Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/budweiser-brewing-co-apac-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28077:1" rel="noopener">Budweiser Brewing APAC (1876 HK)</a> has seen investors run for the hills over the last year. The halving of the stock price could mean deletion from passive portfolios.</li>
<li>Other Hong Kong listed brewers, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-resources-beer-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:399:1" rel="noopener">China Resources Beer Holdings (291 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tsingtao-brewery-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1296:1" rel="noopener">Tsingtao Brewery Co Ltd H (168 HK)</a> have been beaten down too and have underperformed their Asian peers.</li>
<li>The deletion from passive portfolios could provide a buying opportunity in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/budweiser-brewing-co-apac-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28077:1" rel="noopener">Budweiser Brewing APAC (1876 HK)</a> at the end of February (or earlier if the stock drops due to positioning).</li>
</ul>



Budweiser Brewing APAC (1876 HK) has seen investors run for the hills over the last year. The halving of the stock price could mean deletion from passive portfolios.
Other Hong Kong listed brewers, China Resources Beer Holdings (291 HK) and Tsingtao Brewery Co Ltd H (168 HK) have been beaten down too and have underperformed their Asian peers.
The deletion from passive portfolios could provide a buying opportunity in Budweiser Brewing APAC (1876 HK) at the end of February (or earlier if the stock drops due to positioning).


Bud APAC (1876 HK): Nursing a Hangover; Now Comes a Passive Overhang

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Weilong Delicious Global Holdi / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/weilong-delicious-global-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33378:1" rel="noopener">Weilong Delicious Global (9985 HK)</a>, a spicy snack food company in China, raised around US$130m in its Hong Kong IPO in Dec 2022.</li>
<li>According to F&amp;S, WDG ranked first among spicy snack food enterprises in China, with a market share of 6.2%, and in the seasoned flour product and spicy vegetable snacks categories</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.</li>
</ul>



Weilong Delicious Global (9985 HK), a spicy snack food company in China, raised around US$130m in its Hong Kong IPO in Dec 2022.
According to F&amp;S, WDG ranked first among spicy snack food enterprises in China, with a market share of 6.2%, and in the seasoned flour product and spicy vegetable snacks categories
In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.


Weilong Delicious Global IPO Lock-Up - Now for the Re-IPO with 10x Increase in Free Float

<ul>
<li>Giant Biogene raised around US$70m in its Hong Kong IPO, after having downsized the deal and priced it at the low-end. Its six-month lockup will expire soon.</li>
<li>GB is a leader in the bioactive ingredient-based professional skin treatment product industry in China.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.</li>
</ul>


Giant Biogene raised around US$70m in its Hong Kong IPO, after having downsized the deal and priced it at the low-end. Its six-month lockup will expire soon.
GB is a leader in the bioactive ingredient-based professional skin treatment product industry in China.
In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.


Giant Biogene IPO Lock-Up - US$1.7bn Lockup Release Will Increase Free Float by 14x

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amer-sports-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21751:1" rel="noopener">Amer Sports (AS US)</a> raised around US$1.3bn in its US IPO in Feb 2024, after pricing its IPO below its initial range.</li>
<li>Amer Sports is a sports and outdoor brands company making clothing and other sporting equipment for use in snow sports, running, climbing, baseball, american football, tennis and other sports.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the upcoming lock-up expiry and deal dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Amer Sports (AS US) raised around US$1.3bn in its US IPO in Feb 2024, after pricing its IPO below its initial range.
Amer Sports is a sports and outdoor brands company making clothing and other sporting equipment for use in snow sports, running, climbing, baseball, american football, tennis and other sports.
In this note, we talk about the upcoming lock-up expiry and deal dynamics.


Amer Sports IPO Lock-Up Expiry - PE Investor Might Look to Trim US$750m Stake

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Equity Bottom-Up

Budweiser Brewing  APAC  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Hong Kong market still trades at a substantial discount to Analyst year end price targets.</li>
<li>Budweiser APAC is dependent on China's consumer to lift sales while Anta Sports is targeting increased sales from the upcoming Paris Olympics.</li>
<li>Sunny Optical is seeing substantial growth from it EV segment and Haitian continues to grow its international sales.  Shineway RX is a rare value play in the pharmaceutical sector.</li>
</ul>


Hong Kong market still trades at a substantial discount to Analyst year end price targets.
Budweiser APAC is dependent on China's consumer to lift sales while Anta Sports is targeting increased sales from the upcoming Paris Olympics.
Sunny Optical is seeing substantial growth from it EV segment and Haitian continues to grow its international sales.  Shineway RX is a rare value play in the pharmaceutical sector.


BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Stocks Update (July 15)

China

Tsingtao Brewery Company Limited produces and distributes beer products.  The Company markets its products throughout China and around the world under the Tsingtao Beer brand name.

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Tsingtao Brewery Co Ltd H (168 HK)

Bud APAC (1876 HK): Nursing a Hangover; Now Comes a Passive Overhang

Bud APAC is up since the Insight was published and is near the upper end of the downward sloping channel. With Hong Kong closed Monday and Tuesday...

Brian Freitas

Weilong Delicious Global IPO Lock-Up - Now for the Re-IPO with 10x Increase in Free Float

Weilong Delicious Global (9985 HK), a spicy snack food company in China, raised around US$130m in its Hong Kong IPO in Dec 2022. In this note, we...

Sumeet Singh

Giant Biogene IPO Lock-Up - US$1.7bn Lockup Release Will Increase Free Float by 14x

Giant Biogene raised around US$70m in its Hong Kong IPO, after having downsized the deal and priced it at the low-end. Its six-month lockup will...

Sumeet Singh

Amer Sports IPO Lock-Up Expiry - PE Investor Might Look to Trim US$750m Stake

Amer Sports (AS US) raised around US$1.3bn in its US IPO in Feb 2024, after pricing its IPO below its initial range. Its pre-IPO investors will be...

Sumeet Singh

BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Stocks Update (July 15)

Hong Kong markets continue to trade at a 25% discount to analysts year end targets. Bud APAC, Anta Sports, Sunny Optical and Shineway RX are...

David Mudd

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