China New Economy Equity Analyst, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Robert McKay

China New Economy Equity Analyst

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>US semiconductor restrictions are limiting China's access to advanced AI accelerators, causing a widening gap in AI compute. The US will expand its lead over China to ~7x by 2025.</li>
<li>Although China has domestic alternatives, bottlenecks due to separate US restrictions on semiconductor equipment are hindering yields and capacity expansions, effectively limiting China’s capacity to train state-of-the-art AI models.</li>
<li>To maximize AI compute, Huawei will likely curtail smartphone semiconductors in favor of AI accelerators. We expect manufacturers offering mid-end Android devices like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24409:1" rel="noopener">Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK)</a> to benefit first.</li>
</ul>


US semiconductor restrictions are limiting China's access to advanced AI accelerators, causing a widening gap in AI compute. The US will expand its lead over China to ~7x by 2025.
Although China has domestic alternatives, bottlenecks due to separate US restrictions on semiconductor equipment are hindering yields and capacity expansions, effectively limiting China’s capacity to train state-of-the-art AI models.
To maximize AI compute, Huawei will likely curtail smartphone semiconductors in favor of AI accelerators. We expect manufacturers offering mid-end Android devices like Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK) to benefit first.


Demand for AI Chips Might Cut Huawei's Smartphone Semiconductor Short

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

<ul>
<li>Macro News Update: Our take from the decision draft of the CCP 3rd Plenary Session</li>
<li>1519 HK/ZTO US: Weekly parcel volume shows 31% y-o-y growth (+)</li>
<li>1810 HK/981 HK: Huawei’s mid-premium Nova 13 smartphone to be delayed (+//)</li>
</ul>


Macro News Update: Our take from the decision draft of the CCP 3rd Plenary Session
1519 HK/ZTO US: Weekly parcel volume shows 31% y-o-y growth (+)
1810 HK/981 HK: Huawei’s mid-premium Nova 13 smartphone to be delayed (+//)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:1519 HK/ZTO US/1810 HK/981 HK/XPEV US/LI US/NIO US/QCOM US/TSMC US

<ul>
<li>981 HK/1810 HK: Huawei to launch updated Nova series smartphones (+//)</li>
<li>BEKE US:China's residential property prices show narrowing MoM decline in June (+)</li>
<li>1810 HK/AAPL US: IDC publishes 2Q24 smartphone sales data (+)</li>
</ul>


981 HK/1810 HK: Huawei to launch updated Nova series smartphones (+//)
BEKE US:China's residential property prices show narrowing MoM decline in June (+)
1810 HK/AAPL US: IDC publishes 2Q24 smartphone sales data (+)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:981 HK/1810 HK/BEKE US/AAPL US/688036 CH/QCOM US

<ul>
<li>LKNCY US: Luckin Coffee Opens Its 20,000th Store . (+)</li>
<li>1810 HK/NIO US/XPEV US/1211 HK:July holiday saw normal seasonliaty in EV sales, Xiaomi ramp up nicely（///////）</li>
<li>XPEV US: Details of new refreshed Xpeng sedan P7 revealed (+)</li>
</ul>


LKNCY US: Luckin Coffee Opens Its 20,000th Store . (+)
1810 HK/NIO US/XPEV US/1211 HK:July holiday saw normal seasonliaty in EV sales, Xiaomi ramp up nicely（///////）
XPEV US: Details of new refreshed Xpeng sedan P7 revealed (+)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:LKNCY US/1810 HK/NIO US/XPEV US/1211 HK/MNSO US/3690 HK/981 HK/AAPL US/700 HK

<ul>
<li>300750 SZ: CATL launches new commercial battery brand Tianxing to accelerate truck electrification and defend market share.（/）</li>
<li>9992 HK: Pop Mart's first LABUBU theme store opens in Bangkok with over RMB10 million in sales on the first day(+)</li>
<li>1810 HK : Huawei to launch three-hinge/ fold smartphone. (/)</li>
</ul>


300750 SZ: CATL launches new commercial battery brand Tianxing to accelerate truck electrification and defend market share.（/）
9992 HK: Pop Mart's first LABUBU theme store opens in Bangkok with over RMB10 million in sales on the first day(+)
1810 HK : Huawei to launch three-hinge/ fold smartphone. (/)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:300750 SZ/9992 HK/1810 HK/1519 HK/ZTO US/SE US/ATAT US/981 HK/000977 CH

China

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation operates a semiconductor foundry. The Company provides integrated circuit foundry and technology services including the testing, development, design, manufacturing, packaging, and sale of integrated circuits. Semiconductor Manufacturing International offers its products and services around the world.

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) (981 HK)

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC)

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) (981 HK)

Demand for AI Chips Might Cut Huawei's Smartphone Semiconductor Short

US AI accelerator and wafer equipment restrictions are widening the US/China AI compute gap. Expect Huawei to curtail smartphone IC in favor of AI...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:1519 HK/ZTO US/1810 HK/981 HK/XPEV US/LI US/NIO US/QCOM US/TSMC US

CCP 3rd Plenary Session decision draft analyzed; parcel volume growth for HK/ZTO and Huawei's Nova 13 smartphone delay.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:981 HK/1810 HK/BEKE US/AAPL US/688036 CH/QCOM US

Huawei to launch updated Nova series smartphones, China's residential property prices show narrowing decline, IDC publishes 2Q24 smartphone sales...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:LKNCY US/1810 HK/NIO US/XPEV US/1211 HK/MNSO US/3690 HK/981 HK/AAPL US/700 HK

Luckin Coffee celebrates milestone with 20,000th store opening, EV sales remain steady during July holiday, Xpeng unveils details of new sedan...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:300750 SZ/9992 HK/1810 HK/1519 HK/ZTO US/SE US/ATAT US/981 HK/000977 CH

CATL launches new commercial battery brand Tianxing to drive truck electrification and protect market share. Pop Mart's LABUBU theme store in...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Demand for AI Chips Might Cut Huawei's Smartphone Semiconductor Short

​US AI accelerator and wafer equipment restrictions are widening the US/China AI compute gap. Expect Huawei to curtail smartphone IC in favor of AI...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:1519 HK/ZTO US/1810 HK/981 HK/XPEV US/LI US/NIO US/QCOM US/TSMC US

​CCP 3rd Plenary Session decision draft analyzed; parcel volume growth for HK/ZTO and Huawei's Nova 13 smartphone delay.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:981 HK/1810 HK/BEKE US/AAPL US/688036 CH/QCOM US

​Huawei to launch updated Nova series smartphones, China's residential property prices show narrowing decline, IDC publishes 2Q24 smartphone sales...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:LKNCY US/1810 HK/NIO US/XPEV US/1211 HK/MNSO US/3690 HK/981 HK/AAPL US/700 HK

​Luckin Coffee celebrates milestone with 20,000th store opening, EV sales remain steady during July holiday, Xpeng unveils details of new sedan...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:300750 SZ/9992 HK/1810 HK/1519 HK/ZTO US/SE US/ATAT US/981 HK/000977 CH

​CATL launches new commercial battery brand Tianxing to drive truck electrification and protect market share. Pop Mart's LABUBU theme store in...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

US AI accelerator and wafer equipment restrictions are widening the US/China AI compute gap. Expect Huawei to curtail smartphone IC in favor of AI...

CCP 3rd Plenary Session decision draft analyzed; parcel volume growth for HK/ZTO and Huawei's Nova 13 smartphone delay.

Huawei to launch updated Nova series smartphones, China's residential property prices show narrowing decline, IDC publishes 2Q24 smartphone sales...

Luckin Coffee celebrates milestone with 20,000th store opening, EV sales remain steady during July holiday, Xpeng unveils details of new sedan...

CATL launches new commercial battery brand Tianxing to drive truck electrification and protect market share. Pop Mart's LABUBU theme store in...