Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/maruti-suzuki-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:733:1" rel="noopener">Maruti Suzuki India (MSIL IN)</a> 's dealers are optimistic, expecting easing supply, new launches and the Maruti brand promise to drive back some of the lost market share. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kia-motors-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:156:1" rel="noopener">Kia Motors Corp (000270 KS)</a> is gaining when it comes to fighting with its big brother <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-motor-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:155:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Motor Co (005380 KS)</a>. </li>
<li>There is a set of customers that now prefers Indian brands giving a good tailwind for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-motors-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:216:1" rel="noopener">Tata Motors Ltd (TTMT IN)</a> &amp; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mahindra-mahindra-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16441:1" rel="noopener">Mahindra &amp; Mahindra (MM IN)</a>. </li>
</ul>



Maruti Suzuki India (MSIL IN) 's dealers are optimistic, expecting easing supply, new launches and the Maruti brand promise to drive back some of the lost market share. 

Kia Motors Corp (000270 KS) is gaining when it comes to fighting with its big brother Hyundai Motor Co (005380 KS). 
There is a set of customers that now prefers Indian brands giving a good tailwind for Tata Motors Ltd (TTMT IN) &amp; Mahindra &amp; Mahindra (MM IN). 


India Channel Insight #39 | Maruti, Hyundai

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

<ul>
<li>Hyundai's IONIQ 5 surpassed Tesla's Model 3 within a year of its launch. Hyundai's IONIQ 5 was the best selling EV in Korea in January to May 2022.</li>
<li>Tesla EV sales in the first five months in Korea slipped to number three from its number one position in the same period last year. </li>
<li>Hyundai Motor is expected to introduce IONIQ 6 later this year. However, Elon Musk mentioned that Tesla will not launch any new models until 2023 at the earliest</li>
</ul>


Hyundai's IONIQ 5 surpassed Tesla's Model 3 within a year of its launch. Hyundai's IONIQ 5 was the best selling EV in Korea in January to May 2022.
Tesla EV sales in the first five months in Korea slipped to number three from its number one position in the same period last year. 
Hyundai Motor is expected to introduce IONIQ 6 later this year. However, Elon Musk mentioned that Tesla will not launch any new models until 2023 at the earliest


<ul>
<li>The US President Joe Biden is planning to visit South Korea on 20 to 22 May to meet the new South Korean President Yoon Suk-Yeol.</li>
<li>Hyundai Motor is likely to announce investments of nearly $7 billion for building a mega EV facility in Georgia which was leaked in the media in the last few days.</li>
<li>Hyundai Motor is aggressively penetrating the global EV markets and it is becoming an increasing threat against Tesla. Hyundai Motor has outperformed Tesla in the past 6 months.</li>
</ul>


The US President Joe Biden is planning to visit South Korea on 20 to 22 May to meet the new South Korean President Yoon Suk-Yeol.
Hyundai Motor is likely to announce investments of nearly $7 billion for building a mega EV facility in Georgia which was leaked in the media in the last few days.
Hyundai Motor is aggressively penetrating the global EV markets and it is becoming an increasing threat against Tesla. Hyundai Motor has outperformed Tesla in the past 6 months.


Joe Biden's Visit to South Korea: Hyundai Motor Ready to Announce $7 Billion Investment in EVs in US

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We look at short interest across Hong Kong, Japan, Korea and Taiwan in April to identify stocks/sectors that have seen the largest changes in each market.</li>
<li>Korea and Taiwan are showing a clear divergence with short notional increasing as the market moves lower, indicative of new shorts being initiated.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-merchants-bank-co-ltd-3388a037-4214-4997-b45d-520518cfdb57" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10987:1" rel="noopener">China Merchants Bank H (3968 HK)</a> has seen the largest short covering as the stock has tumbled in the last couple of weeks.</li>
</ul>


We look at short interest across Hong Kong, Japan, Korea and Taiwan in April to identify stocks/sectors that have seen the largest changes in each market.
Korea and Taiwan are showing a clear divergence with short notional increasing as the market moves lower, indicative of new shorts being initiated.

China Merchants Bank H (3968 HK) has seen the largest short covering as the stock has tumbled in the last couple of weeks.


Asia Short Interest: Large Moves in April

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>A noteworthy flow trend in the Korean stock market is the National Pension Service's local equity purchase. For this, they tend to overweight those previously underweighted blue-chip stocks. </li>
<li>All of the top 10 most net-bought stocks by local pensions on April 18-26 are KOSPI 200 constituents. And most of them all have a relatively small NPS-owned stake.</li>
<li>Most of them have significantly outperformed the KOSPI 200 (-0.90%) during this period.</li>
</ul>


A noteworthy flow trend in the Korean stock market is the National Pension Service's local equity purchase. For this, they tend to overweight those previously underweighted blue-chip stocks. 
All of the top 10 most net-bought stocks by local pensions on April 18-26 are KOSPI 200 constituents. And most of them all have a relatively small NPS-owned stake.
Most of them have significantly outperformed the KOSPI 200 (-0.90%) during this period.


Noteworthy Flow Trend: Korea NPS Overweighting Local Equity

South Korea

Kia Corporation manufactures, sells, and exports passenger cars, mini-buses, trucks and commercial vehicles. The Company also manufactures auto-parts and tools using hybrid electric and fuel cell technology. Kia markets its products worldwide.

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Kia Corp (000270 KS)

India Channel Insight #39 | Maruti, Hyundai

Going into FY23, the competitive dynamics in the Indian PV industry is changing. Maruti is expected to leverage its brand promise, Kia is eating...

Pranav Bhavsar

Tesla Slips From #1 to #3 in Korea

Hyundai's IONIQ 5 surpassed Tesla's Model 3 within a year of its launch. Hyundai's IONIQ 5 was the best selling EV in Korea in January to May 2022.

Douglas Kim

Joe Biden's Visit to South Korea: Hyundai Motor Ready to Announce $7 Billion Investment in EVs in US

Hyundai Motor is likely to announce investments of nearly $7 billion for building a mega EV facility in Georgia which was leaked in the media in...

Douglas Kim

Asia Short Interest: Large Moves in April

Short notional in Korea and Taiwan has been increasing as the market has been moving lower. Shorts on China Merchant Bank have been covered in...

Brian Freitas

Noteworthy Flow Trend: Korea NPS Overweighting Local Equity

The NPS seems to have recently begun to overweight local equity, and this post investigates this significant flow trend and the stocks worthy of...

Sanghyun Park

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