IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nws-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3350:1" rel="noopener">Nws Holdings (659 HK)</a>’s IFA opines that the conditional voluntary general offer from the Cheng family is fair and reasonable. The offer + 2H dividend is HK$9.46 per share.</li>
<li>The key condition is (majority vote) approval by independent NWD shareholders (EGM on 2 November). The timetable is designed such that the shareholders will also receive the NWS final dividend.</li>
<li>NWD has a high but declining AGM minority participation rate. Retail forums suggest support for the transaction. On balance, we believe that this deal gets up. </li>
</ul>



Nws Holdings (659 HK)’s IFA opines that the conditional voluntary general offer from the Cheng family is fair and reasonable. The offer + 2H dividend is HK$9.46 per share.
The key condition is (majority vote) approval by independent NWD shareholders (EGM on 2 November). The timetable is designed such that the shareholders will also receive the NWS final dividend.
NWD has a high but declining AGM minority participation rate. Retail forums suggest support for the transaction. On balance, we believe that this deal gets up. 


NWS Holding (659 HK): Offer Opens with NWD Vote on 2 November

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>Accelerating the Offer timetable for <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nws-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3350:1" rel="noopener">NWS (659 HK)</a></strong> such that it closes before the dividend ex-date appeared stingy. But why pay dividends to shareholders that won’t hold the shares anymore?</li>
<li>Those concerns have been put to rest with the despatch of NWS' Composite Doc and <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/new-world-development" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7037:1" rel="noopener">New World (17 HK)</a></strong>'s Circular, guaranteeing all shareholders the dividend, no matter the Offer outcome.</li>
<li>The key risk now is NWD's independent shareholder vote. On balance, this should get up.</li>
</ul>


Accelerating the Offer timetable for NWS (659 HK) such that it closes before the dividend ex-date appeared stingy. But why pay dividends to shareholders that won’t hold the shares anymore?
Those concerns have been put to rest with the despatch of NWS' Composite Doc and New World (17 HK)'s Circular, guaranteeing all shareholders the dividend, no matter the Offer outcome.
The key risk now is NWD's independent shareholder vote. On balance, this should get up.


NWS (659 HK): Final Divvie Assured. NWD Vote Risk Remains

Quantitative Researcher, MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Quantitative Researcher

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

<ul>
<li>Our <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/eqd-hang-seng-index-hsi-weekly-weak-bounce-resistance-analysis" target="_blank" rel="noopener">previous insight</a> correctly predicted the current pullback for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Index (HSI)</a>, now let's analyze MRM WEEKLY support prices, to identify when/where a bounce could begin.</li>
<li>The 17835-17105 support price area is where the index should stop and bounce, however depending on the duration of the pullback the % correction could vary wildly.</li>
<li>If the index is about to bounce, it should bounce this week or the next, if it falls &gt;3 weeks down, it could enter a downward spiral towards 15707.</li>
</ul>


Our previous insight correctly predicted the current pullback for the Hang Seng Index (HSI), now let's analyze MRM WEEKLY support prices, to identify when/where a bounce could begin.
The 17835-17105 support price area is where the index should stop and bounce, however depending on the duration of the pullback the % correction could vary wildly.
If the index is about to bounce, it should bounce this week or the next, if it falls &gt;3 weeks down, it could enter a downward spiral towards 15707.


EQD | Hang Seng Index (HSI) Post-Typhoon WEEKLY Trend Analysis

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>On 16th Nov 22, post-market close, along with its 3Q22 results Tencent declared an interim dividend by way of distribution in specie of Class B Ordinary shares of Meituan.</li>
<li>At the time of declaration, the dividend amounted to US$20bn or 15.5% of Meituan’s outstanding shares. Its value has since declined to US$17bn.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the implications of the deal and what one can glean from looking at the previous dividend payout for JD.com.</li>
</ul>


On 16th Nov 22, post-market close, along with its 3Q22 results Tencent declared an interim dividend by way of distribution in specie of Class B Ordinary shares of Meituan.
At the time of declaration, the dividend amounted to US$20bn or 15.5% of Meituan’s outstanding shares. Its value has since declined to US$17bn.
In this note, we talk about the implications of the deal and what one can glean from looking at the previous dividend payout for JD.com.


Tencent Meituan Dividend - The US$17bn Overhang Is Almost Here - Lesson from JD.com

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>China Vanke aims to raise around US$500m in its H-share primary placement.</li>
<li>Vanke had recently stated that it aimed to raise around US$2bn via an A-share private placement, so a placement was expected for sure.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>


China Vanke aims to raise around US$500m in its H-share primary placement.
Vanke had recently stated that it aimed to raise around US$2bn via an A-share private placement, so a placement was expected for sure.
In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.


China Vanke Placement - A Placement Was Expected, Unclear if It Was This One

Hong Kong

CK Hutchison Holdings Limited holds all of the non-property businesses of the Cheung Kong Group and the Hutchison Group, including ports and related services, telecommunications, retail, infrastructure, energy, and movable assets leasing operations.

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CK Hutchison Holdings (1 HK)

NWS Holding (659 HK): Offer Opens with NWD Vote on 2 November

NWD shareholders overwhelmingly approved the two ordinary resolutions at the EGM. Therefore, the offer will be declared unconditional on 9 Nov, and...

Arun George

NWS (659 HK): Final Divvie Assured. NWD Vote Risk Remains

The NWD vote risk is non-negligible when looking at minority action at past AGM/EGM voting. This is trading at a gross spread of 4.3% inclusive of...

David Blennerhassett

EQD | Hang Seng Index (HSI) Post-Typhoon WEEKLY Trend Analysis

Analysis of Hang Seng Index WEEKLY support prices. Identification of areas for potential bounce and timing. If the index does not bounce within 2...

Nico Rosti

Tencent Meituan Dividend - The US$17bn Overhang Is Almost Here - Lesson from JD.com

On 16th Nov 22, Tencent declared an interim dividend by way of distribution in specie of Class B Ordinary shares of Meituan. The US$17bn overhang...

Sumeet Singh

China Vanke Placement - A Placement Was Expected, Unclear if It Was This One

China Vanke aims to raise around US$500m in its H-share primary placement. In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through...

Sumeet Singh

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