Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we highlight the pricing gap divergence of the major Korean holdcos and opcos amid market carnage.</li>
<li>In general, more holdcos/quasi-holdcos have been outperforming the opcos in the past year, as compared to the previous years as more investors seek value-oriented, deep NAV discount stocks.</li>
<li>We highlight 26 pair trades that involve Korean holdcos and opcos.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we highlight the pricing gap divergence of the major Korean holdcos and opcos amid market carnage.
In general, more holdcos/quasi-holdcos have been outperforming the opcos in the past year, as compared to the previous years as more investors seek value-oriented, deep NAV discount stocks.
We highlight 26 pair trades that involve Korean holdcos and opcos.


Korean Holdcos Vs Opcos Gap Spreads Opportunities Amid Market Carnage

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/calb-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35985:1" rel="noopener">CALB (3931 HK)</a> priced its H Share at HK$38.00 per share to raise net proceeds of HK$9.9 billion (US$1.3 billion). The H Share will start trading tomorrow.</li>
<li>Grey market prices across various platforms show the shares last traded at HK$37.30-38.00 per share i.e., -2% down to unchanged compared to the IPO price.</li>
<li>Despite peer multiple derating, the IPO price continues to imply a discount to the median peer CY2023 EV/EBITDA multiple. CALB should be, at least, valued in line with peer multiples.</li>
</ul>



CALB (3931 HK) priced its H Share at HK$38.00 per share to raise net proceeds of HK$9.9 billion (US$1.3 billion). The H Share will start trading tomorrow.
Grey market prices across various platforms show the shares last traded at HK$37.30-38.00 per share i.e., -2% down to unchanged compared to the IPO price.
Despite peer multiple derating, the IPO price continues to imply a discount to the median peer CY2023 EV/EBITDA multiple. CALB should be, at least, valued in line with peer multiples.


Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In early Jun 2022, Alipay raised around US$386m via selling 3.3% of outstanding shares of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kakao-pay-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29675:1" rel="noopener">Kakao Pay (377300 KS)</a>. That was the first selldown by Alipay  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:787:1" rel="noopener">(Alibaba (ADR) (BABA US)</a>).  </li>
<li>Despite pricing the shares at an enticing 11.8% discount to last close, the stock failed to hold the deal price and hasn’t looked back since.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the previous deal and the upcoming lockup expiry.</li>
</ul>


In early Jun 2022, Alipay raised around US$386m via selling 3.3% of outstanding shares of Kakao Pay (377300 KS). That was the first selldown by Alipay  (Alibaba (ADR) (BABA US)).  
Despite pricing the shares at an enticing 11.8% discount to last close, the stock failed to hold the deal price and hasn’t looked back since.
In this note, we will talk about the previous deal and the upcoming lockup expiry.


Kakao Pay Placement Lockup Expiry - Alipay Is Soon Going to Be Free to Shed Its US$1.6bn Stake

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/calb-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35985:1" rel="noopener">CALB (CALBLZ CH)</a> has launched its HKEx listing at HK$38.00-51.00 per share to raise up to US$1.7 billion. Books are open from 23 to 28 September.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/calb-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:80243" rel="noopener">CALB IPO: The Bull Case</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/calb-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:80286" rel="noopener">CALB IPO: The Bear Case</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/calb-ipo-updates-support-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:80643" rel="noopener">CALB IPO: Updates Support the Bull Case</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/calb-ipo-what-s-it-worth" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:80842" rel="noopener">CALB IPO: What's It Worth?</a>.</li>
<li>CALB should be, at least, valued in line with the median peer multiples. CALB is attractively valued at the IPO price range. We would participate. </li>
</ul>



CALB (CALBLZ CH) has launched its HKEx listing at HK$38.00-51.00 per share to raise up to US$1.7 billion. Books are open from 23 to 28 September.
We previously discussed the IPO in CALB IPO: The Bull Case, CALB IPO: The Bear Case, CALB IPO: Updates Support the Bull Case, CALB IPO: What's It Worth?.
CALB should be, at least, valued in line with the median peer multiples. CALB is attractively valued at the IPO price range. We would participate. 


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/calb-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35985:1" rel="noopener">CALB (CALBLZ CH)</a>, a leading EV battery manufacturer, is seeking to raise US$2.0 billion through an HKEx IPO, according to press reports.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/calb-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:80243" rel="noopener">CALB IPO: The Bull Case</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/calb-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:80286" rel="noopener">CALB IPO: The Bear Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/calb-ipo-updates-support-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:80643" rel="noopener">CALB IPO: Updates Support the Bull Case</a>.</li>
<li>In this note, we present our forecasts and take the first look at CALB's potential valuation range. </li>
</ul>



CALB (CALBLZ CH), a leading EV battery manufacturer, is seeking to raise US$2.0 billion through an HKEx IPO, according to press reports.
We previously discussed the IPO in CALB IPO: The Bull Case, CALB IPO: The Bear Case and CALB IPO: Updates Support the Bull Case.
In this note, we present our forecasts and take the first look at CALB's potential valuation range. 


South Korea

SK Innovation Co., Ltd. refines, markets, and distributes oil.  The Company produces a variety of petroleum products, such as gasoline, kerosene, liquefied petroleumgas (LPG), and diesel oil.  SK Energy also manufactures petrochemical p roducts, including paraxylene, synthetic resins, styrene monomer, and ethylene.

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SK Innovation (096770 KS)

Korean Holdcos Vs Opcos Gap Spreads Opportunities Amid Market Carnage

In this insight, we highlight the pricing gap divergence of the major Korean holdcos and opcos amid market carnage. We highlight 26 pair trades...

Douglas Kim

CALB IPO: Trading Debut

Grey market prices are down -2% to flat to the IPO price. Despite peer multiple derating, the IPO price implies a discount to the median peer EV...

Arun George

Kakao Pay Placement Lockup Expiry - Alipay Is Soon Going to Be Free to Shed Its US$1.6bn Stake

In early Jun 2022, Alipay raised around US$386m via selling 3.3% of outstanding shares of Kakao Pay (377300 KS). That was the first selldown by...

Sumeet Singh

CALB IPO: Valuation Insights

CALB has launched its HKEx listing at HK$38.00-51.00 per share to raise up to US$1.7 billion. It is attractively valued at the IPO price range. We...

Arun George

CALB IPO: What's It Worth?

CALB is seeking to raise US$2.0 billion through an HKEx IPO. In this note, we present our forecasts and take the first look at CALB's potential...

Arun George

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