Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The review period for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX)</a> March rebalance ends end January. There could be three changes at the rebalance with sector balance in focus.</li>
<li>Depending on the changes, passive trackers will need to buy between 6-28x ADV (11-50% of real float) on the inclusions and sell between 2.8-44x ADV on the deletions.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fast-retailing-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:751:1" rel="noopener">Fast Retailing (9983 JP)</a> could be capped at 11% of the index weight and there will be buying in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nitori-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20386:1" rel="noopener">Nitori Holdings (9843 JP)</a> due to the stepwise addition.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX) March rebalance ends end January. There could be three changes at the rebalance with sector balance in focus.
Depending on the changes, passive trackers will need to buy between 6-28x ADV (11-50% of real float) on the inclusions and sell between 2.8-44x ADV on the deletions.

Fast Retailing (9983 JP) could be capped at 11% of the index weight and there will be buying in Nitori Holdings (9843 JP) due to the stepwise addition.


Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance Preview (Mar 2024): Ranking, Capping, Funding & Other Changes

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tesserent-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30716:1" rel="noopener">Tesserent Ltd (TNT AU)</a> has entered into a scheme implementation deed with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thales-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21483:1" rel="noopener">Thales SA (HO FP)</a> at A$0.13 per share, a juicy 165.3% premium to the undisturbed price (9 June).</li>
<li>The offer is subject to several conditions such as shareholder, FIRB and OIO approval. FIRB approval is likely due to Australia and France being part of the Nine Eyes alliance.</li>
<li>Despite the substantial premium, shareholders' acceptance of the offer could be a risk due to their higher buy-in prices. At the last close, the gross spread is 8.3%.</li>
</ul>



Tesserent Ltd (TNT AU) has entered into a scheme implementation deed with Thales SA (HO FP) at A$0.13 per share, a juicy 165.3% premium to the undisturbed price (9 June).
The offer is subject to several conditions such as shareholder, FIRB and OIO approval. FIRB approval is likely due to Australia and France being part of the Nine Eyes alliance.
Despite the substantial premium, shareholders' acceptance of the offer could be a risk due to their higher buy-in prices. At the last close, the gross spread is 8.3%.


Tesserent (TNT AU): Thales’s A$0.13 Offer

Research from Water Tower Research, Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research

Research from Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research is a leading equity research firm that provides research on micro, small and mid cap companies.

Water Tower Research was founded by Wall Street veterans after witnessing a fundamental shift in the investment research industry with the result being a declining knowledge base among investors, a lack of awareness and a shrinking pool of fundamental research being conducted on companies across the small-cap and micro-cap spectrum. The same issues are now increasingly occurring in the mid-cap space. This sea change within the investment community is impacting not only the companies themselves but also current shareholders and potential investors. With significantly less active sell-side sponsorship by Wall Street, a substantial information gap has developed between companies and various constituents in the financial community. The net result is fewer channels for insight and information to flow between companies and investors.

Equity Research Firm

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The global cybersecurity market was valued at $105 billion in 2022 and is projected to grow to $266 billion by 2027, a CAGR of 8.9%.</li><li>The number of cyberattacks is growing at a significant rate.</li><li>In 2021, there were more than 6.5 billion cyberattacks worldwide.</li></ul>

The global cybersecurity market was valued at $105 billion in 2022 and is projected to grow to $266 billion by 2027, a CAGR of 8.9%.The number of cyberattacks is growing at a significant rate.In 2021, there were more than 6.5 billion cyberattacks worldwide.

Tech Talk: Cybersecurity : What's the Latest? How Big Is It? Who Is in the Game?

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trend-micro-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13172:1" rel="noopener">Trend Micro Inc (4704 JP)</a> is an interesting, but odd little company in an interesting odd little niche. They make cybersecurity products and are good at it. </li>
<li>Last summer, well-known activist Value Act Capital showed up on the tape in August with an 8.7% position. </li>
<li>What had been good dividend payout ratios are now cemented. Now there is a big buyback to return cash. Look for more. And as always, details matter. </li>
</ul>



Trend Micro Inc (4704 JP) is an interesting, but odd little company in an interesting odd little niche. They make cybersecurity products and are good at it. 
Last summer, well-known activist Value Act Capital showed up on the tape in August with an 8.7% position. 
What had been good dividend payout ratios are now cemented. Now there is a big buyback to return cash. Look for more. And as always, details matter. 


Trend Micro (4704 JP) - Value Act's Activism Starts To Show, But It's Still Small Potatoes

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

<ul>
<li>In the past 24 hours, there have been many news flow about numerous US airports that have been cyber attacked by suspects from Russia. </li>
<li>The increasing media attention on cyberattack threat could result in greater concerns about cybersecurity inducing higher global spending on software and other services that help to protect against cyber attacks. </li>
<li>Global cybersecurity stocks that could benefit from greater media attention on cyberattacks include Palo Alto Networks (PANW US)  Crowdstrike Holdings Inc (CRWD US)  CloudFlare (NET US).  </li>
</ul>


In the past 24 hours, there have been many news flow about numerous US airports that have been cyber attacked by suspects from Russia. 
The increasing media attention on cyberattack threat could result in greater concerns about cybersecurity inducing higher global spending on software and other services that help to protect against cyber attacks. 
Global cybersecurity stocks that could benefit from greater media attention on cyberattacks include Palo Alto Networks (PANW US)  Crowdstrike Holdings Inc (CRWD US)  CloudFlare (NET US).  


Cyberattacks at Numerous US Airports by Suspects from Russia

Japan

Trend Micro Incorporated develops and markets anti-virus computer software and internet security software.  The Company also sells its products in the United States, Europe, and Asia.

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Trend Micro Inc (4704 JP)

Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance Preview (Mar 2024): Ranking, Capping, Funding & Other Changes

There could be 3 changes in March + Fast Retailing capping. Stepwise inclusion of Nitori too. Socionext could be an add if it splits its stock. As...

Brian Freitas

Tesserent (TNT AU): Thales’s A$0.13 Offer

Despite the substantial premium, shareholders' acceptance of the offer could be a risk due to their higher buy-in prices. At the last close, the...

Arun George

Tech Talk: Cybersecurity : What's the Latest? How Big Is It? Who Is in the Game?

The global cybersecurity market was valued at $105 billion in 2022 and is projected to grow to $266 billion by 2027, a CAGR of 8.9%.

Water Tower Research

Trend Micro (4704 JP) - Value Act's Activism Starts To Show, But It's Still Small Potatoes

Trend Micro has long been somewhat cash-heavy. They had a high div payout ratio but kept on accumulating cash. Value Act bought big last August....

Travis Lundy

Cyberattacks at Numerous US Airports by Suspects from Russia

In the past 24 hours, there have been many news flow about numerous US airports that have been cyber attacked by suspects from Russia. This could...

Douglas Kim

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