IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

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<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wcp-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36076:1" rel="noopener">WCP (WCP KS)</a>, a lithium-ion batteries separator company, has pushed back its KRW900 billion (US$692 million) KRX IPO timeline from August to mid-September.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/wcp-ipo-hooked-on-lithium" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:72863" rel="noopener">WCP IPO: Hooked on Lithium</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/wcp-ipo-valuation-insights" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:73042" rel="noopener">WCP IPO: Valuation Insights</a>. </li>
<li>In this note, we benchmark WCP vs its peers in terms of historical and forecasted financials along with multiples. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range remains unattractive.</li>
</ul>



WCP (WCP KS), a lithium-ion batteries separator company, has pushed back its KRW900 billion (US$692 million) KRX IPO timeline from August to mid-September.
We previously discussed the IPO In WCP IPO: Hooked on Lithium and WCP IPO: Valuation Insights. 
In this note, we benchmark WCP vs its peers in terms of historical and forecasted financials along with multiples. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range remains unattractive.


WCP IPO: Kicking the Can Down the Road Through a Revised IPO Timetable

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wcp-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36076:1" rel="noopener">WCP (WCP KS)</a>, a lithium-ion batteries separator company, is planning to launch a KRW900 billion (US$692 million) IPO in August.</li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/wcp-ipo-hooked-on-lithium" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:72863" rel="noopener">WCP IPO: Hooked on Lithium</a> we noted that WCP has attractive fundamentals due to the favourable demand/supply balance, technology, strong revenue growth and improving margins. </li>
<li>In this note, we look at the syndicate's valuation methodology. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is unattractive and we would pass on the IPO.</li>
</ul>



WCP (WCP KS), a lithium-ion batteries separator company, is planning to launch a KRW900 billion (US$692 million) IPO in August.
In WCP IPO: Hooked on Lithium we noted that WCP has attractive fundamentals due to the favourable demand/supply balance, technology, strong revenue growth and improving margins. 
In this note, we look at the syndicate's valuation methodology. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is unattractive and we would pass on the IPO.


Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

Mirae Asset TIGER Secondary Cell ETF / Event-Driven

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<li>In general, the projection hit rate for the top market cap constituents was sufficiently high. And the correlation between their stock price direction and passive flow was also high.</li>
<li>However, the projection hit rate for the constituents with a small market cap was relatively low.</li>
<li>If we traded the proposed tradable names with an equal-weighted Long/Short basket, we would have achieved a return of 1.76%. Even excluding Hanjin Kal, we would have achieved 1.31%.</li>
</ul>


In general, the projection hit rate for the top market cap constituents was sufficiently high. And the correlation between their stock price direction and passive flow was also high.
However, the projection hit rate for the constituents with a small market cap was relatively low.
If we traded the proposed tradable names with an equal-weighted Long/Short basket, we would have achieved a return of 1.76%. Even excluding Hanjin Kal, we would have achieved 1.31%.


Recap on WISE Theme Indexes (TIGER ETFs) Rebalancing Trading on April 14

<ul>
<li>Three WISE theme indexes undergo quarterly rebalancing today at the close.</li>
<li>The flow projections shown below in the DETAIL are based on the closing prices of April 12.</li>
<li>We have 13 Long/Short tradable names based on these flow projections: an ADTV of at least ₩10B &amp; a passive flow impact of 0.10x ADTV or more</li>
</ul>


Three WISE theme indexes undergo quarterly rebalancing today at the close.
The flow projections shown below in the DETAIL are based on the closing prices of April 12.
We have 13 Long/Short tradable names based on these flow projections: an ADTV of at least ₩10B &amp; a passive flow impact of 0.10x ADTV or more


WISE Theme Indexes Rebalancing Today: Flow Projections as of Close on April 12

<ul>
<li>Next Thursday, the rebalancing trading of the WISE Secondary Cell Index will occur. The current AUM is ₩1.26T, and the AUM has slightly increased in the last two weeks.</li>
<li>Six names (2 Longs &amp; 4 Shorts) are screened: SK Innovation, LG Energy Solution, Posco Chemical, SKC Co Ltd, Iljin Materials, &amp; Solus Advanced Materials. </li>
<li>Considering the 20-day price returns, long/short basket trading seems valid as the long targets have relatively outperformed. However, since Solus Advanced Materials is short-restricted, we need to exclude it.</li>
</ul>


Next Thursday, the rebalancing trading of the WISE Secondary Cell Index will occur. The current AUM is ₩1.26T, and the AUM has slightly increased in the last two weeks.
Six names (2 Longs &amp; 4 Shorts) are screened: SK Innovation, LG Energy Solution, Posco Chemical, SKC Co Ltd, Iljin Materials, &amp; Solus Advanced Materials. 
Considering the 20-day price returns, long/short basket trading seems valid as the long targets have relatively outperformed. However, since Solus Advanced Materials is short-restricted, we need to exclude it.


WISE Secondary Cell Rebalancing (TIGER ETF): Long/Short Tradable Names

South Korea

Posco Future M Co., Ltd. manufactures and distributes energy materials. The Company produces battery materials, advanced chemical materials, basic industrial materials, and other related products. Posco Future M also produces lime chemical and refractory products.

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Posco Future M (003670 KS)

WCP IPO: Kicking the Can Down the Road Through a Revised IPO Timetable

We benchmark WCP vs its peers in terms of historical and forecasted financials along with multiples. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO...

Arun George

WCP IPO: Valuation Insights

WCP aims to launch a KRW900 billion (US$692 million) IPO in August. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is unattractive and we...

Arun George

Recap on WISE Theme Indexes (TIGER ETFs) Rebalancing Trading on April 14

This post is a recap of our flow trading on the WISE Theme Indexes (TIGER ETFs) rebalancing, which was carried out on April 14.

Sanghyun Park

WISE Theme Indexes Rebalancing Today: Flow Projections as of Close on April 12

Three WISE Theme Indexes undergo quarterly rebalancing today at the close. This post screens 13 tradable names for a Long/Short basket day trading.

Sanghyun Park

WISE Secondary Cell Rebalancing (TIGER ETF): Long/Short Tradable Names

This post recommends Long/Short tradable names for the rebalancing trading event of the WISE Secondary Cell Index (TIGER ETF) next Thursday.

Sanghyun Park

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