HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

1. Industry viewpoints:<ul>
<li>Last week, the negotiations of volume-based purchase 2020 came to a close, and the bidding of PD-1/L1 was the most eye-catching.</li>
<li>In the future, with the rapid release of radiotherapy equipment in China, the penetration rate of radiotherapy is expected to be accelerated.</li>
<li>The use of traditional Chinese medicine in hospital is facing severe challenges.</li>
</ul>2. Company news:News about the updated progress of new drugs and cooperation from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ascletis-pharma-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27265:1" rel="noopener">Ascletis Pharma Inc (1672 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/harbour-biomed-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29717:1" rel="noopener">Harbour Biomed (2142 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/luye-pharma-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:488:1" rel="noopener">Luye Pharma (2186 HK)</a>.3. Market review:Last week, stock price for healthcare sector in A share increased 4.25%, while CSI 300 increased 2.26% over the same period of time.4. Risk Disclosure:Policy risk, R&amp;D risk, Company risk and COVID-19 risk.

1. Industry viewpoints:
Last week, the negotiations of volume-based purchase 2020 came to a close, and the bidding of PD-1/L1 was the most eye-catching.
In the future, with the rapid release of radiotherapy equipment in China, the penetration rate of radiotherapy is expected to be accelerated.
The use of traditional Chinese medicine in hospital is facing severe challenges.
2. Company news:News about the updated progress of new drugs and cooperation from Ascletis Pharma Inc (1672 HK), Harbour Biomed (2142 HK) and Luye Pharma (2186 HK).3. Market review:Last week, stock price for healthcare sector in A share increased 4.25%, while CSI 300 increased 2.26% over the same period of time.4. Risk Disclosure:Policy risk, R&amp;D risk, Company risk and COVID-19 risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

Livzon Pharmaceutical Group In / Equity Bottom-Up

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/livzon-pharmaceutical-group-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24770:1" rel="noopener">Livzon Pharmaceutical Group-A (000513 CH)</a> released its third quarter report in 2020. The Q1-Q3 accumulated revenue was RMB7.926 billion, with a YoY growth rate of 8.64%. Net income attributed to shareholders in the first three quarters was RMB1.422 billion, up 36.71% YoY. Net income after deducting non-recurring gains and losses were RMB1.179 billion, up 23.15% YoY. Q3 single quarter revenue was RMB2.83 billion, up 20.14% YoY. Net income attributed to shareholders reached RMB417 million, up 38.52% YoY. Q3’s single quarter net income after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was RMB344 million, up 15.28% YoY. Q3 performance was above expectations, with the highest YoY growth rate in the single quarter in nearly three years, and demonstrated strong recovery in various sectors.<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/175/696/original/image_32979984121606785555504.png?1606785557" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="175696"></figure>Source: WIND

Livzon Pharmaceutical Group-A (000513 CH) released its third quarter report in 2020. The Q1-Q3 accumulated revenue was RMB7.926 billion, with a YoY growth rate of 8.64%. Net income attributed to shareholders in the first three quarters was RMB1.422 billion, up 36.71% YoY. Net income after deducting non-recurring gains and losses were RMB1.179 billion, up 23.15% YoY. Q3 single quarter revenue was RMB2.83 billion, up 20.14% YoY. Net income attributed to shareholders reached RMB417 million, up 38.52% YoY. Q3’s single quarter net income after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was RMB344 million, up 15.28% YoY. Q3 performance was above expectations, with the highest YoY growth rate in the single quarter in nearly three years, and demonstrated strong recovery in various sectors.Source: WIND

Livzon Pharmaceutical (000513.CH) - A Good Company that You Can't Afford Missing

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

HBM Holdings Limited / Equity Capital Markets

<div><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/harbour-biomed-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29717:1" rel="noopener">Harbour Biomed (2142 HK)</a> is a biopharmaceutical company with a focus on discovering, developing and commercialising differentiated antibody therapeutics in immunology and oncology disease areas. Harbour has launched a Hong Kong IPO to raise net proceeds of HK$1,589.5 million ($205 million) at the mid-point of the IPO price range of HK$11.70-12.92 per share.</div><div>Nine cornerstone investors have agreed to invest about $92 million in the IPO (41.92% of the offer shares at the mid-point of the IPO price range). Cornerstone investors include BlackRock, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hbm-healthcare-investments-ag" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22373:1" rel="noopener">Hbm Healthcare Investments Ag (HBMN SW)</a>, Hillhouse Capital, Hudson Bay Capital, Octagon Capital, Anlan Fund, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/legend-holdings-corp-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:517:1" rel="noopener">Legend Holdings Corp H (3396 HK)</a>, OrbiMed and 3W.</div><div><div><div class="content-highlight">In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/hbm-holdings-harbour-biomed-ipo-initiation-making-resistance-futile" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:45740" rel="noopener">HBM Holdings (Harbour Biomed) IPO Initiation: Making Resistance Futile</a>, we stated that the prospects of Harbour’s core drug assets are favourable. Overall, a strong cornerstone investor lineup and our valuation analysis suggest that the IPO price range is attractive. </div></div></div>

Harbour Biomed (2142 HK) is a biopharmaceutical company with a focus on discovering, developing and commercialising differentiated antibody therapeutics in immunology and oncology disease areas. Harbour has launched a Hong Kong IPO to raise net proceeds of HK$1,589.5 million ($205 million) at the mid-point of the IPO price range of HK$11.70-12.92 per share.Nine cornerstone investors have agreed to invest about $92 million in the IPO (41.92% of the offer shares at the mid-point of the IPO price range). Cornerstone investors include BlackRock, Hbm Healthcare Investments Ag (HBMN SW), Hillhouse Capital, Hudson Bay Capital, Octagon Capital, Anlan Fund, Legend Holdings Corp H (3396 HK), OrbiMed and 3W.In HBM Holdings (Harbour Biomed) IPO Initiation: Making Resistance Futile, we stated that the prospects of Harbour’s core drug assets are favourable. Overall, a strong cornerstone investor lineup and our valuation analysis suggest that the IPO price range is attractive. 

HBM Holdings (Harbour Biomed) IPO: Valuation Insights

1. Industry viewpoints:<ul>
<li>A related news has been released this week that in 2021, China’s new intensive procurement policy would be applied to orthopedic implant consumables.</li>
<li>With the growth of China's pharmaceutical market, more and more innovative companies focusing on gene therapy are emerging in China, bringing market opportunities for CDMO on gene therapy.</li>
<li>As a financial tool, Commercial insurance will become a key part of pharmaceutical enterprises' marketing to support and maintain patient relationship in the future.</li>
</ul>2. Company news:News about the progress of new drugs and COVID-19 vaccine from Hengrui, Innovent Biologics and Fosun Pharma.3. Market review:Last week, stock price for healthcare sector in A share decreased 2.92%, while CSI 300 increased 0.76% over the same period of time.4. Risk Disclosure:Policy risk, R&amp;D risk, Company risk and COVID-19 risk.

1. Industry viewpoints:
A related news has been released this week that in 2021, China’s new intensive procurement policy would be applied to orthopedic implant consumables.
With the growth of China's pharmaceutical market, more and more innovative companies focusing on gene therapy are emerging in China, bringing market opportunities for CDMO on gene therapy.
As a financial tool, Commercial insurance will become a key part of pharmaceutical enterprises' marketing to support and maintain patient relationship in the future.
2. Company news:News about the progress of new drugs and COVID-19 vaccine from Hengrui, Innovent Biologics and Fosun Pharma.3. Market review:Last week, stock price for healthcare sector in A share decreased 2.92%, while CSI 300 increased 0.76% over the same period of time.4. Risk Disclosure:Policy risk, R&amp;D risk, Company risk and COVID-19 risk.

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

Last month saw China allocations hit record levels across Asia Ex-Japan, Emerging Market and Global active long-only funds.  The average China weight in Asia Ex-Japan funds stands at a record 50.96%, in active GEM funds a record 37.63% and in active Global funds an all-time high of 5.33%However, these increases have come at the expense of greater concentration.  Among Global managers, the top 10 largest China stock holdings now account for 62% of total China allocations, among GEM and Asia Ex-Japan funds just under 50% - an all-time high across all 3 investor groups. Dedicated China managers, however, are more diversified.  In this analysis, we look at the differences between dedicated China funds and their regional peers.  We find that Asia, GEM and Global managers are more concentrated in the Consumer Discretionary and Communication Services sectors, whereas dedicated China managers are more diversified across Technology, Industrials and Health Care stocks.  Regional funds are also underinvested in China A-Shares compared to dedicated China managers, who are running significant overweights vs the MSCI China benchmark.We identify the next generation of Chinese stocks outside of the big index names by following the lead of dedicated managers in the region.  We provide a list of 40 stocks, identified as 'Next Generation' stocks due to their widespread investment in dedicated China funds, but that are currently underowned by Asia Ex-Japan, GEM and Global investors.The list is headed by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jiangsu-hengrui-medicine-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14128:1" rel="noopener">Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine (600276 CH)</a>, one of the standout domestic holdings within the Health Care sector, followed by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-tourism-group-duty-free-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12278:1" rel="noopener">China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp Ltd (601888 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/luxshare-precision-industry-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12310:1" rel="noopener">Luxshare Precision Industry (002475 CH)</a> .Analysis taken from our Global, GEM, Asia Ex-Japan and China fund universes.  Global:  386 Active Funds, combined AUM $750bn                                                                                        GEM:  242 Active Funds, combined AUM $370bn                                                                                          Asia Ex-Japan: 98 Active Funds, combined AUM $70bn                                                                              China:  119 Active Funds, combined AUM $50bn

Last month saw China allocations hit record levels across Asia Ex-Japan, Emerging Market and Global active long-only funds.  The average China weight in Asia Ex-Japan funds stands at a record 50.96%, in active GEM funds a record 37.63% and in active Global funds an all-time high of 5.33%However, these increases have come at the expense of greater concentration.  Among Global managers, the top 10 largest China stock holdings now account for 62% of total China allocations, among GEM and Asia Ex-Japan funds just under 50% - an all-time high across all 3 investor groups. Dedicated China managers, however, are more diversified.  In this analysis, we look at the differences between dedicated China funds and their regional peers.  We find that Asia, GEM and Global managers are more concentrated in the Consumer Discretionary and Communication Services sectors, whereas dedicated China managers are more diversified across Technology, Industrials and Health Care stocks.  Regional funds are also underinvested in China A-Shares compared to dedicated China managers, who are running significant overweights vs the MSCI China benchmark.We identify the next generation of Chinese stocks outside of the big index names by following the lead of dedicated managers in the region.  We provide a list of 40 stocks, identified as 'Next Generation' stocks due to their widespread investment in dedicated China funds, but that are currently underowned by Asia Ex-Japan, GEM and Global investors.The list is headed by Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine (600276 CH), one of the standout domestic holdings within the Health Care sector, followed by China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp Ltd (601888 CH) and Luxshare Precision Industry (002475 CH) .Analysis taken from our Global, GEM, Asia Ex-Japan and China fund universes.  Global:  386 Active Funds, combined AUM $750bn                                                                                        GEM:  242 Active Funds, combined AUM $370bn                                                                                          Asia Ex-Japan: 98 Active Funds, combined AUM $70bn                                                                              China:  119 Active Funds, combined AUM $50bn

China's Next Generation:  Diversifying Away from Tencent and Alibaba.

China

Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine Co., Ltd. develops, manufactures, and markets a variety of medicines and medicine packing materials. The Company's products include anti-tumor medicines, pain-killers, anti-infection medicines, aluminum foil, and other related products.

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Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine (600276 CH)

China Healthcare Weekly (Dec.18)

The article analyzed the news about the negotiation result of PD-1/L1 in China VBP, industry viewpoints about radiotherapy and traditional Chinese...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Livzon Pharmaceutical (000513.CH) - A Good Company that You Can't Afford Missing

This article analyzed Livzon's R&D highlights, main products and pipelines, financial position, and made forecast and rating for the Company.

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

HBM Holdings (Harbour Biomed) IPO: Valuation Insights

Harbour has launched an HK IPO to raise net proceeds of $205 million at the mid-point of the price range. Overall, strong cornerstones and our...

Arun George

China Healthcare Weekly (Nov.27)

This article summarized the new healthcare policy released in China last week, major industry viewpoints, company news and capital market review of...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China's Next Generation: Diversifying Away from Tencent and Alibaba.

China exposure is becoming more concentrated in a small number of large cap stocks. We identify the next generation of China stocks by analyzing...

Steven Holden

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