Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The Global Emerging Markets weekly provides a summary of the key news and related developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of the Global Emerging Markets equity indices.</li>
<li>In our final weekly for the year, we look back at 2022 to see which stocks, countries, and currencies out and underperformed in the Global Emerging Markets.</li>
<li>We also look forward to 2023F to see what’s expected for the major GEM economies next year.  </li>
</ul>


The Global Emerging Markets weekly provides a summary of the key news and related developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of the Global Emerging Markets equity indices.
In our final weekly for the year, we look back at 2022 to see which stocks, countries, and currencies out and underperformed in the Global Emerging Markets.
We also look forward to 2023F to see what’s expected for the major GEM economies next year.  


External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>NTPC: Generation/sales of the unit increased significantly by 10.4/12.2% YoY to 85.5/80.2bn units in Q2FY23, led by strong power demand</li><li>PAF also improved for both coal/gas in Q2 to 93.7/92.8%, vs 85.4/81.6% YoY, led by better fuel availability</li><li>Accordingly, under-recovery also declined to INR2.0bn for Q2FY23 vs INR5.0bn QoQ</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

NTPC: Generation/sales of the unit increased significantly by 10.4/12.2% YoY to 85.5/80.2bn units in Q2FY23, led by strong power demandPAF also improved for both coal/gas in Q2 to 93.7/92.8%, vs 85.4/81.6% YoY, led by better fuel availabilityAccordingly, under-recovery also declined to INR2.0bn for Q2FY23 vs INR5.0bn QoQContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: NTPC, Indian Oil Corporation, SBI Cards and Payment Services

<ul><li>The power industry is expected to report 19.4% YoY earnings growth, owing to the ongoing spur in power demand and merchant rates, which continued in Q2FY23 as well</li><li>However, demand growth softened to ~5% YoY during Q2FY23 (vs ~17% YoY in Q1FY23) due to high YoY base and monsoon season</li><li>Coal inventory at power plants improved significantly as the number of stations facing subcritical inventory levels declined to 54 in Q2FY23, vs 88 YoY and 79 QoQ</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The power industry is expected to report 19.4% YoY earnings growth, owing to the ongoing spur in power demand and merchant rates, which continued in Q2FY23 as wellHowever, demand growth softened to ~5% YoY during Q2FY23 (vs ~17% YoY in Q1FY23) due to high YoY base and monsoon seasonCoal inventory at power plants improved significantly as the number of stations facing subcritical inventory levels declined to 54 in Q2FY23, vs 88 YoY and 79 QoQContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Power (2QFY23 Results Preview): Demand remains strong; coal inventory improves

<ul>
<li>The 200 largest weighted companies in the GEM index reported average EPS growth of +32.6%y/y for 2Q22, an acceleration from what was reported for 1Q22.</li>
<li>61% of companies delivered positive sales surprise, up from 58% in 1Q22, whilst 56% delivered positive EPS surprise, down from 64% in 1Q22.</li>
<li>Historically, there has been a massive difference in relative share price performance between the largest positive versus negative surprise generators, for 3 months after the reporting date.</li>
</ul>


The 200 largest weighted companies in the GEM index reported average EPS growth of +32.6%y/y for 2Q22, an acceleration from what was reported for 1Q22.
61% of companies delivered positive sales surprise, up from 58% in 1Q22, whilst 56% delivered positive EPS surprise, down from 64% in 1Q22.
Historically, there has been a massive difference in relative share price performance between the largest positive versus negative surprise generators, for 3 months after the reporting date.


Global Emerging Markets: Reporting Season Summary, 2Q2022

<ul><li>India’s long-awaited Capex cycle finally seems to be gathering momentum, after a hiatus of 10 years</li><li>While there were false starts in the last decade, we believe the recent post-COVID pick-up is looking sustainable and drivers are in place for multi-year growth</li><li>In this report, we have done a detailed bottom-up analysis of (a) 1,700+ government projects that are under implementation (explaining &gt;60% of total government Capex of FY22) and (b) Capex plans of top 400+ private sector companies to better understand the drivers and likely shape of the Capex demand curve</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

India’s long-awaited Capex cycle finally seems to be gathering momentum, after a hiatus of 10 yearsWhile there were false starts in the last decade, we believe the recent post-COVID pick-up is looking sustainable and drivers are in place for multi-year growthIn this report, we have done a detailed bottom-up analysis of (a) 1,700+ government projects that are under implementation (explaining &gt;60% of total government Capex of FY22) and (b) Capex plans of top 400+ private sector companies to better understand the drivers and likely shape of the Capex demand curveContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

India Equity Strategy - Capex: On a Sustainable Upswing

India

NTPC Ltd. owns and operates power generation plants that supply power to state electricity boards throughout India.  The Company is a public sector undertaking of the Government of India and it also undertakes turnkey consulting projects to set up power plants.

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NTPC Ltd (NTPC IN)

GEM Weekly: 2022 Yearend Edition

In our final weekly for the year, we look back at 2022 to see which GEM stocks, countries, and currencies out and underperformed, and look forward...

Wium Malan, CFA

HSIE Results Daily: NTPC, Indian Oil Corporation, SBI Cards and Payment Services

NTPC: Generation/sales of the unit increased significantly by 10.4/12.2% YoY to 85.5/80.2bn units in Q2FY23, led by strong power demand

HDFC Securities

Power (2QFY23 Results Preview): Demand remains strong; coal inventory improves

The power industry is expected to report 19.4% YoY earnings growth, owing to the ongoing spur in power demand and merchant rates, which continued...

HDFC Securities

Global Emerging Markets: Reporting Season Summary, 2Q2022

In this quarterly insight, we analyse recent GEM reporting trends with reference to Sales- and EPS growth, size and percentage of positive...

Wium Malan, CFA

India Equity Strategy - Capex: On a Sustainable Upswing

While there were false starts in the last decade, we believe the recent post-COVID pick-up is looking sustainable and drivers are in place for...

HDFC Securities

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