Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Our base case valuation of Amorepacific Group suggests an implied price of 73,291 won per share, representing a 32% upside from current levels. The five main components of the valuation include a) investments in publicly listed companies of which the biggest portion is Amorepacific Group's 37.5% stake in Amorepacific Corp (common), b) investments in private companies, c) core business value, d) net cash, and e) holdco discount. </li>
<li>Amorepacific Group's Chairman Seo Kyung-Bae decided to put in a <strong>new, younger<a href="https://www.koreatimes.co.kr/www/tech/2020/11/694_299265.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener"> CEO</a> (Kim Seung-Hwan)</strong> (age 51) on 12 November, in efforts to shake up the management team and turnaround the company.</li>
<li>The gap between Amorepacific Corp and Amorepacfic Group's share prices has widened this year. Amorepacific Corp's share price is down by 6.3% YTD whereas Amorepacific Group's share price is down by 32.8% YTD.</li>
</ul>


Our base case valuation of Amorepacific Group suggests an implied price of 73,291 won per share, representing a 32% upside from current levels. The five main components of the valuation include a) investments in publicly listed companies of which the biggest portion is Amorepacific Group's 37.5% stake in Amorepacific Corp (common), b) investments in private companies, c) core business value, d) net cash, and e) holdco discount. 
Amorepacific Group's Chairman Seo Kyung-Bae decided to put in a new, younger CEO (Kim Seung-Hwan) (age 51) on 12 November, in efforts to shake up the management team and turnaround the company.
The gap between Amorepacific Corp and Amorepacfic Group's share prices has widened this year. Amorepacific Corp's share price is down by 6.3% YTD whereas Amorepacific Group's share price is down by 32.8% YTD.


Amorepacific Group: A New CEO & SoTP Valuation Discount

<div class="content-highlight">
<p><strong>Amorepacific Corp is our 2021 high conviction idea in Korea. It is a turnaround play as the top company in the Korean cosmetics sector after a 'once in a century' pandemic.</strong></p>
<h3><strong>Key catalysts are as follows:</strong></h3>
<ul>
<li>An inverse relationship between cosmetics consumption and wearing masks &amp; COVID-19 cases</li>
<li>Improving data on overseas online sales of luxury cosmetics segment </li>
<li>A big restructuring</li>
</ul>
<h3><strong>Valuation</strong></h3>
<p>If we apply a 3.6x P/B multiple (25% lower than the 5-year historical average) on Amorepacific using an estimated book value of 4.7 trillion won (at end of 2021), this would suggest an implied market cap of 17 trillion won, or 291,000 won per share (representing a 48% upside to current levels over a one year view). Given this attractive upside, we have a positive view of Amorepacific Corp.</p>
</div>


Amorepacific Corp is our 2021 high conviction idea in Korea. It is a turnaround play as the top company in the Korean cosmetics sector after a 'once in a century' pandemic.
Key catalysts are as follows:

An inverse relationship between cosmetics consumption and wearing masks &amp; COVID-19 cases
Improving data on overseas online sales of luxury cosmetics segment 
A big restructuring

Valuation
If we apply a 3.6x P/B multiple (25% lower than the 5-year historical average) on Amorepacific using an estimated book value of 4.7 trillion won (at end of 2021), this would suggest an implied market cap of 17 trillion won, or 291,000 won per share (representing a 48% upside to current levels over a one year view). Given this attractive upside, we have a positive view of Amorepacific Corp.


2021 High Conviction in Korea: Amorepacific Corp - Turnaround After 'Once in a Century' Pandemic

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Event-Driven

<p>The Amore duo made a 1.5σ move downwardly.</p><p>They are now at -2.5σ on a 20D MA, the lowest sigma since mid-March.</p><table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col width="300">
<col width="300">
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr><td colspan="2" rowspan="1" data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0"}' data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"% of sigma"}'>% of sigma</td></tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Today"}'>Today</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-formula="=Data!R[0]C[6]" data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-2.429581591306318}'>-242.96%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"T-1"}'>T-1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-formula="=Data!R[0]C[6]" data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-0.9108015534530095}'>-91.08%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"T-2"}'>T-2</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-formula="=Data!R[0]C[6]" data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-0.7066876752829078}'>-70.67%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"T-3"}'>T-3</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-formula="=Data!R[0]C[6]" data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-1.7200972716651508}'>-172.01%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"T-4"}'>T-4</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-formula="=Data!R[0]C[6]" data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-1.541532078833072}'>-154.15%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"T-5"}'>T-5</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-formula="=Data!R[0]C[6]" data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-2.0935650379435686}'>-209.36%</td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="2" rowspan="1" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Source: KRX"}'><em>Source: KRX</em></td></tr>
</tbody>
</table><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/163/517/original/chart.png?1601940494" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="163517"></figure><p></p><p>The price ratio is 0.29172, again the 120D low, and pretty much at the bottom on the 1-yr and 2-yr horizons.</p><table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col width="300">
<col width="150">
<col width="150">
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr><td colspan="3" rowspan="1" data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0"}' data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Price ratio"}'>Price ratio</td></tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Today"}'>Today</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-formula="=Data!R[-9]C[1]" data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00000","3":1}' data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.2917159763313609}'>0.29172</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00000","3":1}' data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"-"}'>-</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"20D MA"}'>20D MA</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-formula="=Data!R[-10]C[2]" data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00000","3":1}' data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.30027125224527756}'>0.30027</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00000","3":1}' data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"-"}'>-</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"σ"}'>σ</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-formula="=Data!R[-11]C[5]" data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00000","3":1}' data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.0035212959896179924}'>0.00352</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00000","3":1}' data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"-"}'>-</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-formula='="+1 σ"' data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"+1 σ"}'>+1 σ</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-formula="=Data!R[-12]C[3]" data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00000","3":1}' data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.30379254823489554}'>0.30379</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00000","3":1}' data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"-"}'>-</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-formula='="-1 σ"' data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"-1 σ"}'>-1 σ</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-formula="=Data!R[-13]C[4]" data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00000","3":1}' data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.2967499562556596}'>0.29675</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00000","3":1}' data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"-"}'>-</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"120D mean"}'>120D mean</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-formula="=average(Data!R2C3:R100C3)" data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00000","3":1}' data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.31677247244474827}'>0.31677</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-formula="=(R11C[-1]-R[0]C[-1])/R[0]C[-1]" data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-0.07909934824831635}'>-7.91%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"120D median"}'>120D median</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-formula="=MEDIAN(Data!R2C3:R100C3)" data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00000","3":1}' data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.31954674220963175}'>0.31955</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-formula="=(R11C[-1]-R[0]C[-1])/R[0]C[-1]" data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-0.08709450669352482}'>-8.71%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"120D high"}'>120D high</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-formula="=MAX(Data!R2C3:R100C3)" data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00000","3":1}' data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.35460122699386504}'>0.35460</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-formula="=(R11C[-1]-R[0]C[-1])/R[0]C[-1]" data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-0.17734075878872266}'>-17.73%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"120D low"}'>120D low</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-formula="=MIN(Data!R2C3:R100C3)" data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00000","3":1}' data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.2917159763313609}'>0.29172</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-formula="=(R11C[-1]-R[0]C[-1])/R[0]C[-1]" data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0}'>0.00%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"1Y mean"}'>1Y mean</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-formula="=average(Data!R2C3:R248C3)" data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00000","3":1}' data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.3586212800433788}'>0.35862</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-formula="=(R11C[-1]-R[0]C[-1])/R[0]C[-1]" data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-0.18656255898680915}'>-18.66%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"1Y median"}'>1Y median</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-formula="=MEDIAN(Data!R2C3:R248C3)" data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00000","3":1}' data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.3383233532934132}'>0.33832</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-formula="=(R11C[-1]-R[0]C[-1])/R[0]C[-1]" data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-0.13775985756925177}'>-13.78%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"1Y high"}'>1Y high</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-formula="=MAX(Data!R2C3:R248C3)" data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00000","3":1}' data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.49379310344827587}'>0.49379</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-formula="=(R11C[-1]-R[0]C[-1])/R[0]C[-1]" data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-0.40923440547419926}'>-40.92%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"1Y low"}'>1Y low</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-formula="=MIN(Data!R2C3:R248C3)" data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00000","3":1}' data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.27456140350877195}'>0.27456</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-formula="=(R11C[-1]-R[0]C[-1])/R[0]C[-1]" data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.06247991379473301}'>6.25%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"2Y mean"}'>2Y mean</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-formula="=average(Data!R2C3:R476C3)" data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00000","3":1}' data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.3702846260858406}'>0.37028</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-formula="=(R11C[-1]-R[0]C[-1])/R[0]C[-1]" data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-0.2121844770737677}'>-21.22%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"2Y median"}'>2Y median</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-formula="=MEDIAN(Data!R2C3:R476C3)" data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00000","3":1}' data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.36861702127659574}'>0.36862</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-formula="=(R11C[-1]-R[0]C[-1])/R[0]C[-1]" data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-0.2086204393896702}'>-20.86%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"2Y high"}'>2Y high</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-formula="=MAX(Data!R2C3:R476C3)" data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00000","3":1}' data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.49379310344827587}'>0.49379</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-formula="=(R11C[-1]-R[0]C[-1])/R[0]C[-1]" data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-0.40923440547419926}'>-40.92%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"2Y low"}'>2Y low</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-formula="=MIN(Data!R2C3:R476C3)" data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00000","3":1}' data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.27456140350877195}'>0.27456</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-formula="=(R11C[-1]-R[0]C[-1])/R[0]C[-1]" data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.06247991379473301}'>6.25%</td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="3" rowspan="1" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Source: KRX"}'><em>Source: KRX</em></td></tr>
</tbody>
</table><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/163/514/original/chart%20%281%29.png?1601939903" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="163514"></figure>

The Amore duo made a 1.5σ move downwardly.They are now at -2.5σ on a 20D MA, the lowest sigma since mid-March.





% of sigma

Today
-242.96%


T-1
-91.08%


T-2
-70.67%


T-3
-172.01%


T-4
-154.15%


T-5
-209.36%

Source: KRX

The price ratio is 0.29172, again the 120D low, and pretty much at the bottom on the 1-yr and 2-yr horizons.






Price ratio

Today
0.29172
-


20D MA
0.30027
-


σ
0.00352
-


+1 σ
0.30379
-


-1 σ
0.29675
-


120D mean
0.31677
-7.91%


120D median
0.31955
-8.71%


120D high
0.35460
-17.73%


120D low
0.29172
0.00%


1Y mean
0.35862
-18.66%


1Y median
0.33832
-13.78%


1Y high
0.49379
-40.92%


1Y low
0.27456
6.25%


2Y mean
0.37028
-21.22%


2Y median
0.36862
-20.86%


2Y high
0.49379
-40.92%


2Y low
0.27456
6.25%

Source: KRX



Amore Stub At -2.5σ & Wang Yi's Cancelled Visit: Entry Point for Range Trading

<p>Amore holding company is now at -2.1σ on a 20D MA relative to Amorepacific.</p><table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col width="300">
<col width="300">
<col width="300">
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr><td colspan="3" rowspan="1" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"% of sigma"}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0"}'>% of sigma</td></tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Today"}'>Today</td>
<td colspan="2" rowspan="1" style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-2.0935650379435686}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=Data!R[0]C[6]">-209.36%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"T-1"}'>T-1</td>
<td colspan="2" rowspan="1" style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-1.189723840254671}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=Data!R[0]C[6]">-118.97%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"T-2"}'>T-2</td>
<td colspan="2" rowspan="1" style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-0.432176134420178}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=Data!R[0]C[6]">-43.22%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"T-3"}'>T-3</td>
<td colspan="2" rowspan="1" style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-1.219149193133675}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=Data!R[0]C[6]">-121.91%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"T-4"}'>T-4</td>
<td colspan="2" rowspan="1" style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.261794857719485}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=Data!R[0]C[6]">26.18%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"T-5"}'>T-5</td>
<td colspan="2" rowspan="1" style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-1.2072576106460915}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=Data!R[0]C[6]">-120.73%</td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="3" rowspan="1" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Source: KRX"}'><em>Source: KRX</em></td></tr>
</tbody>
</table><p>The price ratio currently sits at 0.296, a new 120D low, and pretty close to the 2Y low.</p><p>It is 6.8% down from the 120D mean and 16.4% down from the 120D high.</p><table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col width="300">
<col width="300">
<col width="300">
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr><td colspan="3" rowspan="1" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Price ratio"}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0"}'>Price ratio</td></tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Today"}'>Today</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.2963076923076923}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00000","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=Data!R[-9]C[1]">0.29631</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"-"}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00000","3":1}'>-</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"20D MA"}'>20D MA</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.30229664561059055}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00000","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=Data!R[-10]C[2]">0.30230</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"-"}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00000","3":1}'>-</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"σ"}'>σ</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.0028606483172746106}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00000","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=Data!R[-11]C[5]">0.00286</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"-"}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00000","3":1}'>-</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"+1 σ"}' data-sheets-formula='="+1 σ"'>+1 σ</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.30515729392786517}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00000","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=Data!R[-12]C[3]">0.30516</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"-"}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00000","3":1}'>-</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"-1 σ"}' data-sheets-formula='="-1 σ"'>-1 σ</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.29943599729331594}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00000","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=Data!R[-13]C[4]">0.29944</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"-"}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00000","3":1}'>-</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"120D mean"}'>120D mean</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.3178130338953685}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00000","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=average(Data!R2C3:R100C3)">0.31781</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-0.06766664451765769}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=(R11C[-1]-R[0]C[-1])/R[0]C[-1]">-6.77%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"120D median"}'>120D median</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.31954674220963175}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00000","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=MEDIAN(Data!R2C3:R100C3)">0.31955</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-0.07272504091653029}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=(R11C[-1]-R[0]C[-1])/R[0]C[-1]">-7.27%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"120D high"}'>120D high</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.35460122699386504}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00000","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=MAX(Data!R2C3:R100C3)">0.35460</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-0.1643918019696566}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=(R11C[-1]-R[0]C[-1])/R[0]C[-1]">-16.44%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"120D low"}'>120D low</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.2963076923076923}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00000","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=MIN(Data!R2C3:R100C3)">0.29631</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=(R11C[-1]-R[0]C[-1])/R[0]C[-1]">0.00%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"1Y mean"}'>1Y mean</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.36200240542223466}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00000","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=average(Data!R2C3:R248C3)">0.36200</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-0.1814759021778237}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=(R11C[-1]-R[0]C[-1])/R[0]C[-1]">-18.15%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"1Y median"}'>1Y median</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.3412790697674419}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00000","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=MEDIAN(Data!R2C3:R248C3)">0.34128</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-0.1317730310575285}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=(R11C[-1]-R[0]C[-1])/R[0]C[-1]">-13.18%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"1Y high"}'>1Y high</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.49379310344827587}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00000","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=MAX(Data!R2C3:R248C3)">0.49379</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-0.39993553932101417}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=(R11C[-1]-R[0]C[-1])/R[0]C[-1]">-39.99%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"1Y low"}'>1Y low</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.27456140350877195}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00000","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=MIN(Data!R2C3:R248C3)">0.27456</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.07920373556156303}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=(R11C[-1]-R[0]C[-1])/R[0]C[-1]">7.92%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"2Y mean"}'>2Y mean</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.3713260609712572}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00000","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=average(Data!R2C3:R476C3)">0.37133</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-0.2020282887426308}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=(R11C[-1]-R[0]C[-1])/R[0]C[-1]">-20.20%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"2Y median"}'>2Y median</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.3689655172413793}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00000","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=MEDIAN(Data!R2C3:R476C3)">0.36897</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-0.1969230769230769}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=(R11C[-1]-R[0]C[-1])/R[0]C[-1]">-19.69%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"2Y high"}'>2Y high</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.49379310344827587}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00000","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=MAX(Data!R2C3:R476C3)">0.49379</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-0.39993553932101417}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=(R11C[-1]-R[0]C[-1])/R[0]C[-1]">-39.99%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"2Y low"}'>2Y low</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.27456140350877195}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00000","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=MIN(Data!R2C3:R476C3)">0.27456</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.07920373556156303}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=(R11C[-1]-R[0]C[-1])/R[0]C[-1]">7.92%</td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="3" rowspan="1" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Source: KRX"}'><em>Source: KRX</em></td></tr>
</tbody>
</table><p>The downward trend for the holding company, which began about a year ago, still seems alive.</p><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/161/057/original/chart%20%282%29.png?1600897928" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="161057"></figure>

Amore holding company is now at -2.1σ on a 20D MA relative to Amorepacific.






% of sigma

Today
-209.36%


T-1
-118.97%


T-2
-43.22%


T-3
-121.91%


T-4
26.18%


T-5
-120.73%

Source: KRX

The price ratio currently sits at 0.296, a new 120D low, and pretty close to the 2Y low.It is 6.8% down from the 120D mean and 16.4% down from the 120D high.






Price ratio

Today
0.29631
-


20D MA
0.30230
-


σ
0.00286
-


+1 σ
0.30516
-


-1 σ
0.29944
-


120D mean
0.31781
-6.77%


120D median
0.31955
-7.27%


120D high
0.35460
-16.44%


120D low
0.29631
0.00%


1Y mean
0.36200
-18.15%


1Y median
0.34128
-13.18%


1Y high
0.49379
-39.99%


1Y low
0.27456
7.92%


2Y mean
0.37133
-20.20%


2Y median
0.36897
-19.69%


2Y high
0.49379
-39.99%


2Y low
0.27456
7.92%

Source: KRX

The downward trend for the holding company, which began about a year ago, still seems alive.

Amore Stub At -2.1σ: Expect Reversion for Three Reasons

<p>Amorepacific had a 5.33% gain last Friday. But its holding company didn't catch up as it ended with only a 1.58% gain. </p><p>As a result? The duo made a nearly one sigma shift on a 20D MA last Friday alone. They are now at -1.7σ.</p><p>Price ratio-wise, the Amore pair is currently a little higher than the March crash level. Still, they are about 20% lower than the 1-yr mean and 10% down even from the 120D mean.</p><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/142/844/original/1.png?1593374317" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="142844"></figure><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/142/845/original/2.png?1593374334" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="142845"></figure><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/142/846/original/5.png?1593374372" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="142846"></figure><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/142/847/original/chart%20%281%29.png?1593374391" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="142847"></figure>

Amorepacific had a 5.33% gain last Friday. But its holding company didn't catch up as it ended with only a 1.58% gain. As a result? The duo made a nearly one sigma shift on a 20D MA last Friday alone. They are now at -1.7σ.Price ratio-wise, the Amore pair is currently a little higher than the March crash level. Still, they are about 20% lower than the 1-yr mean and 10% down even from the 120D mean.

Amore Stub Trade on the Sigma Shift of Last Friday

South Korea

AMOREPACIFIC Group is an investment holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, produce cosmetics and toiletries.

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Amore Stub Trade on the Sigma Shift of Last Friday

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