree Intel foundry to breakeven in two years; we see AI product lagging behind competitors and non AI server CPU being squeezed by AI server GPU and GPU/CPU integration.</li>
</ul>


Intel misses 1H24 market consensus again, post market correction of over 7%. Can shifting focus away from foundry/manufacturing help?
Is the breakdown change for future spin off/IPO of foundry/manufacturing, and non focus businesses like Altera and Mobileye positive?
We disagree Intel foundry to breakeven in two years; we see AI product lagging behind competitors and non AI server CPU being squeezed by AI server GPU and GPU/CPU integration.


Intel Is Shifting Focus to Products, Away from Manufacturing/Foundry; Worth to Follow?

United States

Intel Corporation designs, manufactures, and sells computer components and related products.  The Company's major products include microprocessors, chipsets, embedded processors and microcontrollers, flash memory products, graphics products, network and communications products, systems management software, conferencing products, and digital imaging products.

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Intel Corp (INTC US)

Intel 18A is in Sight, Does it Matter?

Intel is now in the valley again. Also thoughts on AMD and LSCC and FPGAs. Intel reported earnings last week. Intel was one of my favorite stocks...

Fabricated Knowledge

Intel Ruins The Rally With Its Gloomy Guide

Q423 revenues of $15.4 billion, +8.5% QoQ, +10% YoY & $300 million above the guided midpoint. Q124 guided to $12.7 billion, -17.5% QoQ. Shares...

William Keating

VLSI Japan : It’s Better on the Backside

If there was a single big story from VLSI this year, it had to be BSPDN. Intel announces its PowerVia technology, and scaling the backside is the...

Fabricated Knowledge

TSMC's Expansion Strategy: New Plants and Rising AI Demand Shape Future Growth

TSMC plans seven new plants worldwide, boosting production of 3-nm and 2-nm chips. Chips Foundry Market share of 62%, AI sector growth driving demand.

Mint Finance

Intel Is Shifting Focus to Products, Away from Manufacturing/Foundry; Worth to Follow?

Intel Is Shifting Focus to Products, Away from Manufacturing/Foundry; Three structural improvement check points to follow

Andrew Lu

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