Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In the past several days, there have been numerous local media outlets that have mentioned about a potential launch of Apple Pay in Korea in the coming months. </li>
<li>We believe the launch of Apple Pay in Korea could occur in the next 6-12 months and this is likely to further heighten the competitive pressures on Kakao Pay.</li>
<li>We continue to be concerned about the lofty valuation multiples of Kakao Pay as it is trading at 165x P/E (2024E) and 5.1x P/B (2024E). </li>
</ul>


In the past several days, there have been numerous local media outlets that have mentioned about a potential launch of Apple Pay in Korea in the coming months. 
We believe the launch of Apple Pay in Korea could occur in the next 6-12 months and this is likely to further heighten the competitive pressures on Kakao Pay.
We continue to be concerned about the lofty valuation multiples of Kakao Pay as it is trading at 165x P/E (2024E) and 5.1x P/B (2024E). 


The Launch of Apple Pay Is Likely to Result in Market Share Losses for Kakao Pay

Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>An overview (and output) of our machine learning-driven GEM screening model, which seeks to find the best medium-term long ideas within the top100 stocks in the MSCI GEM Index.</li>
<li>The model is based on 1) a quantitative multifactor screening model, enhanced by two AI Technology-based approaches; 2) a Deep Neural Network model, and 3) a Recurrent Neural Network model.</li>
<li>Developed over roughly 4 years and implemented in its current state for over 2 years, the model has a solid real-world alpha-generating performance track record, discussed in detail below.</li>
</ul>


An overview (and output) of our machine learning-driven GEM screening model, which seeks to find the best medium-term long ideas within the top100 stocks in the MSCI GEM Index.
The model is based on 1) a quantitative multifactor screening model, enhanced by two AI Technology-based approaches; 2) a Deep Neural Network model, and 3) a Recurrent Neural Network model.
Developed over roughly 4 years and implemented in its current state for over 2 years, the model has a solid real-world alpha-generating performance track record, discussed in detail below.


<ul>
<li>Amid a major decline in the Korean stock market (KOSPI down 19.6% YTD), one of the best outperformers has been Kia Corp (000270 KS) which is down only 2% YTD.</li>
<li>Kia Corp is well poised to continue to outperform KOSPI in the next 6-12 months, mainly driven by its increasing market share for EVs globally and cheap EV/EBITDA valuation multiples.</li>
<li>The company also reported outstanding 2Q 2022 results, which should boost near-term sentiment on the stock. Kia Corp plans to launch its flagship EV9 model (large sized SUV) in 2023.</li>
</ul>


Amid a major decline in the Korean stock market (KOSPI down 19.6% YTD), one of the best outperformers has been Kia Corp (000270 KS) which is down only 2% YTD.
Kia Corp is well poised to continue to outperform KOSPI in the next 6-12 months, mainly driven by its increasing market share for EVs globally and cheap EV/EBITDA valuation multiples.
The company also reported outstanding 2Q 2022 results, which should boost near-term sentiment on the stock. Kia Corp plans to launch its flagship EV9 model (large sized SUV) in 2023.


Kia Corp: The Best Performing Stock Among Top 10 Market Cap Companies in KOSPI YTD

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/maruti-suzuki-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:733:1" rel="noopener">Maruti Suzuki India (MSIL IN)</a> 's dealers are optimistic, expecting easing supply, new launches and the Maruti brand promise to drive back some of the lost market share. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kia-motors-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:156:1" rel="noopener">Kia Motors Corp (000270 KS)</a> is gaining when it comes to fighting with its big brother <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-motor-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:155:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Motor Co (005380 KS)</a>. </li>
<li>There is a set of customers that now prefers Indian brands giving a good tailwind for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-motors-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:216:1" rel="noopener">Tata Motors Ltd (TTMT IN)</a> &amp; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mahindra-mahindra-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16441:1" rel="noopener">Mahindra &amp; Mahindra (MM IN)</a>. </li>
</ul>



Maruti Suzuki India (MSIL IN) 's dealers are optimistic, expecting easing supply, new launches and the Maruti brand promise to drive back some of the lost market share. 

Kia Motors Corp (000270 KS) is gaining when it comes to fighting with its big brother Hyundai Motor Co (005380 KS). 
There is a set of customers that now prefers Indian brands giving a good tailwind for Tata Motors Ltd (TTMT IN) &amp; Mahindra &amp; Mahindra (MM IN). 


India Channel Insight #39 | Maruti, Hyundai

<ul>
<li>Hyundai's IONIQ 5 surpassed Tesla's Model 3 within a year of its launch. Hyundai's IONIQ 5 was the best selling EV in Korea in January to May 2022.</li>
<li>Tesla EV sales in the first five months in Korea slipped to number three from its number one position in the same period last year. </li>
<li>Hyundai Motor is expected to introduce IONIQ 6 later this year. However, Elon Musk mentioned that Tesla will not launch any new models until 2023 at the earliest</li>
</ul>


Hyundai's IONIQ 5 surpassed Tesla's Model 3 within a year of its launch. Hyundai's IONIQ 5 was the best selling EV in Korea in January to May 2022.
Tesla EV sales in the first five months in Korea slipped to number three from its number one position in the same period last year. 
Hyundai Motor is expected to introduce IONIQ 6 later this year. However, Elon Musk mentioned that Tesla will not launch any new models until 2023 at the earliest


South Korea

Kia Corporation manufactures, sells, and exports passenger cars, mini-buses, trucks and commercial vehicles. The Company also manufactures auto-parts and tools using hybrid electric and fuel cell technology. Kia markets its products worldwide.

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Kia Corp (000270 KS)

Screening for GEMs: August 2022

An overview (and output) of our machine learning-driven GEM screening model, which seeks to find the best medium-term long ideas within the top100...

Wium Malan, CFA

Kia Corp: The Best Performing Stock Among Top 10 Market Cap Companies in KOSPI YTD

Kia Corp is well poised to continue to outperform KOSPI in the next 6-12 months, mainly driven by its increasing market share for EVs globally and...

Douglas Kim

India Channel Insight #39 | Maruti, Hyundai

Going into FY23, the competitive dynamics in the Indian PV industry is changing. Maruti is expected to leverage its brand promise, Kia is eating...

Pranav Bhavsar

Tesla Slips From #1 to #3 in Korea

Hyundai's IONIQ 5 surpassed Tesla's Model 3 within a year of its launch. Hyundai's IONIQ 5 was the best selling EV in Korea in January to May 2022.

Douglas Kim

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52-week Range

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The Launch of Apple Pay Is Likely to Result in Market Share Losses for Kakao Pay

We believe the launch of Apple Pay in Korea could occur in the next 6-12 months and this is likely to further heighten the competitive pressures on...

Douglas Kim

Screening for GEMs: August 2022

An overview (and output) of our machine learning-driven GEM screening model, which seeks to find the best medium-term long ideas within the top100...

Wium Malan, CFA

Kia Corp: The Best Performing Stock Among Top 10 Market Cap Companies in KOSPI YTD

Kia Corp is well poised to continue to outperform KOSPI in the next 6-12 months, mainly driven by its increasing market share for EVs globally and...

Douglas Kim

India Channel Insight #39 | Maruti, Hyundai

Going into FY23, the competitive dynamics in the Indian PV industry is changing. Maruti is expected to leverage its brand promise, Kia is eating...

Pranav Bhavsar

Tesla Slips From #1 to #3 in Korea

Hyundai's IONIQ 5 surpassed Tesla's Model 3 within a year of its launch. Hyundai's IONIQ 5 was the best selling EV in Korea in January to May 2022.

Douglas Kim