Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>CJ Corp's share price declined sharply by 10.7% to reach 80,200 won on 4 October. CJ Olive Young is the number one health &amp; beauty store chain in Korea. </li>
<li>According to local media, CJ Olive Young is in danger of being fined large amounts of money by the Fair Trade Commission (FTC).</li>
<li>It appears likely that CJ Corp's share price could fall further close to the five year low end of the trading range (60,000 won) in the next several weeks.</li>
</ul>


CJ Corp's share price declined sharply by 10.7% to reach 80,200 won on 4 October. CJ Olive Young is the number one health &amp; beauty store chain in Korea. 
According to local media, CJ Olive Young is in danger of being fined large amounts of money by the Fair Trade Commission (FTC).
It appears likely that CJ Corp's share price could fall further close to the five year low end of the trading range (60,000 won) in the next several weeks.


CJ Corp: FTC Could Crack Down on CJ Olive Young With Huge Fines

Douglas Research Advisory

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we highlight the recent pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos which could provide trading opportunities in 3Q 2024.</li>
<li>Of the 38 pair trades, 21 of them involved holdcos outperforming opcos in the past six months, suggesting increased capital allocation to Korean holdcos relative to their opcos.</li>
<li>These pairs could generate trading opportunities in terms of their pricing gaps closing reversal (Doosan Corp vs. Doosan Enerbility; Hyundai Mobis vs Hyundai Motor).</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we highlight the recent pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos which could provide trading opportunities in 3Q 2024.
Of the 38 pair trades, 21 of them involved holdcos outperforming opcos in the past six months, suggesting increased capital allocation to Korean holdcos relative to their opcos.
These pairs could generate trading opportunities in terms of their pricing gaps closing reversal (Doosan Corp vs. Doosan Enerbility; Hyundai Mobis vs Hyundai Motor).


Korean Holdcos Vs Opcos Gap Trading Opportunities in 3Q 2024

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices will run from 1 June to 31 August.</li>
<li>We see 6 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 1 new addition to LargeCap, 6 stocks moving from SmallCap to MidCap and 3 new additions to MidCap.</li>
<li>Stocks migrating upward have outperformed stocks migrating lower. But there are still stocks trading at a Price to Book of less than 1.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices will run from 1 June to 31 August.
We see 6 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 1 new addition to LargeCap, 6 stocks moving from SmallCap to MidCap and 3 new additions to MidCap.
Stocks migrating upward have outperformed stocks migrating lower. But there are still stocks trading at a Price to Book of less than 1.


KOSPI Size Indices: Potential Migrations in September Are Moving

<ul>
<li>This insight is a book review of 주주 권리가 없는 나라 (A Country Without Shareholder Rights), which is one of the best books on the corporate governance in Korea.</li>
<li>There are so much wisdom that are included in this book. The author really goes into details about numerous corporate governance problems in Korea and ways to fix them.</li>
<li>This book was published in January 2024 and it was written by a famous Korean retail investor called Park Young-Ok.</li>
</ul>


This insight is a book review of 주주 권리가 없는 나라 (A Country Without Shareholder Rights), which is one of the best books on the corporate governance in Korea.
There are so much wisdom that are included in this book. The author really goes into details about numerous corporate governance problems in Korea and ways to fix them.
This book was published in January 2024 and it was written by a famous Korean retail investor called Park Young-Ok.


A Country Without Shareholder Rights (주주 권리가 없는 나라) - A Book Review

HDC Hyundai Development Co-Engineering & Construction / Equity Bottom-Up

HDC Hyundai Development Co-Engineering & Construction

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we highlight the recent pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos which could provide trading opportunities in 2Q 2024.</li>
<li>Of the 38 pair trades, 26 of them involved holdcos outperforming opcos in the past six months, suggesting increased capital allocation to Korean holdcos relative to their opcos.  </li>
<li>These pairs could generate trading opportunities in terms of their pricing gaps closing reversal. [CJ Corp vs CJ Cheiljedang &amp; Hanjin KAL Corp vs Korean Air Lines].</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we highlight the recent pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos which could provide trading opportunities in 2Q 2024.
Of the 38 pair trades, 26 of them involved holdcos outperforming opcos in the past six months, suggesting increased capital allocation to Korean holdcos relative to their opcos.  
These pairs could generate trading opportunities in terms of their pricing gaps closing reversal. [CJ Corp vs CJ Cheiljedang &amp; Hanjin KAL Corp vs Korean Air Lines].


Korean Holdcos Vs Opcos Gap Trading Opportunities in 2Q 2024

South Korea

Doosan Co., Ltd operates as a diversified manufacturing and service company. The Company conducts electronic components production, logistics equipment manufacturing, information technology consulting, and other businesses. Doosan provides services worldwide.

ALUKO Co., Ltd. manufactures window frames, balconies, and ventilators made of aluminum.  The Company provides various colors and types of aluminum window frames and sashes.  ALUKO also produces steel furniture.

Samsung Engineering Co., Ltd. provides engineering construction and project management services in the domestic and international markets. The Company constructs refinery plants, petrochemical plants, gas plants, hydrocarbon upstream, power plants, metallurgy plant, industrial plants, and water treatment facilities.

LS Corp is a holding company, which operated subsidiaries including LS Industrial Systems, LS Cable, LS-Nikko Copper and LS Mtron.

Hyundai Rotem Company Ltd. manufactures railroad equipment and defense vehicles. The Company produces high-speed trains, light rail vehicles, locomotives, and passenger coaches, main battle tanks, armored recovery vehicles, and related defense equipment. Hyundai Rotem operates worldwide.

Hyundai Mipo Dockyard Co., Ltd. is shipbuilders in the sectors of medium-sized conventional ships and specialized vessels. The Company constructs and delivers medium-ranged product carriers, chemical tankers, containerships, LPG carriers, pure car truck carriers and others.

Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co., Ltd., a general construction company, provides civil engineering, architectural, industrial, and electrical engineering services.  The Company constructs roadways, dams, bridges, ports, industrial plants, apartment complexes, and cultural facilities.

Hyundai Engineering & Construction (000720 KS)

Korea Aerospace Industries Ltd. designs and produces aircraft parts including fixed wings for aircrafts and rotary wings for helicopters. The Company also engages in aircraft upgrade and modification business and satellite development business.

L&F Co., Ltd. develops and manufactures battery materials. The Company produces and sells cathode active materials, anode materials, electrolyte, separator, and other products. L&F markets its products throughout Korea.

Bobcat Company specializes in design, manufacture, marketing and distribution of compact equipment for construction, rental, landscaping, agriculture, grounds maintenance, government, utility, industry and mining.

GT Capital Holdings Inc. is an investment holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides banking, automotive, property development, infrastructure, utilities, and insurance services.

Berli Jucker PCL is a large Thai conglomerate whose business spans various industries. The Company's operations include the distribution and manufacturing of its own products plus contract distribution and manufacturing for other firms. BJC's core lines of business are packaging, consumer, healthcare, technical and other businesses.

DMCI Holdings Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides general construction and infrastructure construction. DMCI also develops real estate and mines coal. In addition, DMCI manufactures cement and other products.

China Baoan Group Co., Ltd. develops, leases, and manages residential and commercial real estate properties in Shenzhen, Wuhan, Hainan, and Shanghai areas.  Through its subsidiaries, the Company also produces medical products and sells its products on a retail chain stores basis.

Hap Seng Consolidated Berhad is an investment holding company.  The Company, through its subsidiaries, operates oil palm and cocoa plantations, trades heavy equipment and motor vehicles, fabricates and sells commercial trailers and tankers, provides leasing and money lending, and manufactures agricultural fertilizers, agro-chemicals, building materials, and plantation supplies.

Aboitiz Equity Ventures Inc., through its subsidiaries, distributes and generates power, provides financial services, manufactures food, and provides inter-island transportation services.

Daetwyler Holding AG manufactures rubber components and sealing solutions for the automotive, pharmaceutical and civil engineering industries. The company also distributes electronic, automation, engineering and IT components and accessories.

Alfa, S.A.B. de C.V. through subsidiaries, operates petrochemical, food processing, automotive and telecommunication businesses. The Company produces refrigerated food products, high-tech engine aluminum heads and blocks for gasoline and diesel.

Yazicilar Holding AS is the holding company for the Yazici family's interest in Anadolu Holding, a diversified group with interests in beverage, automotive, financial services and writing instrument companies.

Dubai Investments PJSC offers venture capital.  The Company invests in joint ventures and local companies.  Dubai Investments holds interests in dairy farms, publishers and real estate developers, and manufacturers of glass, pharmaceuticals, vegetable oils, building materials, and aluminum extrusions.

CJ Corp. is an investment holding company.  The Company, through its subsidiaries, manufactures processed food products.  The subsidiaries' products include refined sugar, monosodium glutamate (MSG), condiment, wheat powder, flour, cooking oil, processed meats, and animal feed.

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CJ Corp (001040 KS)

CJ Corp: FTC Could Crack Down on CJ Olive Young With Huge Fines

We believe that the FTC is likely to levy huge amount of fines on CJ Olive Young due to unfair business practices including forcing its suppliers...

Douglas Kim

Korean Holdcos Vs Opcos Gap Trading Opportunities in 3Q 2024

In this insight, we highlight the recent pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos which could provide trading opportunities in...

Douglas Kim

KOSPI Size Indices: Potential Migrations in September Are Moving

There are many changes expected for the KOSPI size indices in September. The potential upward migrations have outperformed the potential downward...

Brian Freitas

A Country Without Shareholder Rights (주주 권리가 없는 나라) - A Book Review

This insight is a book review of 주주 권리가 없는 나라 (A Country Without Shareholder Rights), which is one of the best books on the corporate governance in...

Douglas Kim

Korean Holdcos Vs Opcos Gap Trading Opportunities in 2Q 2024

In this insight, we highlight the recent pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos which could provide trading opportunities in...

Douglas Kim

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